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Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS) provides a method for combining multiple predictive distributions based on agent/expert opinion analysis theory and encompasses a range of existing density forecast pooling methods. The key ingredient in…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-22 Tony Chernis , Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Gary Koop , James Mitchell

Regressions are commonly used in environmental science and economics to identify causal or associative relationships between variables. In these settings, remote sensing-derived map products increasingly serve as sources of variables,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-04 Kerri Lu , Dan M. Kluger , Stephen Bates , Sherrie Wang

We develop a novel Bayesian framework for dynamic modeling of mixed frequency data to nowcast quarterly U.S. GDP growth. The introduced framework utilizes foundational Bayesian theory and treats data sampled at different frequencies as…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-11 Kenichiro McAlinn

This paper aims to review the different impacts of income inequality drivers on the Gini coefficient, depending on institutional specificities. In this context, we divided the European Union member states in two clusters (the cluster of…

Categorical Gini Correlation (CGC), introduced by Dang et al. (2020), is a novel dependence measure designed to quantify the association between a numerical variable and a categorical variable. It has appealing properties compared to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Sameera Hewage

Linear mixed models are widely used for clustered data, but their reliance on parametric forms limits flexibility in complex and high-dimensional settings. In contrast, gradient boosting methods achieve high predictive accuracy through…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Mitchell L. Prevett , Francis K. C. Hui , Zhi Yang Tho , A. H. Welsh , Anton H. Westveld

Regional socioeconomic indicators are critical across various domains, yet their acquisition can be costly. Inferring global socioeconomic indicators from a limited number of regional samples is essential for enhancing management and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Xingchen Zou , Jiani Huang , Xixuan Hao , Yuhao Yang , Haomin Wen , Yibo Yan , Chao Huang , Chao Chen , Yuxuan Liang

We consider the problem of inference in discrete probabilistic models, that is, distributions over subsets of a finite ground set. These encompass a range of well-known models in machine learning, such as determinantal point processes and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-10 Alkis Gotovos , Hamed Hassani , Andreas Krause , Stefanie Jegelka

Bayesian multinomial logistic regression provides a principled, interpretable approach to multiclass classification, but posterior sampling becomes increasingly expensive as the model dimension grows. Prior work has studied scalability in…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-27 Jared D. Fisher , Kyle R. McEvoy

Accurate prediction with multimodal data-encompassing tabular, textual, and visual inputs or outputs-is fundamental to advancing analytics in diverse application domains. Traditional approaches often struggle to integrate heterogeneous data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-11 Xinyu Tian , Xiaotong Shen

High-dimensional data are routinely collected in many areas. We are particularly interested in Bayesian classification models in which one or more variables are imbalanced. Current Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-15 Deborshee Sen , Matthias Sachs , Jianfeng Lu , David Dunson

Understanding the how the distribution of an economic outcome, such as income, changes with respect to space and covariates is a key concern for policy makers. To address this, we develop a Bayesian nonparametric model, the Normalised…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ziyou Wang , Jim Griffin , Maria Kalli

In various industrial contexts, estimating the distribution of unobserved random vectors Xi from some noisy indirect observations H(Xi) + Ui is required. If the relation between Xi and the quantity H(Xi), measured with the error Ui, is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-25 Shuai Fu , Mathieu Couplet , Nicolas Bousquet

Motivated by research on gender identity norms and the distribution of the woman's share in a couple's total labor income, we consider functional additive regression models for probability density functions as responses with scalar…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Eva-Maria Maier , Almond Stöcker , Bernd Fitzenberger , Sonja Greven

Mixed data refers to a type of data in which variables can be of multiple types, such as continuous, discrete, or categorical. This data is routinely collected in various fields, including healthcare and social sciences. A common goal in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-22 Mauro Florez , Anna Gottard , Carrie McAdams , Michele Guindani , Marina Vannucci

Socio-economic inequality is measured using various indices. The Gini ($g$) index, giving the overall inequality is the most commonly used, while the recently introduced Kolkata ($k$) index gives a measure of $1-k$ fraction of population…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-07 Arnab Chatterjee , Asim Ghosh , Bikas K Chakrabarti

Structural transformation, the shift from agrarian economies to more diversified industrial and service-based systems, is a key driver of economic development. However, in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), data scarcity and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-02 Ronald Katende

Conditional correlation networks, within Gaussian Graphical Models (GGM), are widely used to describe the direct interactions between the components of a random vector. In the case of an unlabelled Heterogeneous population, Expectation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Thomas Lartigue , Stanley Durrleman , Stéphanie Allassonnière

Cities are characterized by the coexistence of general aggregate patterns, along with many local variations. This poses challenges for analyses of urban phenomena, which tend to be either too aggregated or too local, depending on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-30 Luís M. A. Bettencourt , Ivanna Rodriguez , Jordan T. Kemp , José Lobo

This paper studies a class of rank-based inequality measures built from linear combinations of expected order statistics. The proposed framework unifies several well-known indices, including the classical Gini coefficient, the $m$th Gini…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo
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