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Probabilistic forecasting is not only a way to add more information to a prediction of the future, but it also builds on weaknesses in point prediction. Sudden changes in a time series can still be captured by a cumulative distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Niklas Erdmann , Lars Bentsen , Roy Stenbro , Heine Nygard Riise , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Paal E. Engelstad

Spatio-temporal forecasting plays a crucial role in various sectors such as transportation systems, logistics, and supply chain management. However, existing methods are limited by their ability to handle large, complex datasets. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Sakhinana Sagar Srinivas , Chidaksh Ravuru , Geethan Sannidhi , Venkataramana Runkana

We have trained a fully convolutional spatio-temporal model for fast and accurate representation learning in the challenging exemplar application area of fusion energy plasma science. The onset of major disruptions is a critically important…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-09-29 Ge Dong , Kyle Gerard Felker , Alexey Svyatkovskiy , William Tang , Julian Kates-Harbeck

Large pre-trained models have been vital in recent advancements in domains like language and vision, making model training for individual downstream tasks more efficient and provide superior performance. However, tackling time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , B. Aditya Prakash

Survival analysis provides a powerful statistical framework for modeling time-to-event outcomes in the presence of censoring. However, selecting an appropriate estimator from the many specialized survival approaches often requires…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Shi-ang Qi , Vahid Balazadeh , Michael Cooper , Russell Greiner , Rahul G. Krishnan

Time-series forecasting is a critical challenge in various domains and has witnessed substantial progress in recent years. Many real-life scenarios, such as public health, economics, and social applications, involve feedback loops where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Zhiyuan Zhao , Haoxin Liu , Alexander Rodriguez , B. Aditya Prakash

Deep operator network (DeepONet) has shown significant promise as surrogate models for systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs), enabling accurate mappings between infinite-dimensional function spaces. However, when applied…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Sharmila Karumuri , Lori Graham-Brady , Somdatta Goswami

Multivariate time series forecasting has seen widely ranging applications in various domains, including finance, traffic, energy, and healthcare. To capture the sophisticated temporal patterns, plenty of research studies designed complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Tianping Zhang , Yizhuo Zhang , Wei Cao , Jiang Bian , Xiaohan Yi , Shun Zheng , Jian Li

Transformers have gained attention in atmospheric time series forecasting (ATSF) for their ability to capture global spatial-temporal correlations. However, their complex architectures lead to excessive parameter counts and extended…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Yisong Fu , Fei Wang , Zezhi Shao , Boyu Diao , Lin Wu , Zhulin An , Chengqing Yu , Yujie Li , Yongjun Xu

From ecology to atmospheric sciences, many academic disciplines deal with data characterized by intricate spatio-temporal complexities, the modeling of which often requires specialized approaches. Generative models of these data are of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-01 Konstantin Klemmer , Tianlin Xu , Beatrice Acciaio , Daniel B. Neill

Learning manipulable representations of the world and its dynamics is central to AI. Joint-Embedding Predictive Architectures (JEPAs) offer a promising blueprint, but lack of practical guidance and theory has led to ad-hoc R&D. We present a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Randall Balestriero , Yann LeCun

Large-scale pretrained vision-language models like CLIP have demonstrated remarkable zero-shot image classification capabilities across diverse domains. To enhance CLIP's performance while preserving the zero-shot paradigm, various…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Xuefeng Hu , Ke Zhang , Min Sun , Albert Chen , Cheng-Hao Kuo , Ram Nevatia

Although we have witnessed great success of pre-trained models in natural language processing (NLP) and computer vision (CV), limited progress has been made for general time series analysis. Unlike NLP and CV where a unified model can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Tian Zhou , PeiSong Niu , Xue Wang , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

Conventional time-series forecasting methods typically aim to minimize overall prediction error, without accounting for the varying importance of different forecast ranges in downstream applications. We propose a training methodology that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Luca-Andrei Fechete , Mohamed Sana , Fadhel Ayed , Nicola Piovesan , Wenjie Li , Antonio De Domenico , Tareq Si Salem

This paper proposes a task-agnostic discovery layer for multivariate time series that constructs a relational hypothesis graph over entities without assuming linearity, stationarity, or a downstream objective. The method learns window-level…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Olusegun Owoeye

Recent research on time series foundation models has primarily focused on forecasting, leaving it unclear how generalizable their learned representations are. In this study, we examine whether frozen pre-trained forecasting models can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Andreas Auer , Daniel Klotz , Sebastinan Böck , Sepp Hochreiter

Long-term time series forecasting plays a pivotal role in various real-world applications. Despite recent advancements and the success of different architectures, forecasting is often challenging due to non-stationary nature of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-29 Mert Sonmezer , Seyda Ertekin

This study introduces Universal Delay Embedding (UDE), a pretrained foundation model designed to revolutionize time-series forecasting through principled integration of delay embedding representation and Koopman operator prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Zijian Wang , Peng Tao , Jifan Shi , Rui Bao , Rui Liu , Luonan Chen

With the advent of Joint Embedding Predictive Architectures (JEPAs), which appear to be more capable than reconstruction-based methods, this paper introduces a novel technique for creating world models using continuous-time dynamic systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Jonas Ulmen , Ganesh Sundaram , Daniel Görges

Recent vision-language-action (VLA) models built upon pretrained vision-language models (VLMs) have achieved significant improvements in robotic manipulation. However, current VLAs still suffer from low sample efficiency and limited…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Shangchen Miao , Ningya Feng , Jialong Wu , Ye Lin , Xu He , Dong Li , Mingsheng Long
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