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We consider estimation and inference for a regression coefficient in panels with interactive fixed effects (i.e., with a factor structure). We demonstrate that existing estimators and confidence intervals (CIs) can be heavily biased and…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-13 Timothy B. Armstrong , Martin Weidner , Andrei Zeleneev

Factor analysis has been extensively used to reveal the dependence structures among multivariate variables, offering valuable insight in various fields. However, it cannot incorporate the spatial heterogeneity that is typically present in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Yanxiu Jin , Tomoya Wakayama , Renhe Jiang , Shonosuke Sugasawa

The Matrix Factorization models, sometimes called the latent factor models, are a family of methods in the recommender system research area to (1) generate the latent factors for the users and the items and (2) predict users' ratings on…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Hung-Hsuan Chen

This paper describes how to reparameterize low-dimensional factor models with one or two factors to fit weak identification theory developed for generalized method of moments models. Some identification-robust tests, here called "plug-in"…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-08 Gregory Cox

Factor analysis or sometimes referred to as variable analysis has been extensively used in classification problems for identifying specific factors that are significant to particular classes. This type of analysis has been widely used in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-01 Nagdev Amruthnath , Tarun Gupta

Factor analysis refers to a statistical model in which observed variables are conditionally independent given fewer hidden variables, known as factors, and all the random variables follow a multivariate normal distribution. The parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Mathias Drton , Bernd Sturmfels , Seth Sullivant

Motivated by Tucker tensor decomposition, this paper imposes low-rank structures to the column and row spaces of coefficient matrices in a multivariate infinite-order vector autoregression (VAR), which leads to a supervised factor model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-04 Feiqing Huang , Kexin Lu , Guodong Li

This paper provides some extended results on estimating parameter matrix of several regression models when the covariate or response possesses weaker moment condition. We study the $M$-estimator of Fan et al. (Ann Stat 49(3):1239--1266,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Kangqiang Li , Songqiao Tang , Lixin Zhang

We introduce a high-dimensional factor model with time-varying loadings. We cover both stationary and nonstationary factors to increase the possibilities of applications. We propose an estimation procedure based on two stages. First, we…

Estimates of the approximate factor model are increasingly used in empirical work. Their theoretical properties, studied some twenty years ago, also laid the ground work for analysis on large dimensional panel data models with cross-section…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-04 Jushan Bai , Serena Ng

We propose a novel approximate factor model tailored for analyzing time-dependent curve data. Our model decomposes such data into two distinct components: a low-dimensional predictable factor component and an unpredictable error term. These…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-26 Sven Otto , Nazarii Salish

We propose a flexible dual functional factor model for modelling high-dimensional functional time series. In this model, a high-dimensional fully functional factor parametrisation is imposed on the observed functional processes, whereas a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-15 Chenlei Leng , Degui Li , Hanlin Shang , Yingcun Xia

Factor analysis acts a pivotal role in enhancing maritime safety. Most previous studies conduct factor analysis within the framework of incident-related label prediction, where the developed models can be categorized into short-term and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Tianyi Chen , Hua Wang , Yutong Cai , Maohan Liang , Qiang Meng

High-frequency quantitative investment is a crucial aspect of stock investment. Notably, order flow data plays a critical role as it provides the most detailed level of information among high-frequency trading data, including comprehensive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-17 Xianfeng Jiao , Zizhong Li , Chang Xu , Yang Liu , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian

We consider forecasting a single time series when there is a large number of predictors and a possible nonlinear effect. The dimensionality was first reduced via a high-dimensional (approximate) factor model implemented by the principal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-29 Jianqing Fan , Lingzhou Xue , Jiawei Yao

A high-dimensional $r$-factor model for an $n$-dimensional vector time series is characterised by the presence of a large eigengap (increasing with $n$) between the $r$-th and the $(r+1)$-th largest eigenvalues of the covariance matrix.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho

Causal inference in multivariate time series is challenging due to the fact that the sampling rate may not be as fast as the timescale of the causal interactions. In this context, we can view our observed series as a subsampled version of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-11 Alex Tank , Emily B. Fox , Ali Shojaie

Slow feature analysis (SFA) is a method for extracting slowly varying driving forces from quickly varying nonstationary time series. We show here that it is possible for SFA to detect a component which is even slower than the driving force…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-11-24 Wolfgang Konen , Patrick Koch

We examine machine learning and factor-based portfolio optimization. We find that factors based on autoencoder neural networks exhibit a weaker relationship with commonly used characteristic-sorted portfolios than popular dimensionality…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Thomas Conlon , John Cotter , Iason Kynigakis

An observed $K$-dimensional series $\left\{ y_{n}\right\} _{n=1}^{N}$ is expressed in terms of a lower $p$-dimensional latent series called factors $f_{n}$ and random noise $\varepsilon_{n}$. The equation, $y_{n}=Qf_{n}+\varepsilon_{n}$ is…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-29 Immanuel Manohar
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