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We consider the problem of forecasting complex, nonlinear space-time processes when observations provide only partial information of on the system's state. We propose a natural data-driven framework, where the system's dynamics are modelled…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Ibrahim Ayed , Emmanuel de Bézenac , Arthur Pajot , Julien Brajard , Patrick Gallinari

Latent ODE models provide flexible descriptions of dynamic systems, but they can struggle with extrapolation and predicting complicated non-linear dynamics. The latent ODE approach implicitly relies on encoders to identify unknown system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Matt L. Sampson , Peter Melchior

Causal inference in continuous-time sequential decision problems is challenged by hidden confounders. We show that, in latent state-space models with time-varying interventions, observability of the latent dynamics from observed data is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Jennifer Wendland , Nicolas Freitag , Maik Kschischo

We consider a problem of parameter estimation for the state space model described by linear stochastic differential equations. We assume that an unobservable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process drives another observable process by the linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Masahiro Kurisaki

In the functional linear regression model, many methods have been proposed and studied to estimate the slope function while the functional predictor was observed in the entire domain. However, works on functional linear regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-21 Yafei Wang , Tingyu Lai , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong , Zhongzhan Zhang

In this paper we consider the joint problems of state estimation and model identification for a class of continuous-time nonlinear systems in output-feedback canonical form. An adaptive observer is proposed that combines an extended…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-01 Michelangelo Bin , Lorenzo Marconi

We present two approaches to system identification, i.e. the identification of partial differential equations (PDEs) from measurement data. The first is a regression-based Variational System Identification procedure that is advantageous in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-03-28 Zhenlin Wang , Bowei Wu , Krishna Garikipati , Xun Huan

Non-linear state estimation and some related topics, like parametric estimation, fault diagnosis, and perturbation attenuation, are tackled here via a new methodology in numerical differentiation. The corresponding basic system theoretic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2008-11-06 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join , Hebertt Sira-Ramirez

This paper is devoted to the design of full order proportional-integral observer for the state estimation of discrete-time linear time-invariant systems. In particular, explicit necessary and sufficient conditions are established for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-07 Konstadinos H. Kiritsis

Causal inference relies on two fundamental assumptions: ignorability and positivity. We study causal inference when the true confounder value can be expressed as a function of the observed data; we call this setting estimation with…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-18 Aahlad Puli , Adler J. Perotte , Rajesh Ranganath

Learning the unknown causal parameters of a linear structural causal model is a fundamental task in causal analysis. The task, known as the problem of identification, asks to estimate the parameters of the model from a combination of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Julian Dörfler , Benito van der Zander , Markus Bläser , Maciej Liskiewicz

Dynamical systems modeling is a core pillar of scientific inquiry across natural and life sciences. Increasingly, dynamical system models are learned from data, rendering identifiability a paramount concept. For systems that are not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Cecilia Casolo , Sören Becker , Niki Kilbertus

The focus of this paper is to extend Fisher's linear discriminant analysis (LDA) to both densely re-corded functional data and sparsely observed longitudinal data for general $c$-category classification problems. We propose an efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-07 Lu-Hung Chen , Ci-Ren Jiang

Differential equations (DEs) are commonly used to describe dynamic systems evolving in one (ordinary differential equations or ODEs) or in more than one dimensions (partial differential equations or PDEs). In real data applications the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Gianluca Frasso , Jonathan Jaeger , Philippe Lambert

Reliable estimation of treatment effects from observational data is important in many disciplines such as medicine. However, estimation is challenging when unconfoundedness as a standard assumption in the causal inference literature is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Jonas Schweisthal , Dennis Frauen , Maresa Schröder , Konstantin Hess , Niki Kilbertus , Stefan Feuerriegel

In a recent article, the class of functions from the integers to the integers computable in polynomial time has been characterized using discrete ordinary differential equations (ODE), also known as finite differences. Doing so, we pointed…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Manon Blanc , Olivier Bournez

For arbitrary linear time-invariant systems, the existence of a strong functional observer is investigated. Such observer determines, from the available measurement on the plant, an estimate of a function of the state and the input. This…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-07 Michael Di Loreto , Damien Eberard

Differential equations are commonly used to model dynamical deterministic systems in applications. When statistical parameter estimation is required to calibrate theoretical models to data, classical statistical estimators are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Nicolas J-B Brunel , Quentin Clairon , Florence d'Alche-Buc

The problems of observability and identifiability have been of great interest as previous steps to estimating parameters and initial conditions of dynamical systems to which some known data (observations) are associated. While most works…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Alicja B Kubik , Benjamin Ivorra , Alain Rapaport , Ángel M Ramos

Causal discovery, i.e., inferring underlying causal relationships from observational data, is highly challenging for AI systems. In a time series modeling context, traditional causal discovery methods mainly consider constrained scenarios…