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We design nonlinear and adaptive linear model-predictive control (MPC) techniques to minimize operational costs of compressor-actuated dynamics in natural gas pipeline networks. We establish stability of the local linear system and derive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Luke S. Baker , Sachin Shivakumar , Dieter Armbruster , Rodrigo B. Platte , Anatoly Zlotnik

We present a robust model predictive control (MPC) framework for linear systems facing bounded parametric uncertainty and bounded disturbances. Our approach deviates from standard MPC formulations by integrating multi-step predictors, which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Danilo Saccani , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

Uncertainties influencing the dynamical systems pose a significant challenge in estimating the achievable performance of a controller aiming to control such uncertain systems. When the uncertainties are of stochastic nature, obtaining hard…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-22 Venkatraman Renganathan

We present a Gaussian Process - Latent Class Choice Model (GP-LCCM) to integrate a non-parametric class of probabilistic machine learning within discrete choice models (DCMs). Gaussian Processes (GPs) are kernel-based algorithms that…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-02 Georges Sfeir , Filipe Rodrigues , Maya Abou-Zeid

Model calibration or data inversion is one of fundamental tasks in uncertainty quantification. In this work, we study the theoretical properties of the scaled Gaussian stochastic process (S-GaSP), to model the discrepancy between reality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Mengyang Gu , Fangzheng Xie , Long Wang

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a powerful framework for extrapolation, interpolation, and noise removal in regression and classification. This paper considers constraining GPs to arbitrarily-shaped domains with boundary conditions. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-11 Arno Solin , Manon Kok

Modeling real-world systems requires accounting for noise - whether it arises from unpredictable fluctuations in financial markets, irregular rhythms in biological systems, or environmental variability in ecosystems. While the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Matteo Bosso , Giovanni Franzese , Kushal Swamy , Maarten Theulings , Alejandro M. Aragón , Farbod Alijani

In this paper, we revisit batch state estimation through the lens of Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider continuous-discrete estimation problems wherein a trajectory is viewed as a one-dimensional GP, with time as the independent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Sean Anderson , Timothy D. Barfoot , Chi Hay Tong , Simo Särkkä

We consider the problem of optimizing the economic performance of nonlinear constrained systems subject to uncertain time-varying parameters and bounded disturbances. In particular, we propose an adaptive economic model predictive control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-16 Maximilian Degner , Raffaele Soloperto , Melanie N. Zeilinger , John Lygeros , Johannes Köhler

Dual control addresses the trade-off between exploitation and exploration, where control inputs both regulate the system and generate informative data for estimation and identification. For certain problem classes, control and estimation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Tren Baltussen , Nathan P. Lawrence , Alexander Katriniok , Ali Mesbah , Maurice Heemels

Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a popular nonparametric Bayesian method that provides predictive uncertainty estimates and is widely used in safety-critical applications. While prior research has introduced various uncertainty bounds,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Junyi Liu , Stanley Kok

In this paper, we analyze stability of nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) using data-driven surrogate models in the optimization step. First, we establish asymptotic stability of the origin, a controlled steady state, w.r.t. the MPC…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Irene Schimperna , Karl Worthmann , Manuel Schaller , Lea Bold , Lalo Magni

Stochastic model predictive control has been a successful and robust control framework for many robotics tasks where the system dynamics model is slightly inaccurate or in the presence of environment disturbances. Despite the successes, it…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-04-07 Rel Guzman , Rafael Oliveira , Fabio Ramos

Distributed parameter systems (DPS) are formulated as partial differential equations (PDE). Especially, under time-varying boundary conditions, PDE introduce force coupling. In the case of the flexible stacker crane (STC), nonlinear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Joe Ismail , Steven Liu

Identifying dynamical system (DS) is a vital task in science and engineering. Traditional methods require numerous calls to the DS solver, rendering likelihood-based or least-squares inference frameworks impractical. For efficient parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-19 Ying Zhou , Jinglai Li , Xiang Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

We consider nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) schemes without stabilizing terminal conditions, where the model used in the optimization step is generated based on input-output data only. We establish exponential stability for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Lea Bold , Irene Schimperna , Karl Worthmann , Johannes Köhler

This paper proposes a novel robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme for linear discrete-time systems affected by model uncertainty described by interval matrices. The key feature of the proposed method is a bound on the uncertainty…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-20 Renato Quartullo , Andrea Garulli , Mirko Leomanni

Data-driven methods for modeling dynamic systems have received considerable attention as they provide a mechanism for control synthesis directly from the observed time-series data. In the absence of prior assumptions on how the time-series…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-24 Atiye Alaeddini , Siavash Alemzadeh , Afshin Mesbahi , Mehran Mesbahi

State space models (SSMs) provide a flexible framework for modeling complex time series via a latent stochastic process. Inference for nonlinear, non-Gaussian SSMs is often tackled with particle methods that do not scale well to long time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-18 Christopher Aicher , Srshti Putcha , Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead , Emily B. Fox

In this paper we propose a new methodology for solving a discrete time stochastic Markovian control problem under model uncertainty. By utilizing the Dirichlet process, we model the unknown distribution of the underlying stochastic process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Tao Chen , Jiyoun Myung
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