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We develop a data-driven algorithm for automatically selecting the regularisation parameter in Bayesian inversion under random tree Besov priors. One of the key challenges in Bayesian inversion is the construction of priors that are both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Hanne Kekkonen , Andreas Tataris

Model selection and order selection problems frequently arise in statistical practice. A popular approach to addressing these problems in the frequentist setting involves information criteria based on penalised maxima of log-likelihoods for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Hien Duy Nguyen , Mayetri Gupta , Jacob Westerhout , TrungTin Nguyen

For constrained linear systems with bounded disturbances and parametric uncertainty, we propose a robust adaptive model predictive control strategy with online parameter estimation. Constraints enforcing persistently exciting closed loop…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Xiaonan Lu , Mark Cannon

A challenging problem in estimating high-dimensional graphical models is to choose the regularization parameter in a data-dependent way. The standard techniques include $K$-fold cross-validation ($K$-CV), Akaike information criterion (AIC),…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-06-18 Han Liu , Kathryn Roeder , Larry Wasserman

Accurate value estimates are important for off-policy reinforcement learning. Algorithms based on temporal difference learning typically are prone to an over- or underestimation bias building up over time. In this paper, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Nicolai Dorka , Tim Welschehold , Joschka Boedecker , Wolfram Burgard

Traditional metrics like accuracy, F1-score, and precision are frequently used to evaluate machine learning models, however they may not be sufficient for evaluating performance on tiny, unbalanced, or high-dimensional datasets. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Serzhan Ossenov

We address the problem of providing inference from a Bayesian perspective for parameters selected after viewing the data. We present a Bayesian framework for providing inference for selected parameters, based on the observation that…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-13 Daniel Yekutieli

Performing model selection between Gibbs random fields is a very challenging task. Indeed, due to the Markovian dependence structure, the normalizing constant of the fields cannot be computed using standard analytical or numerical methods.…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-04 Julien Stoehr , Jean-Michel Marin , Pierre Pudlo

This paper introduces a novel parameter estimation method for the probability tables of Bayesian network classifiers (BNCs), using hierarchical Dirichlet processes (HDPs). The main result of this paper is to show that improved parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-09 Francois Petitjean , Wray Buntine , Geoffrey I. Webb , Nayyar Zaidi

We provide a brief overview of both Bayes and classical model selection. We argue tentatively that model selection has at least two major goals, that of finding the correct model or predicting well, and that in general both these goals may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-05 Ritabrata Dutta , Malgortaza Bogdan , Jayanta K. Ghosh

Feature selection aims to select the smallest subset of features for a specified level of performance. The optimal achievable classification performance on a feature subset is summarized by its Receiver Operating Curve (ROC). When infinite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Frans Coetzee , Steve Lawrence , C. Lee Giles

This book chapter introduces regression approaches and regression adjustment for Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC). Regression adjustment adjusts parameter values after rejection sampling in order to account for the imperfect match…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-06 Michael GB Blum

The widely applicable Bayesian information criterion (WBIC) is a simple and fast approximation to the model evidence that has received little practical consideration. WBIC uses the fact that the log evidence can be written as an…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-29 N. Friel , J. P. McKeone , C. J. Oates , A. N. Pettitt

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

We study an approach to learning pruning masks by optimizing the expected loss of stochastic pruning masks, i.e., masks which zero out each weight independently with some weight-specific probability. We analyze the training dynamics of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-25 Soufiane Hayou , Bobby He , Gintare Karolina Dziugaite

Despite the possibility to quickly compute reachable sets of large-scale linear systems, current methods are not yet widely applied by practitioners. The main reason for this is probably that current approaches are not push-button-capable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Mark Wetzlinger , Niklas Kochdumper , Matthias Althoff

Recent developments in linear system identification have proposed the use of non-parameteric methods, relying on regularization strategies, to handle the so-called bias/variance trade-off. This paper introduces an impulse response estimator…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-10-01 Giulia Prando , Alessandro Chiuso , Gianluigi Pillonetto

We propose Bayesian Conformal Prediction (BCP), a framework that combines Bayesian posterior predictive distributions with PAC-style conformal risk control to produce prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Fanyi Wu , Veronika Lohmanova , Samuel Kaski , Michele Caprio

Akaike's information criterion (AIC) is a measure of the quality of a statistical model for a given set of data. We can determine the best statistical model for a particular data set by the minimization of the AIC. Since we need to evaluate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-21 Keiji Kimura , Hayato Waki

We propose a first-order stochastic optimization algorithm incorporating adaptive regularization applicable to machine learning problems in deep learning framework. The adaptive regularization is imposed by stochastic process in determining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-15 Kensuke Nakamura , Stefano Soatto , Byung-Woo Hong