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Time series analysis is crucial in fields like finance, economics, environmental science, and biomedical engineering, aiding in forecasting, pattern identification, and understanding underlying mechanisms. While traditional time-domain…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-21 Jonathan de Souza Matias , Valderio Anselmo Reisen

We perform a qualitative analysis of the critical equation associated with a stationary ergodic Hamiltonian through a stochastic version of the metric method, where the notion of closed random stationary set, issued from stochastic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-02-10 Andrea Davini , Antonio Siconolfi

We introduce a class of semiparametric time series models by assuming a quasi-likelihood approach driven by a latent factor process. More specifically, given the latent process, we only specify the conditional mean and variance of the time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Gisele O. Maia , Wagner Barreto-Souza , Fernando S. Bastos , Hernando Ombao

This paper concerns quasi-stochastic approximation (QSA) to solve root finding problems commonly found in applications to optimization and reinforcement learning. The general constant gain algorithm may be expressed as the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Caio Kalil Lauand , Sean Meyn

We present a class of stochastic processes in which the large deviation functions of time-integrated observables exhibit singularities that relate to dynamical phase transitions of trajectories. These illustrative examples include Brownian…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-24 Yogeesh Reddy Yerrababu , Satya N. Majumdar , Benjamin Guiselin , Tridib Sadhu

We study the spectral properties of classical and quantum Markovian processes that are reset at random times to a specific configuration or state with a reset rate that is independent of the current state of the system. We demonstrate that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-28 Dominic C. Rose , Hugo Touchette , Igor Lesanovsky , Juan P. Garrahan

Strong zero modes (SZMs) are conserved operators localised at the edges of certain quantum spin chains, which give rise to long coherence times of edge spins. Here we define and analyse analogous operators in one-dimensional classical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-04 Katja Klobas , Paul Fendley , Juan P. Garrahan

We investigate simple models for strictly non-ergodic stochastic processes $x_t$ ($t$ being the discrete time step) focusing on the expectation value $v$ and the standard deviation $\delta v$ of the empirical variance $v[x]$ of finite time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-11-23 G. George , L. Klochko , A. N. Semenov , J. Baschnagel , J. P. Wittmer

In modeling multivariate time series, it is important to allow time-varying smoothness in the mean and covariance process. In particular, there may be certain time intervals exhibiting rapid changes and others in which changes are slow. If…

Applications · Statistics 2014-06-02 Daniele Durante , Bruno Scarpa , David B. Dunson

The fraction r(t) of spins which have never flipped up to time t is studied within a linear diffusion approximation to phase ordering. Numerical simulations show that, even in this simple context, r(t) decays with time like a power-law with…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Bernard Derrida , Vincent Hakim , Reuven Zeitak

Periodically-driven open quantum systems that never thermalize exhibit a discrete time-crystal behavior, a non-equilibrium quantum phenomenon that has shown promise in quantum information processing applications. Measurements of…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2023-07-11 Subhajit Sarkar , Yonatan Dubi

Stochastic Spatio-Temporal processes are prevalent across domains ranging from modeling of plasma to the turbulence in fluids to the wave function of quantum systems. This letter studies a measure-theoretic description of such systems by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-25 George I. Boutselis , Ethan N. Evans , Marcus A. Pereira , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

We consider stochastic processes $Y(t)$ which can be represented as $Y(t)=(X(t))^s, s \in \mathbb{N},$ where $X(t)$ is a stationary strictly sub-Gaussian process and build a wavelet-based model that simulates $Y(t)$ with given accuracy and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Ievgen Turchyn

We re-analyze the quasi-linear self consistent dynamics for the beam-plasma instability, by comparing the theory predictions to numerical simulations of the corresponding Hamiltonian system. While the diffusive features of the asymptotic…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Giovanni Montani , Francesco Cianfrani , Nakia Carlevaro

In this work we introduce a class of dynamic models for time series taking values on the unit interval. The proposed model follows a generalized linear model approach where the random component, conditioned on the past information, follows…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-16 Guilherme Pumi , Taiane Schaedler Prass , Rafael Rigão Souza

A Gaussian operator basis provides a means to formulate phase-space simulations of the real- and imaginary-time evolution of quantum systems. Such simulations are guaranteed to be exact while the underlying distribution remains…

Computational Physics · Physics 2012-04-04 M. Ogren , K. V. Kheruntsyan , J. F. Corney

In this work we study a nonlinear Volterra equation with non-symmetric feedback that arises as a particular case of the Gurtin-MacCamy model in population dynamics. We are particularly interested in the existence of slowly oscillating…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-06-12 Quentin Griette , Franco Herrera

We propose strongly consistent estimators of the $\ell_1$ norm of the sequence of $\alpha$-mixing (respectively $\beta$-mixing) coefficients of a stationary ergodic process. We further provide strongly consistent estimators of individual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Azadeh Khaleghi , Gábor Lugosi

This paper generalizes recent results by the authors on noninvasive model-reference adaptive control designs for control-based continuation of periodic orbits in periodically excited linear systems with matched uncertainties to a larger…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Yang Li , Harry Dankowicz