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We propose a model selection approach for covariance estimation of a multi-dimensional stochastic process. Under very general assumptions, observing i.i.d replications of the process at fixed observation points, we construct an estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jérémie Bigot , Rolando Biscay , Jean-Michel Loubes , Lilian Muniz Alvarez

Optimization under uncertainty and risk is indispensable in many practical situations. Our paper addresses stability of optimization problems using composite risk functionals which are subjected to measure perturbations. Our main focus is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Darinka Dentcheva , Yang Lin , Spiridon Penev

We study the problem of global maximization of a function f given a finite number of evaluations perturbed by noise. We consider a very weak assumption on the function, namely that it is locally smooth (in some precise sense) with respect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Michal Valko , Alexandra Carpentier , Rémi Munos

We study the problem of optimizing a function under a \emph{budgeted number of evaluations}. We only assume that the function is \emph{locally} smooth around one of its global optima. The difficulty of optimization is measured in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Peter L. Bartlett , Victor Gabillon , Michal Valko

We noisily observe solutions of an ordinary differential equation $\dot u = f(u)$ at given times, where $u$ lives in a $d$-dimensional state space. The model function $f$ is unknown and belongs to a H\"older-type smoothness class with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Christof Schötz , Maximilian Siebel

Consider a process satisfying a stochastic differential equation with unknown drift parameter, and suppose that discrete observations are given. It is known that a simple least squares estimator (LSE) can be consistent, but numerically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-17 Yasutaka Shimizu

We study the foundations of variational inference, which frames posterior inference as an optimisation problem, for probabilistic programming. The dominant approach for optimisation in practice is stochastic gradient descent. In particular,…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Basim Khajwal , C. -H. Luke Ong , Dominik Wagner

We establish two new estimates which control a function (after subtracting its average) in $L^1$ by only the $L^1$ norm of its radial derivative. While the interior estimate holds for all superharmonic functions, the boundary version is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-06-26 Xavier Cabre

In this paper, we focus on regression estimation in both the inductive and the transductive case. We assume that we are given a set of features (which can be a base of functions, but not necessarily). We begin by giving a deviation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Pierre Alquier

Consider nonparametric function estimation under $L^p$-loss. The minimax rate for estimation of the regression function over a H\"older ball with smoothness index $\beta$ is $n^{-\beta/(2\beta+1)}$ if $1\leq p<\infty$ and $(n/\log…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

The moment conditions or estimating equations for instrumental variables quantile regression involve the discontinuous indicator function. We instead use smoothed estimating equations (SEE), with bandwidth $h$. We show that the mean squared…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-28 David M. Kaplan , Yixiao Sun

Consider an unknown smooth function $f: [0,1] \rightarrow \mathbb{R}$, and say we are given $n$ noisy$\mod 1$ samples of $f$, i.e., $y_i = (f(x_i) + \eta_i)\mod 1$ for $x_i \in [0,1]$, where $\eta_i$ denotes noise. Given the samples…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-04 Mihai Cucuringu , Hemant Tyagi

The partial least squares procedure was originally developed to estimate the slope parameter in multivariate parametric models. More recently it has gained popularity in the functional data literature. There, the partial least squares…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-30 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall

In this paper we study the problem of recovering a structured but unknown parameter ${\bf{\theta}}^*$ from $n$ nonlinear observations of the form $y_i=f(\langle {\bf{x}}_i,{\bf{\theta}}^*\rangle)$ for $i=1,2,\ldots,n$. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-25 Samet Oymak , Mahdi Soltanolkotabi

In view of training increasingly complex learning architectures, we establish a nonsmooth implicit function theorem with an operational calculus. Our result applies to most practical problems (i.e., definable problems) provided that a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Jérôme Bolte , Tam Le , Edouard Pauwels , Antonio Silveti-Falls

We consider the problem of estimating the fractional order of a L\'{e}vy process from low frequency historical and options data. An estimation methodology is developed which allows us to treat both estimation and calibration problems in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Denis Belomestny

Let ${\mathcal P}$ be a family of probability measures on a measurable space $(S,{\mathcal A}).$ Given a Banach space $E,$ a functional $f:E\mapsto {\mathbb R}$ and a mapping $\theta: {\mathcal P}\mapsto E,$ our goal is to estimate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-26 Vladimir Koltchinskii , Minghao Li

One of the most ubiquitous problems in optimization is that of finding all the elements of a finite set at which a function $f$ attains its minimum (or maximum). When the codomain of $f$ is equipped with a total order, it is easy to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Patrik Jansson , Nicola Botta , Tim Richter

We consider a problem of statistical estimation of an unknown drift parameter for a stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion. Two estimators based on discrete observations of solution to the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-26 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ral'chenko , Oleg Seleznev , Georgiy Shevchenko

We consider a semiparametric convolution model. We observe random variables having a distribution given by the convolution of some unknown density $f$ and some partially known noise density $g$. In this work, $g$ is assumed exponentially…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-03 Cristina Butucea , Catherine Matias , Christophe Pouet