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Integrating renewable energy into the modern power grid requires risk-cognizant dispatch of resources to account for the stochastic availability of renewables. Toward this goal, day-ahead stochastic market clearing with high-penetration…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Yu Zhang , Georgios B. Giannakis

The availability of historical data related to electricity day-ahead prices and to the underlying price formation process is limited. In addition, the electricity market in Europe is facing a rapid transformation, which limits the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-27 Raffaele Sgarlato

The ongoing energy transition drives the development of decentralised renewable energy sources, which are heterogeneous and weather-dependent, complicating their integration into energy systems. This study tackles this issue by introducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Marine Cauz , Adrien Bolland , Nicolas Wyrsch , Christophe Ballif

Precise day-ahead forecasts for electricity prices are crucial to ensure efficient portfolio management, support strategic decision-making for power plant operations, enable efficient battery storage optimization, and facilitate demand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Btissame El Mahtout , Florian Ziel

In day-ahead electricity markets based on uniform marginal pricing, small variations in the offering and bidding curves may substantially modify the resulting market outcomes. In this work, we deal with the problem of finding the optimal…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-01 António Alcántara , Carlos Ruiz

In pursuit of carbon neutrality, many countries have adopted renewable portfolio standards to facilitate the integration of renewable energy. However, increasing penetration of renewable energy resources will also pose higher requirements…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-27 Wenli Wu , Ye Guo , Jiantao Shi

Precise probabilistic forecasts are fundamental for energy risk management, and there is a wide range of both statistical and machine learning models for this purpose. Inherent to these probabilistic models is some form of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Andreas Lebedev , Abhinav Das , Sven Pappert , Stephan Schlüter

The adoption of deep learning across various fields has been extensive, yet there is a lack of focus on evaluating the performance of deep learning pipelines. Typically, with the increased use of large datasets and complex models, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Yewen Fan , Nian Si , Xiangchen Song , Kun Zhang

Two-stage robust unit commitment (RUC) models have been widely used for day-ahead energy and reserve scheduling under high renewable integration. The current state of the art relies on budget-constrained polyhedral uncertainty sets to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Alexandre Velloso , Alexandre Street , David Pozo , José M. Arroyo , Noemi G. Cobos

The increasing demand for electricity and the aging infrastructure of power distribution systems have raised significant concerns about future system reliability. Failures in distribution systems, closely linked to system usage and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-21 Gejia Zhang , Robert Mieth

The operation and planning of large-scale power systems are becoming more challenging with the increasing penetration of stochastic renewable generation. In order to minimize the decision risks in power systems with large amount of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Congmei Jiang , Yize Chen , Yongfang Mao , Yi Chai , Mingbiao Yu

Accurate load forecasting serves as the foundation for the flexible operation of multi-energy systems (MES). Multi-energy loads are tightly coupled and exhibit significant uncertainties. Many works focus on enhancing forecasting accuracy by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-17 Yangze Zhou , Qingsong Wen , Jie Song , Xueyuan Cui , Yi Wang

In an environment of increasingly volatile financial markets, the accurate estimation of risk remains a major challenge. Traditional econometric models, such as GARCH and its variants, are based on assumptions that are often too rigid to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Fredy Pokou , Jules Sadefo Kamdem , François Benhmad

In countries with an extended use of district heating (DH), the integrated operation of DH and power systems can increase the flexibility of the power system achieving a higher integration of renewable energy sources (RES). DH operators can…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-30 Ignacio Blanco , Daniela Guericke , Anders N. Andersen , Henrik Madsen

A new realized conditional autoregressive Value-at-Risk (VaR) framework is proposed, through incorporating a measurement equation into the original quantile regression model. The framework is further extended by employing various Expected…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Qian Chen

This paper proposes a novel single-level robust mathematical approach to model the RES-only Virtual Power Plant (RVPP) bidding problem in the simultaneous Day Ahead Market (DAM) and Secondary Reserve Market (SRM). The worst-case profit of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-06 Hadi Nemati , Pedro Sánchez-Martín , Ana Baringo , Álvaro Ortega

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has revolutionized quantitative trading (Q-trading) by achieving decent performance without significant human expert knowledge. Despite its achievements, we observe that the current state-of-the-art DRL…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Zhiming Li , Junzhe Jiang , Yushi Cao , Aixin Cui , Bozhi Wu , Bo Li , Yang Liu , Danny Dongning Sun

While the space of renewable energy forecasting has received significant attention in the last decade, literature has primarily focused on machine learning models that train on only one objective at a time. A host of classification (and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Aswin Kannan

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

We consider some crucial problems related to the secure and reliable operation of power systems with high renewable penetrations: how much reserve should we procure, how should reserve resources distribute among different locations, and how…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-19 Jiantao Shi , Ye Guo , Lang Tong , Wenchuan Wu , Hongbin Sun
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