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We present three different methods to estimate error bars on the predictions made using a neural network. All of them represent lower bounds for the extrapolation errors. For example, we did not include an analysis on robustness against…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-08-11 A. Pastore , M. Carnini

Learning mappings of data on manifolds is an important topic in contemporary machine learning, with applications in astrophysics, geophysics, statistical physics, medical diagnosis, biochemistry, 3D object analysis. This paper studies the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Guido Montúfar , Yu Guang Wang

Deep neural operators can learn nonlinear mappings between infinite-dimensional function spaces via deep neural networks. As promising surrogate solvers of partial differential equations (PDEs) for real-time prediction, deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-17 Min Zhu , Handi Zhang , Anran Jiao , George Em Karniadakis , Lu Lu

The problem of extending a function $f$ defined on a training data $\mathcal{C}$ on an unknown manifold $\mathbb{X}$ to the entire manifold and a tubular neighborhood of this manifold is considered in this paper. For $\mathbb{X}$ embedded…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-26 Charles K. Chui , H. N. Mhaskar

Extrapolation -- the ability to make inferences that go beyond the scope of one's experiences -- is a hallmark of human intelligence. By contrast, the generalization exhibited by contemporary neural network algorithms is largely limited to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Taylor W. Webb , Zachary Dulberg , Steven M. Frankland , Alexander A. Petrov , Randall C. O'Reilly , Jonathan D. Cohen

This paper introduces the concept of hyperpolation: a way of generalising from a limited set of data points that is a peer to the more familiar concepts of interpolation and extrapolation. Hyperpolation is the task of estimating the value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Toby Ord

Machine learning systems, especially with overparameterized deep neural networks, can generalize to novel test instances drawn from the same distribution as the training data. However, they fare poorly when evaluated on out-of-support test…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-28 Aviv Netanyahu , Abhishek Gupta , Max Simchowitz , Kaiqing Zhang , Pulkit Agrawal

Real-world machine learning applications often involve deploying neural networks to domains that are not seen in the training time. Hence, we need to understand the extrapolation of nonlinear models -- under what conditions on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Kefan Dong , Tengyu Ma

Classical approximation and learning methods are typically optimized for interpolation over a sampled domain {\Omega}, with no guarantees on their behavior in an extrapolation region {\Xi}, where small in-domain errors may amplify. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Guy Hay , Nir Sharon

When using recurrent neural networks (RNNs) it is common practice to apply trained models to sequences longer than those seen in training. This "extrapolating" usage deviates from the traditional statistical learning setup where guarantees…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Edo Cohen-Karlik , Avichai Ben David , Nadav Cohen , Amir Globerson

Manifold learning has been successfully applied to a variety of medical imaging problems. Its use in real-time applications requires fast projection onto the low-dimensional space. To this end, out-of-sample extensions are applied by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2013-03-29 George H. Chen , Christian Wachinger , Polina Golland

Signal extrapolation is an important task in digital signal processing for extending known signals into unknown areas. The Selective Extrapolation is a very effective algorithm to achieve this. Thereby, the extrapolation is obtained by…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-02 Jürgen Seiler , André Kaup

We study in this paper the function approximation error of multivariate linear extrapolation. The sharp error bound of linear interpolation already exists in the literature. However, linear extrapolation is used far more often in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Liyuan Cao , Zaiwen Wen , Ya-xiang Yuan

For the general parametric regression models with covariates contaminated with normal measurement errors, this paper proposes an accelerated version of the classical simulation extrapolation algorithm to estimate the unknown parameters in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-13 Kanwal Ayub , Weixing Song

Distributional regression aims to estimate the full conditional distribution of a target variable, given covariates. Popular methods include linear and tree-ensemble based quantile regression. We propose a neural network-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Xinwei Shen , Nicolai Meinshausen

In this work we consider a model problem of deep neural learning, namely the learning of a given function when it is assumed that we have access to its point values on a finite set of points. The deep neural network interpolant is the the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-27 Michail Loulakis , Charalambos G. Makridakis

Richardson extrapolation is a classical technique from numerical analysis that can improve the approximation error of an estimation method by combining linearly several estimates obtained from different values of one of its hyperparameters,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Francis Bach

While neural networks can be trained to map from one specific dataset to another, they usually do not learn a generalized transformation that can extrapolate accurately outside the space of training. For instance, a generative adversarial…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-01-25 Matthew Amodio , David van Dijk , Ruth Montgomery , Guy Wolf , Smita Krishnaswamy

Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) implement a specific form of multi-variate extrapolation and will generate an output for any input pattern, even when there is no similar training pattern. Extrapolations are not necessarily to be trusted,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Neil A. Thacker , Carole J. Twining , Paul D. Tar , Scott Notley , Visvanathan Ramesh

Given the importance of nuclear mass predictions, numerous models have been developed to extrapolate the measured data into unknown regions. While neural networks -- the core of modern artificial intelligence -- have been recently suggested…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-07-11 C. H. Kim , K. Y. Chae , M. S. Smith
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