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In identification of dynamical systems, the prediction error method using a quadratic cost function provides asymptotically efficient estimates under Gaussian noise and additional mild assumptions, but in general it requires solving a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Miguel Galrinho , Cristian R. Rojas , Hakan Hjalmarsson

We consider the problem of least squares parameter estimation from single-trajectory data for discrete-time, unstable, closed-loop nonlinear stochastic systems, with linearly parameterised uncertainty. Assuming a region of the state space…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-06 Seth Siriya , Jingge Zhu , Dragan Nešić , Ye Pu

This paper considers the problem of system identification (ID) of linear and nonlinear non-autonomous systems from noisy and sparse data. We propose and analyze an objective function derived from a Bayesian formulation for learning a hidden…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-24 Nicholas Galioto , Alex Arkady Gorodetsky

Subspace identification methods (SIMs) have proven very powerful for estimating linear state-space models. To overcome the deficiencies of classical SIMs, a significant number of algorithms has appeared over the last two decades, where most…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-08 Jiabao He , Cristian R. Rojas , Håkan Hjalmarsson

The classical iteratively reweighted least-squares (IRLS) algorithm aims to recover an unknown signal from linear measurements by performing a sequence of weighted least squares problems, where the weights are recursively updated at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-06 Chiraag Kaushik , Justin Romberg , Vidya Muthukumar

This paper investigates system identification problems with Gaussian inputs and quantized observations under fixed thresholds. By reinterpreting the nonlinear effects induced by quantization as the product of the unknown parameter and an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Xingrui Liu , Ying Wang , Yanlong Zhao

We study the quadratic prediction error method -- i.e., nonlinear least squares -- for a class of time-varying parametric predictor models satisfying a certain identifiability condition. While this method is known to asymptotically achieve…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-17 Charis Stamouli , Ingvar Ziemann , George J. Pappas

The problem of time series approximation by series of finite rank is considered from the viewpoint of signal extraction. For signal estimation, a weighted least-squares method is applied to the trajectory matrix of the considered time…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-29 Nikita Zvonarev , Nina Golyandina

We investigate the theoretical foundations of a recently introduced entropy-based formulation of weighted least squares for the approximation of overdetermined linear systems, motivated by robust data fitting in the presence of sparse gross…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Felice Iavernaro , Monica Lazzo , Lorenzo Pisani

This paper investigates the optimality analysis of the recursive least-squares (RLS) algorithm for autoregressive systems with exogenous inputs (ARX systems). A key challenge in analyzing is managing the potential unboundedness of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Xingrui Liu , Jieming Ke , Yanlong Zhao

We provide performance guarantees for a variant of simulation-based policy iteration for controlling Markov decision processes that involves the use of stochastic approximation algorithms along with state-of-the-art techniques that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Anna Winnicki , R. Srikant

This paper concerns the adaptive control problem for a class of nonlinear stochastic systems in which the state update is given by a nonlinear function of linear dynamics plus additive stochastic noise. Such systems arise in a wide range of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Lantian Zhang , Bo Wahlberg , Silun Zhang

The focus of this paper is on linear system identification in the setting where it is known that the underlying partially-observed linear dynamical system lies within a finite collection of known candidate models. We first consider the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-15 Haoyuan Sun , Ali Jadbabaie

This tutorial serves as an introduction to recently developed non-asymptotic methods in the theory of -- mainly linear -- system identification. We emphasize tools we deem particularly useful for a range of problems in this domain, such as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-18 Ingvar Ziemann , Anastasios Tsiamis , Bruce Lee , Yassir Jedra , Nikolai Matni , George J. Pappas

This paper considers the problem of linear time-invariant (LTI) system identification using input/output data. Recent work has provided non-asymptotic results on partially observed LTI system identification using a single trajectory but is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Yang Zheng , Na Li

Nonparametric identification and maximum likelihood estimation for finite-state hidden Markov models are investigated. We obtain identification of the parameters as well as the order of the Markov chain if the transition probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Grigory Alexandrovich , Hajo Holzmann , Anna Leister

The problem of prediction in functional linear regression is conventionally addressed by reducing dimension via the standard principal component basis. In this paper we show that an alternative basis chosen through weighted least-squares,…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-02-20 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Tatiyana V. Apanasovich

We consider the numerical solution of parameterized linear systems where the system matrix, the solution, and the right-hand side are parameterized by a set of uncertain input parameters. We explore spectral methods in which the solutions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-09 Kookjin Lee , Kevin Carlberg , Howard C. Elman

The tuning parameter selection strategy for penalized estimation is crucial to identify a model that is both interpretable and predictive. However, popular strategies (e.g., minimizing average squared prediction error via cross-validation)…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-10 Julia Holter , Jonathan Stallrich

This paper presents a Bayesian method for identification of jump Markov linear system parameters. A primary motivation is to provide accurate quantification of parameter uncertainty without relying on asymptotic in data-length arguments. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-11 Mark P. Balenzuela , Adrian G. Wills , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness
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