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Uncertainty estimation in deep learning has become a leading research field in medical image analysis due to the need for safe utilisation of AI algorithms in clinical practice. Most approaches for uncertainty estimation require sampling…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-12 Kaisar Kushibar , Víctor Manuel Campello , Lidia Garrucho Moras , Akis Linardos , Petia Radeva , Karim Lekadir

Deep learning has emerged as a promising paradigm to give access to highly accurate predictions of molecular and materials properties. A common short-coming shared by current approaches, however, is that neural networks only give point…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-05-10 Albert Zhu , Simon Batzner , Albert Musaelian , Boris Kozinsky

Deep Ensembles, as a type of Bayesian Neural Networks, can be used to estimate uncertainty on the prediction of multiple neural networks by collecting votes from each network and computing the difference in those predictions. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-10 Illia Oleksiienko , Alexandros Iosifidis

Neural networks (NNs) lack measures of "reliability" estimation that would enable reasoning over their predictions. Despite the vital importance, especially in areas of human well-being and health, state-of-the-art uncertainty estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Lorena Qendro , Jagmohan Chauhan , Alberto Gil C. P. Ramos , Cecilia Mascolo

Recent studies have shown that ensemble approaches could not only improve accuracy and but also estimate model uncertainty in deep learning. However, it requires a large number of parameters according to the increase of ensemble models for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-25 Hong Joo Lee , Seong Tae Kim , Hakmin Lee , Nassir Navab , Yong Man Ro

Deep Ensembles are a simple, reliable, and effective method of improving both the predictive performance and uncertainty estimates of deep learning approaches. However, they are widely criticised as being computationally expensive, due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Guoxuan Xia , Christos-Savvas Bouganis

Deep Learning methods are known to suffer from calibration issues: they typically produce over-confident estimates. These problems are exacerbated in the low data regime. Although the calibration of probabilistic models is well studied,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-30 Rahul Rahaman , Alexandre H. Thiery

Short-term load forecasting for AI data centers presents new challenges because it is computing-driven, with heterogeneous job arrivals, sizes, and durations exhibiting bursty, non-stationary dynamics. Compared with traditional load types,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-01 Ziying Wang , Ying Zhang , Lei Wang , Yuzhang Lin

Ensemble models can be used to estimate prediction uncertainties in machine learning models. However, an ensemble of N models is approximately N times more computationally demanding compared to a single model when it is used for inference.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Vidit Agrawal , Shixin Zhang , Lane E. Schultz , Dane Morgan

The success of deep neural networks (DNNs) is heavily dependent on computational resources. While DNNs are often employed on cloud servers, there is a growing need to operate DNNs on edge devices. Edge devices are typically limited in their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-08 May Malka , Erez Farhan , Hai Morgenstern , Nir Shlezinger

Deep neural networks have amply demonstrated their prowess but estimating the reliability of their predictions remains challenging. Deep Ensembles are widely considered as being one of the best methods for generating uncertainty estimates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Nikita Durasov , Timur Bagautdinov , Pierre Baque , Pascal Fua

Deep Ensembles (DE) are a prominent approach for achieving excellent performance on key metrics such as accuracy, calibration, uncertainty estimation, and out-of-distribution detection. However, hardware limitations of real-world systems…

Ensembles of neural networks achieve superior performance compared to stand-alone networks in terms of accuracy, uncertainty calibration and robustness to dataset shift. \emph{Deep ensembles}, a state-of-the-art method for uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Sheheryar Zaidi , Arber Zela , Thomas Elsken , Chris Holmes , Frank Hutter , Yee Whye Teh

Ensembles over neural network weights trained from different random initialization, known as deep ensembles, achieve state-of-the-art accuracy and calibration. The recently introduced batch ensembles provide a drop-in replacement that is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-11 Florian Wenzel , Jasper Snoek , Dustin Tran , Rodolphe Jenatton

This paper investigates novel classifier ensemble techniques for uncertainty calibration applied to various deep neural networks for image classification. We evaluate both accuracy and calibration metrics, focusing on Expected Calibration…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Michael Schulze , Nikolas Ebert , Laurenz Reichardt , Oliver Wasenmüller

Ensembling a neural network is a widely recognized approach to enhance model performance, estimate uncertainty, and improve robustness in deep supervised learning. However, deep ensembles often come with high computational costs and memory…

Fast estimates of model uncertainty are required for many robust robotics applications. Deep Ensembles provides state of the art uncertainty without requiring Bayesian methods, but still it is computationally expensive. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Matias Valdenegro-Toro

Ensembling multiple predictions is a widely used technique for improving the accuracy of various machine learning tasks. One obvious drawback of ensembling is its higher execution cost during inference. In this paper, we first describe our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-11 Hiroshi Inoue

Detection Transformer (DETR) and its variants show strong performance on object detection, a key task for autonomous systems. However, a critical limitation of these models is that their confidence scores only reflect semantic uncertainty,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Yutong Yang , Katarina Popović , Julian Wiederer , Markus Braun , Vasileios Belagiannis , Bin Yang

Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell
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