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We present evidence, based on play-by-play data from all 6087 games from the 2006/07--2009/10 seasons of the National Basketball Association (NBA), that basketball scoring is well described by a weakly-biased continuous-time random walk.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-07-25 Alan Gabel , S. Redner

We address the question of how to quantify the contributions of groups of players to team success. Our approach is based on spectral analysis, a technique from algebraic signal processing, which has several appealing features. First, our…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-26 Stephen Devlin , David Uminsky

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

National Basketball Association (NBA) players are highly motivated and skilled experts that solve complex decision making problems at every time point during a game. As a step towards understanding how players make their decisions, we focus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Sandro Hauri , Nemanja Djuric , Vladan Radosavljevic , Slobodan Vucetic

The purpose of this paper is to determine whether basketball teams who choose to employ an offensive strategy that involves predominantly shooting three point shots is stable and optimal. We employ a game-theoretical approach using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-24 Ikjyot Singh Kohli

In a basketball game, scoring efficiency holds significant importance due to the numerous offensive possessions per game. Enhancing scoring efficiency necessitates effective collaboration among players with diverse playing styles. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Kazuhiro Yamada , Keisuke Fujii

Dynamically planning in complex systems has been explored to improve decision-making in various domains. Professional basketball serves as a compelling example of a dynamic spatio-temporal game, encompassing context-dependent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Xiusi Chen , Wei-Yao Wang , Ziniu Hu , David Reynoso , Kun Jin , Mingyan Liu , P. Jeffrey Brantingham , Wei Wang

We propose a multidimensional tensor clustering approach for studying how professional basketball players' shooting patterns vary over court locations and game time. Unlike most existing methods that only study continuous-valued tensors or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Guanyu Hu , Yishu Xue , Weining Shen

In this paper, we develop a group learning approach to analyze the underlying heterogeneity structure of shot selection among professional basketball players in the NBA. We propose a mixture of finite mixtures (MFM) model to capture the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-21 Guanyu Hu , Hou-Cheng Yang , Yishu Xue

Measuring individual productivity (or equivalently distributing the overall productivity) in a network structure of workers displaying peer effects has been a subject of ongoing interest in many areas ranging from academia to industry. In…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-07 N. Allouch , Luis A. Guardiola , A. Meca

Statistical modelling of sports data has become more and more popular in the recent years and different types of models have been proposed to achieve a variety of objectives: from identifying the key characteristics which lead a team to win…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-21 Andrea Gabrio

Estimation of football players' skills is one of the key tasks in sports analytics. This paper introduces multiple extensions to a widely used model, expected possession value (EPV), to address some key challenges such as selection problem.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Andrei Shelopugin

Basketball players' performance measurement is of critical importance for a broad spectrum of decisions related to training and game strategy. Despite this recognized central role, the main part of the studies on this topic focus on…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-24 Paola Zuccolotto , Marco Sandri , Marica Manisera , Rodolfo Metulini

Tracking data is a powerful tool for basketball teams in order to extract advanced semantic information and statistics that might lead to a performance boost. However, multi-person tracking is a challenging task to solve in single-camera…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Adrià Arbués-Sangüesa , Gloria Haro , Coloma Ballester

Individual performance metrics are commonly used to compare players from different eras. However, such cross-era comparison is often biased due to significant changes in success factors underlying player achievement rates (e.g. performance…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-21 Alexander M. Petersen , Orion Penner

We develop a new method for stochastic optimization using the Bayesian statistics approach. More precisely, we optimize parameters of chess engines as those data are available to us, but the method should apply to all situations where we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-06 Ivan Ivec , Ivana Vojnović

Identifying combinations of players (that is, lineups) in basketball - and other sports - that perform well when they play together is one of the most important tasks in sports analytics. One of the main challenges associated with this task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Christos Petridis , Konstantinos Pelechrinis

Consider the problem of modeling memory effects in discrete-state random walks using higher-order Markov chains. This paper explores cross validation and information criteria as proxies for a model's predictive accuracy. Our objective is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-22 Joshua C. Chang

In recent years, many different approaches have been proposed to quantify the performances of soccer players. Since player performances are challenging to quantify directly due to the low-scoring nature of soccer, most approaches estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-31 Jan Van Haaren

We present BASKET, a large-scale basketball video dataset for fine-grained skill estimation. BASKET contains 4,477 hours of video capturing 32,232 basketball players from all over the world. Compared to prior skill estimation datasets, our…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Yulu Pan , Ce Zhang , Gedas Bertasius
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