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Inference and testing in general point process models such as the Hawkes model is predominantly based on asymptotic approximations for likelihood-based estimators and tests. As an alternative, and to improve finite sample performance, this…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-22 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Ye Lu , Anders Rahbek , Jacob Stærk-Østergaard

We discuss invariance principles for autoregressive tempered fractionally integrated moving averages in $\alpha$-stable $(1< \alpha \le 2)$ i.i.d. innovations and related tempered linear processes with vanishing tempering parameter $\lambda…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Farzad Sabzikar , Donatas Surgailis

We consider a sequence of Hawkes processes whose excitation measures may depend on the generation, and study its scaling limits in the near-unstable limiting regime. The limiting random measures, characterized via a nonlinear convolutional…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Tristan Pace , Gordan Zitkovic

Point processes are widely used statistical models for continuous-time discrete event data, such as medical records, crime reports, and social network interactions, to capture the influence of historical events on future occurrences. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Xiuyuan Cheng , Tingnan Gong , Yao Xie

The aim of this paper is the analysis of the fractional Poisson process where the state probabilities $p_k^{\nu_k}(t)$, $t\ge 0$, are governed by time-fractional equations of order $0<\nu_k\leq 1$ depending on the number $k$ of events…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Roberto Garra , Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito

In this work, we introduce a new process by modifying the kernel in the time domain representation of the generalized Hermite process. This modification is constructed by means of multiplication of the kernel in the time definition of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-07 Héctor Araya

In this paper we study pseudo-processes related to odd-order heat-type equations composed with L\'evy stable subordinators. The aim of the article is twofold. We first show that the pseudo-density of the subordinated pseudo-process can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Manfred Marvin Marchione , Enzo Orsingher

The Hawkes self-excited point process provides an efficient representation of the bursty intermittent dynamics of many physical, biological, geological and economic systems. By expressing the probability for the next event per unit time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-23 Kiyoshi Kanazawa , Didier Sornette

We consider time-changed Poisson processes, and derive the governing difference-differential equations (DDE) these processes. In particular, we consider the time-changed Poisson processes where the the time-change is inverse Gaussian, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-14 A. Kumar , Erkan Nane , P. Vellaisamy

This paper deals the implementation of \emph{homotopy perturbation transform method} (HPTM) for numerical computation of initial valued autonomous system of time-fractional partial differential equations (TFPDEs) with proportional delay,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Brajesh Kumar Singh , Pramod Kumar

We estimate the general influence functions for spatio-temporal Hawkes processes using a tensor recovery approach by formulating the location dependent influence function that captures the influence of historical events as a tensor kernel.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-30 Heejune Sheen , Xiaonan Zhu , Yao Xie

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in finance, neuroscience and many other…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Lingjiong Zhu

Hawkes processes have recently gained increasing attention from the machine learning community for their versatility in modeling event sequence data. While they have a rich history going back decades, some of their properties, such as…

Multivariate Hawkes Processes (MHPs) are a class of point processes that can account for complex temporal dynamics among event sequences. In this work, we study the accuracy and computational efficiency of three classes of algorithms which,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-24 Alex Ziyu Jiang , Abel Rodríguez

We consider a time dependent problem generated by a nonlocal operator in space. Applying a discretization scheme based on $hp$-Finite Elements and a Caffarelli-Silvestre extension we obtain a semidiscrete semigroup. The discretization in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Jens Markus Melenk , Alexander Rieder

Modeling event dynamics is central to many disciplines. Patterns in observed event arrival times are commonly modeled using point processes. Such event arrival data often exhibits self-exciting, heterogeneous and sporadic trends, which is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-16 Jing Wu , Owen G. Ward , James Curley , Tian Zheng

The multivariate Hawkes process is a past-dependent point process used to model the relationship of event occurrences between different phenomena.Although the Hawkes process was originally introduced to describe excitation effects, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-30 Anna Bonnet , Miguel Martinez Herrera , Maxime Sangnier

The fractional Poisson process (FPP) is a counting process with independent and identically distributed inter-event times following the Mittag-Leffler distribution. This process is very useful in several fields of applied and theoretical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Mauro Politi , Taisei Kaizoji , Enrico Scalas

The marked Hawkes risk process is a compound point process for which the occurrence and amplitude of past events impact the future. Thanks to its autoregressive properties, it found applications in various fields such as neuosciences,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-11 Laure Coutin , Mahmoud Khabou

The Hawks process is a point process with a self-exciting property. It has been used to model earthquakes, social media events, infections, etc., and is getting a lot of attention. However, as a real problem, there are often situations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Masatoshi Goda
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