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Despite their success, Machine Learning (ML) models do not generalize effectively to data not originating from the training distribution. To reliably employ ML models in real-world healthcare systems and avoid inaccurate predictions on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Mohammad Azizmalayeri , Ameen Abu-Hanna , Giovanni Ciná

We study statistical inference and distributionally robust solution methods for stochastic optimization problems, focusing on confidence intervals for optimal values and solutions that achieve exact coverage asymptotically. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 John Duchi , Peter Glynn , Hongseok Namkoong

The objective of this paper is to extend an estimation method of parameters of the stable distributions in $\rd$ to the regularly varying tails distributions in an arbitrary cone. The consistency and the asymptotic normality of estimators…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-15 Youri Davydov , Shuyan Liu

A five-parameter distribution called the McDonald normal distribution is defined and studied. The new distribution contains, as special cases, several important distributions discussed in the literature, such as the normal, skew-normal,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-03 G. M. Cordeiro , R. J. Cintra , L. C. Rêgo

To improve nonparametric estimates of lifetime distributions, we propose using the increasing odds rate (IOR) model as an alternative to other popular, but more restrictive, ``adverse ageing'' models, such as the increasing hazard rate one.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-13 Tommaso Lando , Idir Arab , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

The statistics of edge-localised plasma instabilities (ELMs) in toroidal magnetically confined fusion plasmas are considered. From first principles, standard experimentally motivated assumptions are shown to determine a specific probability…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2013-02-27 A. J. Webster , R. O. Dendy

This paper proposes IV-based estimators for the semiparametric distribution regression model in the presence of an endogenous regressor, which are based on an extension of IV probit estimators. We discuss the causal interpretation of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-08 Dominik Wied

In this work, we consider the problem of estimating the probability distribution, the quantile or the conditional expectation above the quantile, the so called conditional-value-at-risk, of output quantities of complex random differential…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-23 Quentin Ayoul-Guilmard , Sundar Ganesh , Sebastian Krumscheid , Fabio Nobile

We analyze nonparametric estimators for the distribution function of the incubation time in the singly and doubly interval censoring model. The classical approach is to use parametric families like Weibull, log-normal or gamma distributions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Piet Groeneboom

An ordinal classification problem is one in which the target variable takes values on an ordinal scale. Nowadays, there are many of these problems associated with real-world tasks where it is crucial to accurately classify the extreme…

Partial identification often arises when the joint distribution of the data is known only up to its marginals. We consider the corresponding partially identified GMM model and develop a methodology for identification, estimation, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-29 Grigory Franguridi , Laura Liu

In this work, we address modal parameter fluctuations in statistical distributions describing charge-to-breakdown $(Q_{BD})$ and/or time-to-breakdown $(t_{BD})$ during the dielectric breakdown regime of ultra-thin oxides, which are of high…

This paper proposes a parametric approach for stochastic modeling of limit order markets. The models are obtained by augmenting classical perfectly liquid market models by few additional risk factors that describe liquidity properties of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-24 Pekka Malo , Teemu Pennanen

Prediction models often fail if train and test data do not stem from the same distribution. Out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization to unseen, perturbed test data is a desirable but difficult-to-achieve property for prediction models and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-25 Lucas Kook , Beate Sick , Peter Bühlmann

This work gives the asymptotic error distribution of the stochastic Runge--Kutta (SRK) method of strong order $1$ applied to Stratonovich-type stochastic differential equations. For dealing with the implicitness introduced in the diffusion…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Diancong Jin

This paper proposed a new probability distribution named as inverse xgamma distribution (IXGD). Different mathematical and statistical properties,viz., reliability characteristics, moments, inverse moments, stochastic ordering and order…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-04 Abhimanyu Singh Yadav , Sudhansu S. Maiti , Mahendra Saha , Arvind Pandey

We investigate the moment estimation for an ergodic diffusion process with unknown trend coefficient. We consider nonparametric and parametric estimation. In each case, we present a lower bound for the risk and then construct an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Yury A. Kutoyants , Nakahiro Yoshida

The spectral gap $\gamma$ of an ergodic and reversible Markov chain is an important parameter measuring the asymptotic rate of convergence. In applications, the transition matrix $P$ may be unknown, yet one sample of the chain up to a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-19 David A. Levin , Yuval Peres

The main objective of this paper is to estimate optimally Sobol' indices at any order when a unique input/output i.i.d.\ sample is available. Our approach stands on three main ingredients: semi-parametric estimation theory, high-order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Sébastien Da Veiga , Fabrice Gamboa , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Clémentine Prieur

We propose a new omnibus goodness-of-fit test based on trigonometric moments of probability-integral-transformed data. The test builds on the framework of the LK test introduced by Langholz and Kronmal [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 86 (1991),…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Alain Desgagné , Frédéric Ouimet
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