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This paper describes a novel approach to planning which takes advantage of decision theory to greatly improve robustness in an uncertain environment. We present an algorithm which computes conditional plans of maximum expected utility. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Stephen G. Pimentel , Lawrence M. Brem

This paper proposes a safe reinforcement learning algorithm for generation bidding decisions and unit maintenance scheduling in a competitive electricity market environment. In this problem, each unit aims to find a bidding strategy that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-21 Pegah Rokhforoz , Olga Fink

The deepening penetration of renewable resources into power systems entails great difficulties that have not been surmounted satisfactorily. An issue that merits special attention is the short-term planning of power systems under net load…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Ogun Yurdakul , Fikret Sivrikaya , Sahin Albayrak

Smart grids are critical cyber-physical systems that are vital to our energy future. Smart grids' fault resilience is dependent on the use of advanced protection systems that can reliably adapt to changing conditions within the grid. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-01 Amr S. Mohamed , Deepa Kundur , Mohsen Khalaf

The increasing penetration of renewable energy resources, paired with the fact that load can vary significantly, introduce a high degree of uncertainty in the behavior of modern power grids. Given that classical dispatch solutions are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-31 Mohammadreza Chamanbaz , Fabrizio Dabbene , Constantino Lagoa

The energy system studies include a wide range of issues from short term (e.g. real-time, hourly, daily and weekly operating decisions) to long term horizons (e.g. planning or policy making). The decision making chain is fed by input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-26 Alireza Soroudi , Turaj Amraee

This paper presents sensitivity analyses of resilience-based active distribution system planning solutions with respect to different parameters. The distribution system planning problem is formulated as a two-stage risk-averse stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-28 Abodh Poudyal , Anamika Dubey

Batteries play a critical role in microgrid energy management by ensuring power balance, enhancing renewable utilization, and reducing operational costs. However, battery degradation poses a significant challenge, particularly under extreme…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-13 Rui Xie , Jun Wang , Jiaxu Duan , Chao Ma , Yunhui Liu , Yue Chen

Over the past decade, extreme weather events have significantly increased worldwide, leading to widespread power outages and blackouts. As these threats continue to challenge power distribution systems, the importance of mitigating the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-16 Shuva Paul , Abodh Poudyal , Shiva Poudel , Anamika Dubey , Zhaoyu Wang

We study two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems with decision-dependent information discovery (DDID) wherein (a portion of) the uncertain parameters are revealed only if an (often costly) investment is made in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Qing Jin , Angelos Georghiou , Phebe Vayanos , Grani A. Hanasusanto

This paper introduces DiffCarl, a diffusion-modeled carbon- and risk-aware reinforcement learning algorithm for intelligent operation of multi-microgrid systems. With the growing integration of renewables and increasing system complexity,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Yunyi Zhao , Wei Zhang , Cheng Xiang , Hongyang Du , Dusit Niyato , Shuhua Gao

Decision theory recognizes two principal approaches to solving problems under uncertainty: probabilistic models and cognitive heuristics. However, engineers, public planners and decision-makers in other fields seem to employ solution…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-14 Alexander Gutfraind

This work is devoted to the development of a distributionally robust active fault diagnosis approach for a class of nonlinear systems, which takes into account any ambiguity in distribution information of the uncertain model parameters.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-12 Ioannis Tzortzis , Marios M. Polycarpou

Distributed energy resources offer a control-based option to improve distribution system reliability by ensuring system states that positively impact component failure rates. This option is an attractive complement to otherwise costly and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Gejia Zhang , Robert Mieth

Wildfire events have caused severe losses in many places around the world and are expected to increase with climate change. Throughout the years many technologies have been developed to identify fire events early on and to simulate fire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Eduardo Rodrigues , Bianca Zadrozny , Campbell Watson

Inflexible combined heat and power (CHP) plants and uncertain wind power production result in excess power in distribution networks, which leads to inverse power flow challenging grid operations. Power-to-X facilities such as electrolysers…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-15 Sen Zhan , Peng Hou , Guangya Yang

This paper addresses the transmission network expansion planning problem under uncertain demand and generation capacity. A two-stage adaptive robust optimization framework is adopted whereby the worst-case operating cost is accounted for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-04 Cristina Roldán , Roberto Mínguez , Raquel García-Bertrand , José Manuel Arroyo

In system development, epistemic uncertainty is an ever-present possibility when reasoning about the causal factors during hazard analysis. Such uncertainty is common when complicated systems interact with one another, and it is dangerous…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-10-20 Chris Leong , Tim Kelly , Rob Alexander

Autonomous and semi-autonomous systems are using deep learning models to improve decision-making. However, deep classifiers can be overly confident in their incorrect predictions, a major issue especially in safety-critical domains. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Murat Sensoy , Lance M. Kaplan , Simon Julier , Maryam Saleki , Federico Cerutti

Diffusion policies excel at visuomotor control but often fail catastrophically under severe out-of-distribution (OOD) disturbances, such as unexpected object displacements or visual corruptions. To address this vulnerability, we introduce…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Ziou Hu , Xiangtong Yao , Yuan Meng , Zhenshan Bing , Alois Knoll