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Vector autoregression (VAR) is a fundamental tool for modeling multivariate time series. However, as the number of component series is increased, the VAR model becomes overparameterized. Several authors have addressed this issue by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-09 William B. Nicholson , Ines Wilms , Jacob Bien , David S. Matteson

In an environment of increasingly volatile financial markets, the accurate estimation of risk remains a major challenge. Traditional econometric models, such as GARCH and its variants, are based on assumptions that are often too rigid to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Fredy Pokou , Jules Sadefo Kamdem , François Benhmad

Most modern financial markets use a continuous double auction mechanism to store and match orders and facilitate trading. In this paper we develop a microscopic dynamical statistical model for the continuous double auction under the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Eric Smith , J. Doyne Farmer , Laszlo Gillemot , Supriya Krishnamurthy

We examine optimal execution models that take into account both market microstructure impact and informational costs. Informational footprint is related to order flow and is represented by the trader's influence on the flow imbalance…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-21 Kyle Bechler , Mike Ludkovski

In this article, we propose the fractional lower order covariance method (FLOC) for estimating the parameters of vector autoregressive process (VAR) of order $p$, $p\geq 1$ with symmetric stable noise. Further, we show the efficiency,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-16 Aastha M. Sathe , N. S. Upadhye

We establish a microstructural foundation of the rough Bergomi model. Specifically, we consider a sequence of order driven financial market models where orders to buy or sell an asset arrive according to a Poisson process and have a long…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-16 Paul P. Hager , Ulrich Horst , Thomas Wagenhofer , Wei Xu

European options can be priced by solving parabolic partial(-integro) differential equations under stochastic volatility and jump-diffusion models like Heston, Merton, and Bates models. American option prices can be obtained by solving…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-12-04 Maciej Balajewicz , Jari Toivanen

Investigating the main determinants of the mechanical performance of metals is not a simple task. Already known physical inspired qualitative relations between 2D microstructure characteristics and 3D mechanical properties can act as the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-05 Martina Vittorietti , Javier Hidalgo , Jilt Sietsma , Wei Li , Geurt Jongbloed

We present a low-order modeling technique for actuated flows based on the regularization of an inverse problem. The inverse problem aims at minimizing the error between the model predictions and some reference simulations. The parameters to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jessie Weller , Edoardo Lombardi , Angelo Iollo

We propose a dynamical theory of market liquidity that predicts that the average supply/demand profile is V-shaped and {\it vanishes} around the current price. This result is generic, and only relies on mild assumptions about the order flow…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-02 Bence Toth , Yves Lemperiere , Cyril Deremble , Joachim de Lataillade , Julien Kockelkoren , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In the present work we introduce a novel multi-agent model with the aim to reproduce the dynamics of a double auction market at microscopic time scale through a faithful simulation of the matching mechanics in the limit order book. The…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-18 Marco Bartolozzi

The stochastic variational approach for geophysical fluid dynamics was introduced by Holm (Proc Roy Soc A, 2015) as a framework for deriving stochastic parameterisations for unresolved scales. This paper applies the variational stochastic…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-09-16 Colin Cotter , Dan Crisan , Darryl D. Holm , Wei Pan , Igor Shevchenko

One approach to the analysis of stochastic fluctuations in market prices is to model characteristics of investor behaviour and the complex interactions between market participants, with the aim of extracting consequences in the aggregate.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ulrich Horst , Ronnie Sircar

The paper proposes a framework for modeling and analysis of the dynamics of supply, demand, and clearing prices in power system with real-time retail pricing and information asymmetry. Real-time retail pricing is characterized by passing on…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2011-06-08 Mardavij Roozbehani , Munther A Dahleh , Sanjoy K Mitter

We develop a Functional Augmented Vector Autoregression (FunVAR) model to explicitly incorporate firm-level heterogeneity observed in more than one dimension and study its interaction with aggregate macroeconomic fluctuations. Our…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-11 Massimiliano Marcellino , Andrea Renzetti , Tommaso Tornese

In this work, we study the problem of learning the volatility under market microstructure noise. Specifically, we consider noisy discrete time observations from a stochastic differential equation and develop a novel computational method to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-19 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Deep learning applies hierarchical layers of hidden variables to construct nonlinear high dimensional predictors. Our goal is to develop and train deep learning architectures for spatio-temporal modeling. Training a deep architecture is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-08 Matthew F. Dixon , Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim O. Sokolov

Simulating fluid flows in different virtual scenarios is of key importance in engineering applications. However, high-fidelity, full-order models relying, e.g., on the finite element method, are unaffordable whenever fluid flows must be…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-11-24 Stefania Fresca , Andrea Manzoni

We consider high-dimensional asset price models that are reduced in their dimension in order to reduce the complexity of the problem or the effect of the curse of dimensionality in the context of option pricing. We apply model order…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-02 Martin Redmann , Christian Bayer , Pawan Goyal

We develop a new market-making model, from the ground up, which is tailored towards high-frequency trading under a limit order book (LOB), based on the well-known classification of order types in market microstructure. Our flexible…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-31 Baron Law , Frederi Viens