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Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

Modern cities are increasingly reliant on data-driven insights to support decision making in areas such as transportation, public safety and environmental impact. However, city-level data often exists in heterogeneous formats, collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Takuya Kurihana , Xiaojian Zhang , Wing Yee Au , Hon Yung Wong

Numerous deep learning architectures have been developed to accommodate the diversity of time series datasets across different domains. In this article, we survey common encoder and decoder designs used in both one-step-ahead and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-28 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren

Time Series Forecasting is at the core of many practical applications such as sales forecasting for business, rainfall forecasting for agriculture and many others. Though this problem has been extensively studied for years, it is still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Anirban Chatterjee , Subhadip Paul , Uddipto Dutta , Smaranya Dey

Forecasting groups of time series is of increasing practical importance, e.g. forecasting the demand for multiple products offered by a retailer or server loads within a data center. The local approach to this problem considers each time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Pablo Montero-Manso , Rob J Hyndman

Deep learning models have grown increasingly popular in time series applications. However, the large quantity of newly proposed architectures, together with often contradictory empirical results, makes it difficult to assess which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Valentina Moretti , Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Cesare Alippi

Multivariate time series forecasting is essential in domains such as finance, transportation, climate, and energy. However, existing patch-based methods typically adopt fixed-length segmentation, overlooking the heterogeneity of local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Kuiye Ding , Fanda Fan , Chunyi Hou , Zheya Wang , Lei Wang , Zhengxin Yang , Jianfeng Zhan

Unsupervised clustering of temporal data is both challenging and crucial in machine learning. In this paper, we show that neither traditional clustering methods, time series specific or even deep learning-based alternatives generalise well…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Nuno Mota Goncalves , Ioana Giurgiu , Anika Schumann

Time series forecasting is vital in many real-world applications, yet developing models that generalize well on unseen relevant domains -- such as forecasting web traffic data on new platforms/websites or estimating e-commerce demand in new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Songgaojun Deng , Maarten de Rijke

Time series forecasting is a critical task in various domains, where accurate predictions can drive informed decision-making. Traditional forecasting methods often rely on current observations of variables to predict future outcomes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Wentao Gao , Xiaojing Du , Wenjun Yu , Xiongren Chen , Yifan Guo , Feiyu Yang

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

This paper is concerned with online time series forecasting, where unknown distribution shifts occur over time, i.e., latent variables influence the mapping from historical to future observations. To develop an automated way of online time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Zijian Li , Changze Zhou , Minghao Fu , Sanjay Manjunath , Fan Feng , Guangyi Chen , Yingyao Hu , Ruichu Cai , Kun Zhang

Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Xiangjie Kong , Zhenghao Chen , Weiyao Liu , Kaili Ning , Lechao Zhang , Syauqie Muhammad Marier , Yichen Liu , Yuhao Chen , Feng Xia

Cyber-physical systems often consist of entities that interact with each other over time. Meanwhile, as part of the continued digitization of industrial processes, various sensor technologies are deployed that enable us to record…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-03 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Darius-Valer Micu , Gabriel-Marcel Muresan , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Forecasting the behaviour of complex dynamical systems such as interconnected sensor networks characterized by high-dimensional multivariate time series(MTS) is of paramount importance for making informed decisions and planning for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana , Shivam Gupta , Krishna Sai Sudhir Aripirala , Venkataramana Runkana

Accurate time series forecasting is a fundamental challenge in data science. It is often affected by external covariates such as weather or human intervention, which in many applications, may be predicted with reasonable accuracy. We refer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Jimeng Shi , Rukmangadh Myana , Vitalii Stebliankin , Azam Shirali , Giri Narasimhan

Time series forecasting at scale presents significant challenges for modern prediction systems, particularly when dealing with large sets of synchronized series, such as in a global payment network. In such systems, three key challenges…

Accurate forecasting of multivariate time series remains challenging due to the need to capture both short-term fluctuations and long-range temporal dependencies. Transformer-based models have emerged as a powerful approach, but their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Aymane Harkati , Moncef Garouani , Olivier Teste , Julien Aligon , Mohamed Hamlich

We introduce a neural network conformal prediction method for time series that enhances adaptivity in non-stationary environments. Our approach acts as a neural controller designed to achieve desired target coverage, leveraging auxiliary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Ruipu Li , Alexander Rodríguez