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We develop a finite-sample, design-based theory for random forests in which each tree is a randomized conditional predictor acting on fixed covariates and the forest is their Monte Carlo average. An exact variance identity separates Monte…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Nathaniel S. O'Connell

The branching-ruin number of a tree, which describes its asymptotic growth and geometry, can be seen as a polynomial version of the branching number. This quantity was defined by Collevecchio, Kious and Sidoravicius (2018) in order to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-21 Andrea Collevecchio , Cong Bang Huynh , Daniel Kious

Mathematical models of motility are often based on random-walk descriptions of discrete individuals that can move according to certain rules. It is usually the case that large masses concentrated in small regions of space have a great…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-23 Carles Falcó

Label ranking aims to learn a mapping from instances to rankings over a finite number of predefined labels. Random forest is a powerful and one of the most successful general-purpose machine learning algorithms of modern times. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-19 Yangming Zhou , Guoping Qiu

In this article, we study branching random walks on graphs modeling division-mutation processes inspired by adaptive immunity. We apply the theory of expander graphs on mutation rules in evolutionary processes and obtain estimates for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-05 Irene Balelli , Vuk Milisic , Gilles Wainrib

Associated to a random walk on $\mathbb{Z}$ and a positive integer $n$, there is a return probability of the random walk returning to the origin after $n$ steps. An interesting question is when the set of return probabilities uniquely…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-15 Max Zhou

In this paper, we consider the problem of reconstructing trees from traces in the tree edit distance model. Previous work by Davies et al. (2019) analyzed special cases of reconstructing labeled trees. In this work, we significantly expand…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Thomas Maranzatto

A random forest is a popular tool for estimating probabilities in machine learning classification tasks. However, the means by which this is accomplished is unprincipled: one simply counts the fraction of trees in a forest that vote for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-17 Matthew A. Olson , Abraham J. Wyner

There is a close connection between intersections of Brownian motion paths and percolation on trees. Recently, ideas from probability on trees were an important component of the multifractal analysis of Brownian occupation measure, in joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yuval Peres

Decision tree learning is increasingly being used for pointwise inference. Important applications include causal heterogenous treatment effects and dynamic policy decisions, as well as conditional quantile regression and design of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-08 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

The problem of missing link prediction in complex networks has attracted much attention recently. Two difficulties in link prediction are the sparsity and huge size of the target networks. Therefore, the design of an efficient and effective…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-04-23 Weiping Liu , Linyuan Lu

We study random walks in a random environment on a regular, rooted, coloured tree. The asymptotic behaviour of the walks is classified for ergodicity/transience in terms of the geometric properties of the matrix describing the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mikhail Menshikov , Dimitri Petritis

We study a random recursive tree model featuring complete redirection called the random friend tree and introduced by Saram\"aki and Kaski. Vertices are attached in a sequential manner one by one by selecting an existing target vertex and…

Existing ordinal trees and random forests typically use scores that are assigned to the ordered categories, which implies that a higher scale level is used. Versions of ordinal trees are proposed that take the scale level seriously and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Gerhard Tutz

This paper studies the behavior of RWRE on trees in the critical case left open in previous work. For trees of exponential growth, a random perturbation of the transition probabilities can change a transient random walk into a recurrent…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle

Representations based on random walks can exploit discrete data distributions for clustering and classification. We extend such representations from discrete to continuous distributions. Transition probabilities are now calculated using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Chen-Hsiang Yeang , Martin Szummer

We study the problem of broadcasting multiple messages in the CONGEST model. In this problem, a dedicated source node $s$ possesses a set $M$ of messages with every message of size $O(\log n)$ where $n$ is the total number of nodes. The…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Anton Paramonov , Roger Wattenhofer

A random forest prediction can be computed by the scalar product of the labels of the training examples and a set of weights that are determined by the leafs of the forest into which the test object falls; each prediction can hence be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Henrik Boström

The structure of an evolving network contains information about its past. Extracting this information efficiently, however, is, in general, a difficult challenge. We formulate a fast and efficient method to estimate the most likely history…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-16 Gábor Timár , Rui A. da Costa , Sergey N. Dorogovtsev , José F. F. Mendes

Probability estimation is one of the fundamental tasks in statistics and machine learning. However, standard methods for probability estimation on discrete objects do not handle object structure in a satisfactory manner. In this paper, we…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-06 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen