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Related papers: On Correlation and Prediction Interval Reduction

200 papers

Code-switching, the alternation of languages within a single discourse, presents a significant challenge for Automatic Speech Recognition. Despite the unique nature of the task, performance is commonly measured with established metrics such…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Enes Yavuz Ugan , Ngoc-Quan Pham , Leonard Bärmann , Alex Waibel

We study the problem of conditional predictive inference on multiple outcomes missing at random (MAR) -- or equivalently, under covariate shift. While the weighted conformal prediction offers a tool for inference under covariate shift with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-01 Yonghoon Lee , Edgar Dobriban , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

We consider a linear regression model, with the parameter of interest a specified linear combination of the regression parameter vector. We suppose that, as a first step, a data-based model selection (e.g. by preliminary hypothesis tests or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-27 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri

It is common in machine learning to estimate a response $y$ given covariate information $x$. However, these predictions alone do not quantify any uncertainty associated with said predictions. One way to overcome this deficiency is with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Chancellor Johnstone , Eugene Ndiaye

We propose an information-theoretic bias measurement technique through a causal interpretation of spurious correlation, which is effective to identify the feature-level algorithmic bias by taking advantage of conditional mutual information.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Seonguk Seo , Joon-Young Lee , Bohyung Han

In the context of a high-dimensional linear regression model, we propose the use of an empirical correlation-adaptive prior that makes use of information in the observed predictor variable matrix to adaptively address high collinearity,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Chang Liu , Yue Yang , Howard Bondell , Ryan Martin

The linear regression models are widely used statistical techniques in numerous practical applications. The standard regression model requires several assumptions about the regres- sors and the error term. The regression parameters are…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-23 P. Vellaisamy

This paper considers the generation of prediction intervals (PIs) by neural networks for quantifying uncertainty in regression tasks. It is axiomatic that high-quality PIs should be as narrow as possible, whilst capturing a specified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-10 Tim Pearce , Mohamed Zaki , Alexandra Brintrup , Andy Neely

In this survey, we present and compare different approaches to estimate Mutual Information (MI) from data to analyse general dependencies between variables of interest in a system. We demonstrate the performance difference of MI versus…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-18 D. Gencaga , N. K. Malakar , D. J. Lary

Recent advances in Post-Selection Inference have shown that conditional testing is relevant and tractable in high-dimensions. In the Gaussian linear model, further works have derived unconditional test statistics such as the Kac-Rice Pivot…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-13 Jean-Marc Azaïs , Yohann de Castro , Stéphane Mourareau

The Pearson correlation, correlation ratio, and maximal correlation have been well-studied in the literature. In this paper, we study the conditional versions of these quantities. We extend the most important properties of the unconditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Lei Yu

Forward regression is a statistical model selection and estimation procedure which inductively selects covariates that add predictive power into a working statistical regression model. Once a model is selected, unknown regression parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-12 Damian Kozbur

A conventional Bayesian approach to prediction uses the posterior distribution to integrate out parameters in a density for unobserved data conditional on the observed data and parameters. When the true posterior is intractable, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Lucas Kock , Scott A. Sisson , G. S. Rodrigues , David J. Nott

Sparse linear regression is a vast field and there are many different algorithms available to build models. Two new papers published in Statistical Science study the comparative performance of several sparse regression methodologies,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-10 Owais Sarwar , Benjamin Sauk , Nikolaos V. Sahinidis

We review the methods of constructing confidence intervals that account for a priori information about one-sided constraints on the parameter being estimated. We show that the so-called method of sensitivity limit yields a correct solution…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov

This paper establishes bounds on the predictive performance of empirical risk minimization for principal component regression. Our analysis is nonparametric, in the sense that the relation between the prediction target and the predictors is…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-18 Christian Brownlees , Guðmundur Stefán Guðmundsson , Yaping Wang

The paper considers variable selection in linear regression models where the number of covariates is possibly much larger than the number of observations. High dimensionality of the data brings in many complications, such as (possibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

Efron et al. (2004) introduced least angle regression (LAR) as an algorithm for linear predictions, intended as an alternative to forward selection with connections to penalized regression. However, LAR has remained somewhat of a "black…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Karl B. Gregory , Daniel J. Nordman

Valid uncertainty quantification after model selection remains challenging in high-dimensional linear regression, especially within the possibilistic inferential model (PIM) framework. We develop possibilistic inferential models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Yaohui Lin

Similarity distance measure between two trajectories is an essential tool to understand patterns in motion, for example, in Human-Robot Interaction or Imitation Learning. The problem has been faced in many fields, from Signal Processing,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-07-08 Julen Urain , Jan Peters