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We propose a new framework for efficiently sampling from complex probability distributions using a combination of normalizing flows and elliptical slice sampling (Murray et al., 2010). The central idea is to learn a diffeomorphism, through…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-28 Alberto Cabezas , Christopher Nemeth

The estimation of rare event or failure probabilities in high dimensions is of interest in many areas of science and technology. We consider problems where the rare event is expressed in terms of a computationally costly numerical model.…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-11 Felipe Uribe , Iason Papaioannou , Youssef M. Marzouk , Daniel Straub

We present the umbrella sampling (US) technique and show that it can be used to sample extremely low probability areas of the posterior distribution that may be required in statistical analyses of data. In this approach sampling of the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-15 Charles Matthews , Jonathan Weare , Andrey Kravtsov , Elise Jennings

The occurrence of atypical circular observations on the torus can badly affect parameter estimation of the multivariate von Mises distribution. This paper addresses the problem of robust fitting of the multivariate von Mises model using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Giulia Bertagnolli , Luca Greco , Claudio Agostinelli

Rejection sampling is a popular method used to generate numbers that follow some given distribution. We study the use of this method to generate random numbers in the unit interval from increasing probability density functions. We focus on…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Louis-Roy Langevin , Alex Waese-Perlman

Slice sampling is a well-established Markov chain Monte Carlo method for (approximate) sampling of target distributions which are only known up to a normalizing constant. The method is based on choosing a new state on a slice, i.e., a…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-22 Kevin Bitterlich , Daniel Rudolf , Björn Sprungk

The inverse design of metasurfaces faces inherent challenges due to the nonlinear and highly complex relationship between geometric configurations and their electromagnetic behavior. Traditional optimization approaches often suffer from…

Subsampling methods aim to select a subsample as a surrogate for the observed sample. Such methods have been used pervasively in large-scale data analytics, active learning, and privacy-preserving analysis in recent decades. Instead of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-03 Jingyi Zhang , Cheng Meng , Jun Yu , Mengrui Zhang , Wenxuan Zhong , Ping Ma

This paper addresses a fundamental problem in random variate generation: given access to a random source that emits a stream of independent fair bits, what is the most accurate and entropy-efficient algorithm for sampling from a discrete…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Feras A. Saad , Cameron E. Freer , Martin C. Rinard , Vikash K. Mansinghka

Sampling strategies have been widely applied in many recommendation systems to accelerate model learning from implicit feedback data. A typical strategy is to draw negative instances with uniform distribution, which however will severely…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Jiawei Chen , Chengquan Jiang , Can Wang , Sheng Zhou , Yan Feng , Chun Chen , Martin Ester , Xiangnan He

Geodesic slice sampling, introduced in Durmus et al., 2024, is a slice sampling based Markov chain Monte Carlo method for approximate sampling from distributions on Riemannian manifolds. We prove that it is uniformly ergodic for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Mareike Hasenpflug

Learning to sample from complex unnormalized distributions is a fundamental challenge in computational physics and machine learning. While score-based and variational methods have achieved success in continuous domains, extending them to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Lei Li , Zhen Wang , Lishuo Zhang

We propose a method for the accurate estimation of rare event or failure probabilities for expensive-to-evaluate numerical models in high dimensions. The proposed approach combines ideas from large deviation theory and adaptive importance…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-28 Shanyin Tong , Georg Stadler

This article describes a method for using optimization to derive efficient independent transition functions for Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations. Our interest is in sampling from a posterior density $\pi(x)$ for problems in which the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-03 Dean S. Oliver

In this paper a method of obtaining smooth analytical estimates of probability densities, radial distribution functions and potentials of mean force from sampled data in a statistically controlled fashion is presented. The approach is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-02-08 Ramses van Zon , Jeremy Schofield

The problem of adaptive sampling for estimating probability mass functions (pmf) uniformly well is considered. Performance of the sampling strategy is measured in terms of the worst-case mean squared error. A Bayesian variant of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-09 Dhruva Kartik , Neeraj Sood , Urbashi Mitra , Tara Javidi

The performance of the Monte Carlo sampling methods relies on the crucial choice of a proposal density. The notion of optimality is fundamental to design suitable adaptive procedures of the proposal density within Monte Carlo schemes. This…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-24 Fernando Llorente , Luca Martino

While circular data occur in a wide range of scientific fields, the methodology for distributional modeling and probabilistic forecasting of circular response variables is rather limited. Most of the existing methods are built on the…

This paper introduces a practical sampling method for training surrogate models in the context of uncertainty propagation. We propose a heuristic method to uniformly draw samples within highest density regions of the density given by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Jocelyn Minini , Micha Wasem

Inspired by the analysis of variance (ANOVA) decomposition of functions we propose a Gaussian-Uniform mixture model on the high-dimensional torus which relies on the assumption that the function we wish to approximate can be well explained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-21 Johannes Hertrich , Fatima Antarou Ba , Gabriele Steidl