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Clinical trials are crucial for drug development but are time consuming, expensive, and often burdensome on patients. More importantly, clinical trials face uncertain outcomes due to issues with efficacy, safety, or problems with patient…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Tianfan Fu , Kexin Huang , Cao Xiao , Lucas M. Glass , Jimeng Sun

This study evaluates the performance of large language models (LLMs) and the HINT model in predicting clinical trial outcomes, focusing on metrics including Balanced Accuracy, Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC), Recall, and Specificity.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Shuyi Jin , Lu Chen , Hongru Ding , Meijie Wang , Lun Yu

Large Language Models (LLMs) and multi-agent systems have shown impressive capabilities in natural language tasks but face challenges in clinical trial applications, primarily due to limited access to external knowledge. Recognizing the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Ling Yue , Sixue Xing , Jintai Chen , Tianfan Fu

Clinical trials need to recruit a sufficient number of volunteer patients to demonstrate the statistical power of the treatment (e.g., a new drug) in curing a certain disease. Clinical trial recruitment has a significant impact on trial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Ling Yue , Sixue Xing , Jintai Chen , Tianfan Fu

The importance of uncertainty quantification is increasingly recognized in the diverse field of machine learning. Accurately assessing model prediction uncertainty can help provide deeper understanding and confidence for researchers and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Tianyi Chen , Yingzhou Lu , Nan Hao , Yuanyuan Zhang , Capucine Van Rechem , Jintai Chen , Tianfan Fu

New medical treatment development requires multiple phases of clinical trials. Despite the significant human and financial costs of bringing a drug to market, less than 20% of drugs in testing will make it from the first phase to final…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Michael Reinisch , Jianfeng He , Chenxi Liao , Sauleh Ahmad Siddiqui , Bei Xiao

Clinical trials are critical for advancing medical treatments but remain prohibitively expensive and time-consuming. Accurate prediction of clinical trial outcomes can significantly reduce research and development costs and accelerate drug…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Fengze Liu , Haoyu Wang , Joonhyuk Cho , Dan Roth , Andrew W. Lo

Clinical trials are essential to drug development but time-consuming, costly, and prone to failure. Accurate trial outcome prediction based on historical trial data promises better trial investment decisions and more trial success. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Zifeng Wang , Cao Xiao , Jimeng Sun

Clinical trials are crucial for assessing new treatments; however, recruitment challenges - such as limited awareness, complex eligibility criteria, and referral barriers - hinder their success. With the growth of online platforms, patients…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Joey Chan , Qiao Jin , Nicholas Wan , Charalampos S. Floudas , Elisabetta Xue , Zhiyong Lu

To solve complex tasks, large language models (LLMs) often require multiple rounds of interactions with the user, sometimes assisted by external tools. However, current evaluation protocols often emphasize benchmark performance with…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Xingyao Wang , Zihan Wang , Jiateng Liu , Yangyi Chen , Lifan Yuan , Hao Peng , Heng Ji

Large language models (LLMs) achieve high accuracy in medical diagnosis when all clinical information is provided in a single turn, yet how they behave under multi-turn evidence accumulation closer to real clinical reasoning remains…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Jinrui Fang , Runhan Chen , Xu Yang , Jian Yu , Jiawei Xu , Ashwin Vinod , Wenqi Shi , Tianlong Chen , Heng Ji , ChengXiang Zhai , Ying Ding , Yuji Zhang

Clinical trials are characterized by high costs, extended timelines, and substantial operational risk, yet reliable prospective methods for predicting trial success before initiation remain limited. Existing artificial intelligence…

Effective decision making from randomised controlled clinical trials relies on robust interpretation of the numerical results. However, the language we use to describe clinical trials can cause confusion both in trial design and in…

Clinical trials are critical for drug development. Constructing the appropriate eligibility criteria (i.e., the inclusion/exclusion criteria for patient recruitment) is essential for the trial's success. Proper design of clinical trial…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Zifeng Wang , Cao Xiao , Jimeng Sun

As a critical component for online advertising and marking, click-through rate (CTR) prediction has draw lots of attentions from both industry and academia field. Recently, the deep learning has become the mainstream methodological choice…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Zhishan Zhao , Sen Yang , Guohui Liu , Dawei Feng , Kele Xu

Outcome prediction from clinical text can prevent doctors from overlooking possible risks and help hospitals to plan capacities. We simulate patients at admission time, when decision support can be especially valuable, and contribute a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Betty van Aken , Jens-Michalis Papaioannou , Manuel Mayrdorfer , Klemens Budde , Felix A. Gers , Alexander Löser

This work presents the development and evaluation of an NLP-enabled probabilistic classifier designed to estimate the probability of technical and regulatory success (pTRS) for clinical trials in the field of neuroscience. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Michael R. Doane

Clinical trials offer a fundamental opportunity to discover new treatments and advance the medical knowledge. However, the uncertainty of the outcome of a trial can lead to unforeseen costs and setbacks. In this study, we propose a new…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Georgios Katsimpras , Georgios Paliouras

The scarcity of high-quality multimodal biomedical data limits the ability to effectively fine-tune pretrained Large Language Models (LLMs) for specialized biomedical tasks. To address this challenge, we introduce MINT (Multimodal…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-18 Zhanliang Wang , Da Wu , Quan Nguyen , Zhuoran Xu , Kai Wang

Language agents have shown some ability to interact with an external environment, e.g., a virtual world such as ScienceWorld, to perform complex tasks, e.g., growing a plant, without the startup costs of reinforcement learning. However,…

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