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Probabilistic classifiers output a probability distribution on target classes rather than just a class prediction. Besides providing a clear separation of prediction and decision making, the main advantage of probabilistic models is their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Juozas Vaicenavicius , David Widmann , Carl Andersson , Fredrik Lindsten , Jacob Roll , Thomas B. Schön

Ecologists use distance sampling to estimate the abundance of plants and animals while correcting for undetected individuals. By design, data collection is simplified by requiring only the distances from a transect to the detected…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-01 Trevor J. Hefley , W. Alice Boyle , Narmadha M. Mohankumar

Tropical cyclones present a serious threat to many coastal communities around the world. Many numerical weather prediction models provide deterministic forecasts with limited measures of their forecast uncertainty. Standard postprocessing…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-01 Stephen A. Walsh , Marco A. R. Ferreira , Dave Higdon , Stephanie Zick

Probability forecasting is common in the geosciences, the finance sector, and elsewhere. It is sometimes the case that one has multiple probability-forecasts for the same target. How is the information in these multiple forecast systems…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-02 Sarah Higgins , Hailiang Du , Leonard A. Smith

In this article, we present a distributed framework for collecting and analyzing environmental and location data recorded by human users (carriers) with the use of portable sensors. We demonstrate the data mining analysis potential among…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2013-08-02 John Gekas

Joint models of longitudinal and event-time data have been extensively studied and applied in many different fields. Estimation of joint models is challenging, most present procedures are computational expensive and have a strict…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-05 Yanqiao Zheng , Xiaobing Zhao , Xiaoqi Zhang

With billions of people facing moderate or severe food insecurity, the resilience of the global food supply will be of increasing concern due to the effects of climate change and geopolitical events. In this paper we describe a framework to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-12 David Willmes , Nick Krall , James Tanis , Zachary Terner , Fernando Tavares , Chris Miller , Joe Haberlin , Matt Crichton , Alexander Schlichting

Climate change is an impending disaster which is of pressing concern more and more every year. Countless efforts have been made to study the long-term effects of climate change on agriculture, land resources, and biodiversity. Studies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Lynn Wahab , Ezzat Chebaro , Jad Ismail , Amir Nasrelddine , Ali El-Zein

The use of machine learning (ML) techniques has allowed rapid advancements in many scientific and engineering fields. One of these problems is that of surface soil taxonomy, a research area previously hindered by the reliance on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Haley Dozier , Althea Henslee , Ashley Abraham , Andrew Strelzoff , Mark Chappell

The prediction of crop yields internationally is a crucial objective in agricultural research. Thus, this study implements 6 regression models (Linear, Tree, Gradient Descent, Gradient Boosting, K Nearest Neighbors, and Random Forest) to…

Joint species distribution models (JSDM) are among the most important statistical tools in community ecology. They are routinely used for inference and various prediction tasks, such as to build species distribution maps or biomass…

Environmental monitoring robots often need to estimate data fields (e.g., salinity, temperature, bathymetry) under tight resource constraints. Classical boustrophedon lawnmower surveys provide geometric coverage guarantees but can waste…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Kalvik Jakkala , Saurav Agarwal , Jason O'Kane , Srinivas Akella

Scattered trees outside of dense, closed-canopy forests are very important for carbon sequestration, supporting livelihoods, maintaining ecosystem integrity, and climate change adaptation and mitigation. In contrast to trees inside of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-03 John Brandt , Fred Stolle

Coastal flooding drives considerable risks to many communities, but projections of future flood risks are deeply uncertain. The paucity of observations of extreme events often motivates the use of statistical approaches to model the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-01 Tony E. Wong , Alexandra Klufas , Vivek Srikrishnan , Klaus Keller

Power systems face increasing challenges in maintaining resource adequacy due to lower operating margins, rising renewable energy uncertainty, and demand variability. Forecasting the probability distribution of peak demand on shorter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-28 Buyi Yu , Wenyuan Tang

Precise and reliable climate projections are required for climate adaptation and mitigation, but Earth system models still exhibit great uncertainties. Several approaches have been developed to reduce the spread of climate projections and…

Accurately identifying spatial patterns of species distribution is crucial for scientific insight and societal benefit, aiding our understanding of species fluctuations. The increasing quantity and quality of ecological datasets present…

Accounting for the annual climatic variability is a well-known issue for simulation-based studies of environmental models. It often requires intensive sampling (e.g., averaging the simulation outputs over many climatic series), which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Victor Picheny , Ronan Trépos , Bastien Poublan , Pierre Casadebaig

The US Census Bureau has collected two rounds of experimental data from the Commodity Flow Survey, providing shipment-level characteristics of nationwide commodity movements, published in 2012 (i.e., Public Use Microdata) and in 2017 (i.e.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Diyi Liu , Hyeonsup Lim , Majbah Uddin , Yuandong Liu , Lee D. Han , Ho-ling Hwang , Shih-Miao Chin

The growing conflicts in and about oil exporting regions and speculations about volatile oil prices during the last decade have renewed the public interest in predictions for the near future oil production and consumption. Unfortunately,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-29 Michael Dittmar