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Related papers: Tempered Fractional Hawkes Process and Its General…

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Given a collection of entities (or nodes) in a network and our intermittent observations of activities from each entity, an important problem is to learn the hidden edges depicting directional relationships among these entities. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-01 Triet M Le

Due to its clustering and self-exciting properties, the Hawkes process has been used extensively in numerous fields ranging from sismology to finance. Since data is often aquired on regular time intervals, we propose a piece-wise constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-28 Lorick Huang , Mahmoud Khabou

This work defines two classes of processes, that we term {\it tempered fractional multistable motion} and {\it tempered multifractional stable motion}. They are extensions of fractional multistable motion and multifractional stable motion,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Xiequan Fan , Jacques Lévy Véhel

Hawkes process is a self-exciting point process with clustering effect whose intensity depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in neuroscience, finance and many other fields. In this paper, we obtain a functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-16 Lingjiong Zhu

The fractional stable motion is a prototypical stochastic process exhibiting both heavy tails and long-range dependence, parameterized via a stability index $\alpha$ and a Hurst exponent $H$. We consider a nonstationary extension where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Fabian Mies , Duuk Sikkens

Linear multivariate Hawkes processes (MHP) are a fundamental class of point processes with self-excitation. When estimating parameters for these processes, a difficulty is that the two main error functionals, the log-likelihood and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-23 Álvaro Cartea , Samuel N. Cohen , Saad Labyad

A univariate Hawkes process is a simple point process that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process is given by the sum of a baseline intensity and another term that depends on the entire past history…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-04 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of suitably time-modulated Hawkes processes with heavy-tailed kernels in a nearly unstable regime. We show that, under appropriate scaling, both the intensity processes and the rescaled Hawkes…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Emmanuel Gnabeyeu , Gilles Pagès , Mathieu Rosenbaum

The Hawkes process is a self-exciting sample point process. It has wide applications in finance, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. With the development of storage technology, data-driven models are attracting…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Haixu Wang

Modern data acquisition routinely produce massive amounts of event sequence data in various domains, such as social media, healthcare, and financial markets. These data often exhibit complicated short-term and long-term temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Simiao Zuo , Haoming Jiang , Zichong Li , Tuo Zhao , Hongyuan Zha

Event-driven systems in fields such as neuroscience, social networks, and finance often exhibit dynamics influenced by continuously evolving external covariates. Motivated by these applications, we introduce a new class of multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Maya Sadeler Perrin , Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion-Blanc , Adeline Samson

This paper presents a fractional generalized Cauchy process (FGCP) with an additive and a multiplicative Gaussian white noise for describing subordinated anomalous fluctuations. The FGCP displays intermittent dynamics during random time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-27 Yusuke Uchiyama , Takanori Kadoya , Hidetoshi Konno

In this paper we consider multivariate Hawkes processes with baseline hazard and kernel functions that depend on time. This defines a class of locally stationary processes. We discuss estimation of the time-dependent baseline hazard and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-17 Enno Mammen

Hawkes processes are a class of simple point processes that are self-exciting and have clustering effect, with wide applications in finance, social networks and many other fields. This paper considers a self-exciting Hawkes process where…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-10 Xuefeng Gao , Xiang Zhou , Lingjiong Zhu

We prove a central limit type theorem for critical marked Hawkes processes. We study the case where the marks are i.i.d. with nonnegative values and their common distribution is either heavy tailed or has finite variance. The kernel…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Anna Talarczyk

A Hawkes process on $\R$ is a point process whose intensity function at time $t$ is a functional of its past activity before time $t$. It is defined by its activation function $\Phi$ and its memory function $h$. In this paper, the Hawkes…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-05 Philippe Robert , Gaëtan Vignoud

Hawkes processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic process that have been applied in diverse areas, from earthquake modelling to financial analysis. They are point processes whose defining characteristic is that they…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-13 Patrick J. Laub , Thomas Taimre , Philip K. Pollett

This paper studies the first hitting times of generalized Poisson processes $N^f(t)$, related to Bernstein functions $f$. For the space-fractional Poisson processes, $N^\alpha(t)$, $t>0$ (corresponding to $f= x^\alpha$), the hitting…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-19 R. Garra , E. Orsingher , M. Scavino

The Hawkes process is a class of point processes whose future depends on their own history. Previous theoretical work on the Hawkes process is limited to a special case in which a past event can only increase the occurrence of future…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-21 Shizhe Chen , Ali Shojaie , Eric Shea-Brown , Daniela Witten

We define two new classes of stochastic processes, called tempered fractional L\'{e}vy process of the first and second kinds (TFLP and TFLP $I\!I$, respectively). TFLP and TFLP $I\!I$ make up very broad finite-variance, generally…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-03 Benjamin Cooper Boniece , Gustavo Didier , Farzad Sabzikar