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We consider Bayesian optimization of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box objective function, where we also have access to cheaper approximations of the objective. In general, such approximations arise in applications such as reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Matthias Poloczek , Jialei Wang , Peter I. Frazier

Reinforcement learning systems are often concerned with balancing exploration of untested actions against exploitation of actions that are known to be good. The benefit of exploration can be estimated using the classical notion of Value of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Richard Dearden , Nir Friedman , David Andre

We consider the problem of maximizing expected utility from terminal wealth in models with stochastic factors. Using martingale methods and a conditioning argument, we determine the optimal strategy for power utility under the assumption…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-22 Jan Kallsen , Johannes Muhle-Karbe

Attempts to allocate capital across a selection of different investments are often hampered by the fact that investors' decisions are made under limited information (no historical return data) and during an extremely limited timeframe.…

General Economics · Economics 2020-04-22 Christoph J. Börner , Ingo Hoffmann , Fabian Poetter , Tim Schmitz

The digital era has raised many societal challenges, including ICT's rising energy consumption and protecting privacy of personal data processing. This paper considers both aspects in relation to machine learning accuracy in an…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Pepijn de Reus , Kyra Dresen , Ana Oprescu , Kristina Irion , Ans Kolk

Common acquisition functions for active learning use either uncertainty or diversity sampling, aiming to select difficult and diverse data points from the pool of unlabeled data, respectively. In this work, leveraging the best of both…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-09 Katerina Margatina , Giorgos Vernikos , Loïc Barrault , Nikolaos Aletras

Automatic amortized resource analysis (AARA) is a type-based technique for inferring concrete (non-asymptotic) bounds on a program's resource usage. Existing work on AARA has focused on bounds that are polynomial in the sizes of the inputs.…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2020-03-09 David M Kahn , Jan Hoffmann

In this paper, we explore the portfolio allocation problem involving an uncertain covariance matrix. We calculate the expected value of the Constant Absolute Risk Aversion (CARA) utility function, marginalized over a distribution of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Maxime Markov , Vladimir Markov

In this paper, we study the remote estimation problem of a Markov process over a channel with a cost. We formulate this problem as an infinite horizon optimization problem with two players, i.e., a sensor and a monitor, that have distinct…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-01 Edoardo David Santi , Touraj Soleymani , Deniz Gunduz

We consider the optimal value of information (VoI) problem, where the goal is to sequentially select a set of tests with a minimal cost, so that one can efficiently make the best decision based on the observed outcomes. Existing algorithms…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-18 Yuxin Chen , Jean-Michel Renders , Morteza Haghir Chehreghani , Andreas Krause

This paper introduces a rule for policy selection in the presence of estimation uncertainty, explicitly accounting for estimation risk. The rule belongs to the class of risk-aware rules on the efficient decision frontier, characterized as…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Victor Chernozhukov , Sokbae Lee , Adam M. Rosen , Liyang Sun

Data-driven decision making plays an important role even in high stakes settings like medicine and public policy. Learning optimal policies from observed data requires a careful formulation of the utility function whose expected value is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-29 Eli Ben-Michael , Kosuke Imai , Zhichao Jiang

The "standard" Merton formulation of optimal investment and consumption involves optimizing the integrated lifetime utility of consumption, suitably discounted, together with the discounted future bequest. In this formulation the utility of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Roman Naryshkin , Matt Davison

In this article we consider a special case of an optimal consumption/optimal portfolio problem first studied by Constantinides and Magill and by Davis and Norman, in which an agent with constant relative risk aversion seeks to maximise…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-12 David Hobson , Yeqi Zhu

We analyze the consumption-portfolio selection problem of an investor facing both Brownian and jump risks. We bring new tools, in the form of orthogonal decompositions, to bear on the problem in order to determine the optimal portfolio in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-15 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Julio Cacho-Diaz , T. R. Hurd

We present an optimal investment theorem for a currency exchange model with random and possibly discontinuous proportional transaction costs. The investor's preferences are represented by a multivariate utility function, allowing for…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-08 Luciano Campi , Mark P. Owen

The Bayesian decision-theoretic approach to design of experiments involves specifying a design (values of all controllable variables) to maximise the expected utility function (expectation with respect to the distribution of responses and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Antony M. Overstall

We propose the mathematical notion of information gain as a way of quantitatively assessing the value of biosignature missions. This makes it simple to determine how mission value depends on design parameters, prior knowledge, and input…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-22 Benjamin Fields , Sohom Gupta , McCullen Sandora

We develop a dual-control method for approximating investment strategies in incomplete environments that emerge from the presence of trading constraints. Convex duality enables the approximate technology to generate lower and upper bounds…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-29 Thijs Kamma , Antoon Pelsser

In this paper, we study the behavior of information ratio (IR) as determined by the fundamental law of active investment management. We extend the classic relationship between IR and its two determinants (i.e., information coefficient and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-24 Feng Zhang , Xi Wang , Honggao Cao
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