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We develop theory leading to testing procedures for the presence of a change point in the intraday volatility pattern. The new theory is developed in the framework of Functional Data Analysis. It is based on a model akin to the stochastic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-19 Piotr Kokoszka , Tim Kutta , Neda Mohammadi , Haonan Wang , Shixuan Wang

Principal component analysis is a versatile tool to reduce dimensionality which has wide applications in statistics and machine learning. It is particularly useful for modeling data in high-dimensional scenarios where the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-18 Xiaoyu Hu , Fang Yao

Random matrix theory allows one to deduce the eigenvalue spectrum of a large matrix given only statistical information about its elements. Such results provide insight into what factors contribute to the stability of complex dynamical…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-01-30 Joseph W. Baron , Thomas Jun Jewell , Christopher Ryder , Tobias Galla

Detecting structural changes in functional data is a prominent topic in statistical literature. However not all trends in the data are important in applications, but only those of large enough influence. In this paper we address the problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Holger Dette , Tim Kutta

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a popular dimension reduction technique often used to visualize high-dimensional data structures. In genomics, this can involve millions of variables, but only tens to hundreds of observations.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Kristoffer Hellton , Magne Thoresen

This paper deals with analyzing structural breaks in the covariance operator of sequentially observed functional data. For this purpose, procedures are developed to segment an observed stretch of curves into periods for which second-order…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-11 Alexander Aue , Gregory Rice , Ozan Sönmez

The issue addressed in this paper is that of testing for common breaks across or within equations of a multivariate system. Our framework is very general and allows integrated regressors and trends as well as stationary regressors. The null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Tatsushi Oka , Pierre Perron

We develop a class of optimal tests for a structural break occurring at an unknown date in infinite and growing-order time series regression models, such as AR($\infty$), linear regression with increasingly many covariates, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-15 Abhimanyu Gupta , Myung Hwan Seo

We build a simple diagnostic criterion for approximate factor structure in large cross-sectional equity datasets. Given a model for asset returns with observable factors, the criterion checks whether the error terms are weakly…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-08 Patrick Gagliardini , Elisa Ossola , Olivier Scaillet

We study the long-standing problem of determining the number of principal components in econometric applications from a selective inference perspective. We consider i.i.d. observations from a $p$-dimensional random vector with $p<n$ and…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-12 Yasuyuki Matsumura , Chisato Tachibana

The article discusses selected problems related to both principal component analysis (PCA) and factor analysis (FA). In particular, both types of analysis were compared. A vector interpretation for both PCA and FA has also been proposed.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Zenon Gniazdowski

Let $G$ be an $N \times N$ real matrix whose entries are independent identically distributed standard normal random variables $G_{ij} \sim \mathcal{N}(0,1)$. The eigenvalues of such matrices are known to form a two-component system…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-07 N. J. Simm

Principal component analysis is a useful dimension reduction and data visualization method. However, in high dimension, low sample size asymptotic contexts, where the sample size is fixed and the dimension goes to infinity,a paradox has…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-21 Dan Shen , Haipeng Shen , Hongtu Zhu , J. S. Marron

By defining two important terms called basic perturbation vectors and obtaining their linear bounds, we obtain the linear componentwise perturbation bounds for unitary factors and upper triangular factors of the generalized Schur…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-21 Guihua Zhang , Hanyu Li , Yimin Wei

We propose novel methods for change-point testing for nonparametric estimators of expected shortfall and related risk measures in weakly dependent time series. We can detect general multiple structural changes in the tails of marginal…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-07 Lin Fan , Junting Duan , Peter W. Glynn , Markus Pelger

This paper studies the identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions (SVARs) exploiting a break in the variances of the structural shocks. Point-identification for this class of models relies on an eigen-decomposition involving the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-10 Emanuele Bacchiocchi , Andrea Bastianin , Toru Kitagawa , Elisabetta Mirto

This paper presents a method for predicting stock returns using principal component analysis (PCA) and the hidden Markov model (HMM) and tests the results of trading stocks based on this approach. Principal component analysis is applied to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-04 Eugene W. Park

This paper considers the problem of testing many moment inequalities where the number of moment inequalities, denoted by $p$, is possibly much larger than the sample size $n$. There is a variety of economic applications where solving this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-22 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

In this paper new tests for the independence of two high-dimensional vectors are investigated. We consider the case where the dimension of the vectors increases with the sample size and propose multivariate analysis of variance-type…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Holger Dette , Nestor Parolya

This paper proposes a novel method for determining the number of factors in linear factor models under stability considerations. An instability measure is proposed based on the principal angle between the estimated loading spaces obtained…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-13 Sze Ming Lee , Yunxiao Chen