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In complex physical systems, conventional differential equations often fall short in capturing non-local and memory effects, as they are limited to local dynamics and integer-order interactions. This study introduces a stepwise data-driven…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-05-30 Xiangnan Yu , Hao Xu , Zhiping Mao , HongGuang Sun , Yong Zhang , Dongxiao Zhang , Yuntian Chen

Partial observations of continuous time-series dynamics at arbitrary time stamps exist in many disciplines. Fitting this type of data using statistical models with continuous dynamics is not only promising at an intuitive level but also has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Ruizhi Deng , Marcus A. Brubaker , Greg Mori , Andreas M. Lehrmann

We consider functional differential equations(FDEs) which are perturbations of smooth ordinary differential equations(ODEs). The FDE can involve multiple state-dependent delays or distributed delays (forward or backward). We show that,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-03-10 Jiaqi Yang , Joan Gimeno , Rafael de la Llave

Time series alignment methods call for highly expressive, differentiable and invertible warping functions which preserve temporal topology, i.e diffeomorphisms. Diffeomorphic warping functions can be generated from the integration of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Iñigo Martinez , Elisabeth Viles , Igor G. Olaizola

This paper presents an advanced Federated Learning (FL) framework for forecasting complex spatiotemporal data, improving upon recent state-of-the-art models. In the proposed approach, the original Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) module within…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Thien Pham , Angelo Furno , Faïcel Chamroukhi , Latifa Oukhellou

Recent progress in imitation learning has been enabled by policy architectures that scale to complex visuomotor tasks, multimodal distributions, and large datasets. However, these methods often rely on learning from large amount of expert…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-24 Amber Xie , Oleh Rybkin , Dorsa Sadigh , Chelsea Finn

Uncertainty-aware deep learning (DL) models recently gained attention in fault diagnosis as a way to promote the reliable detection of faults when out-of-distribution (OOD) data arise from unseen faults (epistemic uncertainty) or the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Reza Jalayer , Masoud Jalayer , Andrea Mor , Carlotta Orsenigo , Carlo Vercellis

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs), a framework of continuous-depth neural networks, have been widely applied, showing exceptional efficacy in coping with some representative datasets. Recently, an augmented framework has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Qunxi Zhu , Yao Guo , Wei Lin

Time-series forecasting in real-world applications such as finance and energy often faces challenges due to limited training data and complex, noisy temporal dynamics. Existing deep forecasting models typically supervise predictions using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Jiacheng You , Jingcheng Yang , Yuhang Xie , Zhongxuan Wu , Xiucheng Li , Feng Li , Pengjie Wang , Jian Xu , Bo Zheng , Xinyang Chen

This paper proposes a temporal graph neural network model for forecasting of graph-structured irregularly observed time series. Our TGNN4I model is designed to handle both irregular time steps and partial observations of the graph. This is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-17 Joel Oskarsson , Per Sidén , Fredrik Lindsten

The Latent Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) is a powerful tool for time series and sequence modeling. However, training Latent SDEs typically relies on adjoint sensitivity methods, which depend on simulation and backpropagation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-27 Grigory Bartosh , Dmitry Vetrov , Christian A. Naesseth

Deep latent variable models learn condensed representations of data that, hopefully, reflect the inner workings of the studied phenomena. Unfortunately, these latent representations are not statistically identifiable, meaning they cannot be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Stas Syrota , Yevgen Zainchkovskyy , Johnny Xi , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Søren Hauberg

Foundation models have transformed language, vision, and time series data analysis, yet progress on dynamic predictions for physical systems remains limited. Given the complexity of physical constraints, two challenges stand out. $(i)$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Haoran Li , Chenhan Xiao , Lihao Mai , Yang Weng , Erik Blasch

Irregular multivariate time series with missing values present significant challenges for predictive modeling in domains such as healthcare. While deep learning approaches often focus on temporal interpolation or complex architectures to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Dingyi Nie , Yixing Wu , C. -C. Jay Kuo

Irregularly sampled time series data arise naturally in many application domains including biology, ecology, climate science, astronomy, and health. Such data represent fundamental challenges to many classical models from machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Satya Narayan Shukla , Benjamin M. Marlin

By interpreting the forward dynamics of the latent representation of neural networks as an ordinary differential equation, Neural Ordinary Differential Equation (Neural ODE) emerged as an effective framework for modeling a system dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Daehoon Gwak , Gyuhyeon Sim , Michael Poli , Stefano Massaroli , Jaegul Choo , Edward Choi

Measurement noise is an integral part while collecting data of a physical process. Thus, noise removal is necessary to draw conclusions from these data, and it often becomes essential to construct dynamical models using these data. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-20 Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

A core problem in machine learning is to learn expressive latent variables for model prediction on complex data that involves multiple sub-components in a flexible and interpretable fashion. Here, we develop an approach that improves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Yi-Lin Tuan , Zih-Yun Chiu , William Yang Wang

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs), a framework of continuous-depth neural networks, have been widely applied, showing exceptional efficacy in coping with representative datasets. Recently, an augmented framework has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Qunxi Zhu , Yao Guo , Wei Lin

Flood prediction is critical for emergency planning and response to mitigate human and economic losses. Traditional physics-based hydrodynamic models generate high-resolution flood maps using numerical methods requiring fine-grid…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Sun Han Neo , Sachith Seneviratne , Herath Mudiyanselage Viraj Vidura Herath , Abhishek Saha , Sanka Rasnayaka , Lucy Amanda Marshall