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In safety-critical applications like medical diagnosis, certainty associated with a model's prediction is just as important as its accuracy. Consequently, uncertainty estimation and reduction play a crucial role. Uncertainty in predictions…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-12 Abhishek Singh Sambyal , Narayanan C. Krishnan , Deepti R. Bathula

Online (also called "recursive" or "adaptive") estimation of fixed model parameters in hidden Markov models is a topic of much interest in times series modelling. In this work, we propose an online parameter estimation algorithm that…

Computation · Statistics 2011-02-16 Olivier Cappé

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the prop- erties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-18 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

We consider the problem of estimating a rank-one matrix in Gaussian noise under a probabilistic model for the left and right factors of the matrix. The probabilistic model can impose constraints on the factors including sparsity and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-09-16 Alyson K. Fletcher , Sundeep Rangan

While the design of automated knowledge-based sensor scheduling is relevant to many multi-target detection and tracking problems, tracking algorithms are rarely built for this purpose and their outputs provide little flexibility for the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-13 Emmanuel Delande , Jeremie Houssineau , Daniel E. Clark

Randomized smoothing is a popular certified defense against adversarial attacks. In its essence, we need to solve a problem of statistical estimation which is usually very time-consuming since we need to perform numerous (usually $10^5$)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Vaclav Voracek

This paper investigates the supervised learning problem with observations drawn from certain general stationary stochastic processes. Here by \emph{general}, we mean that many stationary stochastic processes can be included. We show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-11 Hanyuan Hang , Yunlong Feng , Ingo Steinwart , Johan A. K. Suykens

Given a set of human's decisions that are observed, inverse optimization has been developed and utilized to infer the underlying decision making problem. The majority of existing studies assumes that the decision making problem is with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-03 Chaosheng Dong , Bo Zeng

Many quantum algorithms contain an important subroutine, the quantum amplitude estimation. As the name implies, this is essentially the parameter estimation problem and thus can be handled via the established statistical estimation theory.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-01-10 Tomoki Tanaka , Shumpei Uno , Tamiya Onodera , Naoki Yamamoto , Yohichi Suzuki

This paper presents a novel machine-learning framework for reconstructing low-order gust-encounter flow field and lift coefficients from sparse, noisy surface pressure measurements. Our study thoroughly investigates the time-varying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Hanieh Mousavi , Jeff D. Eldredge

The analysis of high-dimensional dynamical systems generally requires the integration of simulation data with experimental measurements. Experimental data often has substantial amounts of measurement noise that compromises the ability to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Samuel Rudy , Steven Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Suppose $L$ simultaneous independent stochastic systems generate observations, where the observations from each system depend on the underlying parameter of that system. The observations are unlabeled (anonymized), in the sense that an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-01 Vikram Krishnamurthy

In this paper, we propose a class of penalty methods with stochastic approximation for solving stochastic nonlinear programming problems. We assume that only noisy gradients or function values of the objective function are available via…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-05-20 Xiao Wang , Shiqian Ma , Ya-xiang Yuan

Reconstruction fidelity of sparse signals contaminated by sparse noise is considered. Statistical mechanics inspired tools are used to show that the l1-norm based convex optimization algorithm exhibits a phase transition between the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-09-17 Mikko Vehkapera , Yoshiyuki Kabashima , Saikat Chatterjee

The problem of detection and possible estimation of a signal generated by a dynamic system when a variable number of noisy measurements can be taken is here considered. Assuming a Markov evolution of the system (in particular, the pair…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Emanuele Grossi , Marco Lops

We develop a (nearly) unbiased particle filtering algorithm for a specific class of continuous-time state-space models, such that (a) the latent process $X_t$ is a linear Gaussian diffusion; and (b) the observations arise from a Poisson…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-07 Ruiyang Jin , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Nicolas Chopin

We present a Bayesian perspective on quantifying the uncertainty of graph signals estimated or reconstructed from imperfect observations. We show that many conventional methods of graph signal estimation, reconstruction and imputation, can…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-22 Lennard Rompelberg , Michael T. Schaub

Image reconstruction methods based on deep neural networks have shown outstanding performance, equalling or exceeding the state-of-the-art results of conventional approaches, but often do not provide uncertainty information about the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Riccardo Barbano , Željko Kereta , Chen Zhang , Andreas Hauptmann , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

Every quantum system is coupled to an environment. Such system-environment interaction leads to temporal correlation between quantum operations at different times, resulting in non-Markovian noise. In principle, a full characterisation of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-01 K. Goswami , C. Giarmatzi , C. Monterola , S. Shrapnel , J. Romero , F. Costa

Real-world autonomous systems operate under uncertainty about both their pose and dynamics. Autonomous control systems must simultaneously perform estimation and control tasks to maintain robustness to changing dynamics or modeling errors.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-03 Patrick Slade , Zachary N. Sunberg , Mykel J. Kochenderfer
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