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Parametric conditional copula models allow the copula parameters to vary with a set of covariates according to an unknown calibration function. Flexible Bayesian inference for the calibration function of a bivariate conditional copula is…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-26 Evgeny Levi , Radu V. Craiu

We propose a probabilistic model for refining coarse-grained spatial data by utilizing auxiliary spatial data sets. Existing methods require that the spatial granularities of the auxiliary data sets are the same as the desired granularity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-19 Yusuke Tanaka , Tomoharu Iwata , Toshiyuki Tanaka , Takeshi Kurashima , Maya Okawa , Hiroyuki Toda

Despite recent advances in automated machine learning, model selection is still a complex and computationally intensive process. For Gaussian processes (GPs), selecting the kernel is a crucial task, often done manually by the expert.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Matthias Bitzer , Mona Meister , Christoph Zimmer

The Gaussian process is an indispensable tool for spatial data analysts. The onset of the "big data" era, however, has lead to the traditional Gaussian process being computationally infeasible for modern spatial data. As such, various…

Designing categorical kernels is a major challenge for Gaussian process regression with continuous and categorical inputs. Despite previous studies, it is difficult to identify a preferred method, either because the evaluation metrics, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-03 Raphaël Carpintero Perez , Sébastien Da Veiga , Josselin Garnier

Gaussian process regression techniques have been used in fluid mechanics for the reconstruction of flow fields from a reduction-of-dimension perspective. A main ingredient in this setting is the construction of adapted covariance functions,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-13 Adrian Padilla-Segarra , Pascal Noble , Olivier Roustant , Éric Savin

The Gaussian process (GP) model, which has been extensively applied as priors of functions, has demonstrated excellent performance. The specification of a large number of parameters affects the computational efficiency and the feasibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-13 Shisheng Cui , Chia-Jung Chang

Quantitative modeling of post-transcriptional regulation process is a challenging problem in systems biology. A mechanical model of the regulatory process needs to be able to describe the available spatio-temporal protein concentration and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-18 Mu Niu , Zhenwen Dai , Neil Lawrence , Kolja Becker

The optimization of atomic structures plays a pivotal role in understanding and designing materials with desired properties. However, conventional computational methods often struggle with the formidable task of navigating the vast…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-11-19 Peder Lyngby , Casper Larsen , Karsten Wedel Jacobsen

Probabilistic machine learning models are distinguished by their ability to integrate prior knowledge of noise statistics, smoothness parameters, and training data uncertainty. A common approach involves modeling data with Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-31 Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Ahmad Farooq , Simo Särkkä

We present GP-MOBO, a novel multi-objective Bayesian Optimization algorithm that advances the state-of-the-art in molecular optimization. Our approach integrates a fast minimal package for Exact Gaussian Processes (GPs) capable of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Anabel Yong

This paper presents a new Gaussian process (GP) surrogate modeling for predicting the outcome of a physical experiment where some experimental inputs are controlled by other manipulating factors. Particularly, we are interested in the case…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-12 Chiwoo Park , Rahul Rao , Pavel Nikolaev , Benji Maruyama

We consider the problem of sequential estimation of the unknowns of state-space and deep state-space models that include estimation of functions and latent processes of the models. The proposed approach relies on Gaussian and deep Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Yuhao Liu , Marzieh Ajirak , Petar Djuric

The Gaussian process state space model (GPSSM) is a non-linear dynamical system, where unknown transition and/or measurement mappings are described by GPs. Most research in GPSSMs has focussed on the state estimation problem, i.e.,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-08 Stefanos Eleftheriadis , Thomas F. W. Nicholson , Marc Peter Deisenroth , James Hensman

The Gaussian process is a powerful and flexible technique for interpolating spatiotemporal data, especially with its ability to capture complex trends and uncertainty from the input signal. This chapter describes Gaussian processes as an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-11 Kien Nguyen , John Krumm , Cyrus Shahabi

In this paper, we present a data-driven Model Predictive Controller that leverages a Gaussian Process to generate optimal motion policies for connected autonomous vehicles in regions with uncertainty in the wireless channel. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-24 Hassan Jafarzadeh , Cody Fleming

The identification of the constrained dynamics of mechanical systems is often challenging. Learning methods promise to ease an analytical analysis, but require considerable amounts of data for training. We propose to combine insights from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-16 A. Rene Geist , Sebastian Trimpe

There is a growing trend in molecular and synthetic biology of using mechanistic (non machine learning) models to design biomolecular networks. Once designed, these networks need to be validated by experimental results to ensure the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-26 Ruby Sedgwick , John Goertz , Molly Stevens , Ruth Misener , Mark van der Wilk

In complex simulation environments, certain parameter space regions may result in non-convergent or unphysical outcomes. All parameters can therefore be labeled with a binary class describing whether or not they lead to valid results. In…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-19 Raoul Heese , Michal Walczak , Tobias Seidel , Norbert Asprion , Michael Bortz

Data-driven models are subject to model errors due to limited and noisy training data. Key to the application of such models in safety-critical domains is the quantification of their model error. Gaussian processes provide such a measure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche