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The paper presents a time-series-based classification approach to identify similarities in pairs of simulated human-generated patterns. An example for a pattern is a time-series representing a heart rate during a specific time-range,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-06-04 Uri Kartoun

Estimating the covariance structure of multivariate time series is a fundamental problem with a wide-range of real-world applications -- from financial modeling to fMRI analysis. Despite significant recent advances, current state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Hrayr Harutyunyan , Daniel Moyer , Hrant Khachatrian , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

Influence maximization is the problem of finding a set of users in a social network, such that by targeting this set, one maximizes the expected spread of influence in the network. Most of the literature on this topic has focused…

Databases · Computer Science 2011-10-03 Amit Goyal , Francesco Bonchi , Laks V. S. Lakshmanan

When building linear or nonlinear models one is faced with the problem of selecting the best set of variable with which to predict the future dynamics. In nonlinear time series analysis the problem is to select the correct time delays in…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Small

We propose a new estimator to measure directed dependencies in time series. The dimensionality of data is first reduced using a new non-uniform embedding technique, where the variables are ranked according to a weighted sum of the amount of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-02 Payam Shahsavari Baboukani , Carina Graversen , Emina Alickovic , Jan Østergaard

A novel social networks sentiment analysis model is proposed based on Twitter sentiment score (TSS) for real-time prediction of the future stock market price FTSE 100, as compared with conventional econometric models of investor sentiment…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Xinyi Guo , Jinfeng Li

This paper presents a new prediction model for time series data by integrating a time-varying Geometric Brownian Motion model with a pricing mechanism used in financial engineering. Typical time series models such as Auto-Regressive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Abdullah AlShelahi , Jingxing Wang , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

In order to use the advanced inference techniques available for Ising models, we transform complex data (real vectors) into binary strings, by local averaging and thresholding. This transformation introduces parameters, which must be varied…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Hongli Zeng , Rémi Lemoy , Mikko Alava

Time series has attracted a lot of attention in many fields today. Time series forecasting algorithm based on complex network analysis is a research hotspot. How to use time series information to achieve more accurate forecasting is a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Tianxiang Zhan , Fuyuan Xiao

We introduce a novel framework to financial time series forecasting that leverages causality-inspired models to balance the trade-off between invariance to distributional changes and minimization of prediction errors. To the best of our…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-20 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Yutong Lu , Xi Lin , Mihai Cucuringu , Andre Fujita

The relation between time series irreversibility and entropy production has been recently investigated in thermodynamic systems operating away from equilibrium. In this work we explore this concept in the context of financial time series.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-11 Lucas Lacasa , Ryan Flanagan

We consider a setting where multiple active sources send real-time updates over a single-hop wireless broadcast network to a monitoring station. Our goal is to design a scheduling policy that minimizes the time-average of general…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Vishrant Tripathi , Eytan Modiano

This paper proposes a novel adaptive algorithm for the automated short-term trading of financial instrument. The algorithm adopts a semantic sentiment analysis technique to inspect the Twitter posts and to use them to predict the behaviour…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-17 Paolo Cremonesi , Chiara Francalanci , Alessandro Poli , Roberto Pagano , Luca Mazzoni , Alberto Maggioni , Mehdi Elahi

Temporal information plays a crucial role in many database applications, however support for queries on such data is limited. We present an index structure, termed RD-index, to support range-duration queries over interval timestamped…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Matteo Ceccarello , Anton Dignös , Johann Gamper , Christina Khnaisser

In time series editing, we aim to modify some properties of a given time series without altering others. For example, when analyzing a hospital patient's blood pressure, we may add a sudden early drop and observe how it impacts their future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Jiaxing Qiu , Dongliang Guo , Brynne Sullivan , Teague R. Henry , Thomas Hartvigsen

Many applications collect a large number of time series, for example, the financial data of companies quoted in a stock exchange, the health care data of all patients that visit the emergency room of a hospital, or the temperature sequences…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-09 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

In this paper, we study a maximization problem on real sequences. More precisely, for a given sequence, we are interested in computing the supremum of the sequence and an index for which the associated term is maximal. We propose a general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Assalé Adjé

Traditional sentiment construction in finance relies heavily on the dictionary-based approach, with a few exceptions using simple machine learning techniques such as Naive Bayes classifier. While the current literature has not yet invoked…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-08 Joshua Zoen Git Hiew , Xin Huang , Hao Mou , Duan Li , Qi Wu , Yabo Xu

Statistical inference for time series such as curve estimation for time-varying models or testing for existence of change-point have garnered significant attention. However, these works are generally restricted to the assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Soham Bonnerjee , Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

While many advances in time series models focus exclusively on numerical data, research on multimodal time series, particularly those involving contextual textual information, remains in its infancy. With recent progress in large language…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Zihao Li , Xiao Lin , Zhining Liu , Jiaru Zou , Ziwei Wu , Lecheng Zheng , Dongqi Fu , Yada Zhu , Hendrik Hamann , Hanghang Tong , Jingrui He