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Gaussian Process state-space models capture complex temporal dependencies in a principled manner by placing a Gaussian Process prior on the transition function. These models have a natural interpretation as discretized stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Krista Longi , Jakob Lindinger , Olaf Duennbier , Melih Kandemir , Arto Klami , Barbara Rakitsch

When modelling time series, it is common to decompose observed variation into a "signal" process, the process of interest, and "noise", representing nuisance factors that obfuscate the signal. To separate signal from noise, assumptions must…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-11 Richard Creswell , Ben Lambert , Chon Lok Lei , Martin Robinson , David Gavaghan

Machine learned force fields typically require manual construction of training sets consisting of thousands of first principles calculations, which can result in low training efficiency and unpredictable errors when applied to structures…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-11-21 Jonathan Vandermause , Steven B. Torrisi , Simon Batzner , Yu Xie , Lixin Sun , Alexie M. Kolpak , Boris Kozinsky

We present a method for Temporal Difference (TD) learning that addresses several challenges faced by robots learning to navigate in a marine environment. For improved data efficiency, our method reduces TD updates to Gaussian Process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-03 John Martin , Jinkun Wang , Brendan Englot

Learning-based model predictive control (MPC) can enhance control performance by correcting for model inaccuracies, enabling more precise state trajectory predictions than traditional MPC. A common approach is to model unknown residual…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-19 Lars Bartels , Amon Lahr , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger

This paper introduces a new sparse spatio-temporal structured Gaussian process regression framework for online and offline Bayesian inference. This is the first framework that gives a time-evolving representation of the interdependencies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-01 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

We cast motion planning under uncertainty as a stochastic optimal control problem, where the optimal posterior distribution has an explicit form. To approximate this posterior, this work frames an optimization problem in the space of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Zinuo Chang , Hongzhe Yu , Patricio Vela , Yongxin Chen

Multi-task learning requires accurate identification of the correlations between tasks. In real-world time-series, tasks are rarely perfectly temporally aligned; traditional multi-task models do not account for this and subsequent errors in…

We present a method for incremental modeling and time-varying control of unknown nonlinear systems. The method combines elements of evolving intelligence, granular machine learning, and multi-variable control. We propose a State-Space…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-19 Daniel Leite , Pedro Coutinho , Iury Bessa , Murilo Camargos , Luiz Cordovil Junior , Reinaldo Palhares

To maintain the accuracy of supervised learning models in the presence of evolving data streams, we provide temporally-biased sampling schemes that weight recent data most heavily, with inclusion probabilities for a given data item decaying…

Databases · Computer Science 2018-01-31 Brian Hentschel , Peter J. Haas , Yuanyuan Tian

Understanding the dynamic behavior of tires and their interactions with road plays an important role in designing integrated vehicle control strategies. Accordingly, having access to reliable information about the tire-road interactions…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-29 Bruno Henrique Groenner Barbosa , Nan Xu , Hassan Askari , Amir Khajepour

In this paper, we propose an active learning algorithm and models which can gradually learn individual's preference through pairwise comparisons. The active learning scheme aims at finding individual's most preferred choice with minimized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-07 Jie Yang , Diego Klabjan

Enabling robots to explore and act in unfamiliar environments under ambiguous human instructions by interactively identifying task-relevant objects (e.g., identifying cups or beverages for "I'm thirsty") remains challenging for existing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Hengxuan Xu , Fengbo Lan , Zhixin Zhao , Shengjie Wang , Mengqiao Liu , Jieqian Sun , Yu Cheng , Tao Zhang

Power system state estimation (PSSE) is commonly formulated as weighted least-square (WLS) algorithm and solved using iterative methods such as Gauss-Newton methods. However, iterative methods have become more sensitive to system operating…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-12 Narayan Bhusal , Raj Mani Shukla , Mukesh Gautam , Mohammed Benidris , Shamik Sengupta

Bayesian optimisation requires fitting a Gaussian process model, which in turn requires specifying prior on the unknown black-box function -- most of the theoretical literature assumes this prior is known. However, it is common to have more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Juliusz Ziomek , Masaki Adachi , Michael A. Osborne

In this paper, we propose a novel Gaussian process-based moving horizon estimation (MHE) framework for unknown nonlinear systems. On the one hand, we approximate the system dynamics by the posterior means of the learned Gaussian processes…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Tobias M. Wolff , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

We investigate the application of active inference in developing energy-efficient control agents for manufacturing systems. Active inference, rooted in neuroscience, provides a unified probabilistic framework integrating perception,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Yavar Taheri Yeganeh , Mohsen Jafari , Andrea Matta

To effectively control complex dynamical systems, accurate nonlinear models are typically needed. However, these models are not always known. In this paper, we present a data-driven approach based on Gaussian processes that learns models of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-17 Li Wang , Evangelos A. Theodorou , Magnus Egerstedt

Robotic tasks which involve uncertainty--due to variation in goal, environment configuration, or confidence in task model--may require human input to instruct or adapt the robot. In tasks with physical contact, several existing methods for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Kevin Haninger , Christian Hegeler , Luka Peternel