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Transmission line outage rates are fundamental to power system reliability analysis. Line outages are infrequent, occurring only about once a year, so outage data are limited. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model that leverages line…
Extreme weather events during peak winter periods drive resource adequacy risk in Great Britain (GB), with weather sensitivity of the supply-demand balance increasing through additional electric heating and wind generation. This work…
For a large (and recently increasing) number of households, affordability is a major hurdle in accessing sufficient electricity and avoiding service disconnections. For such households, in-home energy rationing, i.e. the need to actively…
Extreme hazard events such as wildfires and hurricanes increasingly threaten power systems, causing widespread outages and disrupting critical services. Recently, predict-then-optimize approaches have gained traction in grid operations,…
This paper develops a community resilience optimization method subject to power flow constraints in the Cyber-Physical-Social Systems in Power Engineering, which is solved using a multi-agent-based algorithm. The tool that makes the nexus…
A key quality of any kind of system is its ability to deliver its respective service correctly. Often the unavailability of commercial systems may lead to lost revenue, which are minor compared to what may be at stake when critical…
Assessing and managing the impact of large-scale epidemics considering only the individual risk and severity of the disease is exceedingly difficult and could be extremely expensive. Economic consequences, infrastructure and service…
The paper presents a sensitivity analysis of the factors affecting the optimal partitioning of a district heating network for distributed control. Leveraging a physics-based, distributed model predictive control framework and a…
This paper proposes a nonlinear estimator for the robust reconstruction of process and sensor faults for a class of uncertain nonlinear systems. The proposed fault estimation method augments the system dynamics with an ultra-local (in time)…
Climate change results in altered air and water temperatures. Increases affect physicochemical properties, such as oxygen concentration, and can shift species distribution and survival, with consequences for ecosystem functioning and…
This study explores compounding impacts of climate change on power system's load and generation, emphasising the need to integrate adaptation and mitigation strategies into investment planning. We combine existing and novel empirical…
We propose a resilience-based framework for computing feasible assume-guarantee contracts that ensure the satisfaction of temporal specifications in interconnected discrete-time systems. Interconnection effects are modeled as structured…
Large-scale meteorological disasters are increasing around the world, and power outage damage by natural disaster such as typhoons and earthquakes is increasing in Japan as well. Corresponding to the need of reduction of economic losses due…
Natural disasters, such as tornadoes, floods, and wildfire pose risks to life and property, requiring the intervention of insurance corporations. One of the most visible consequences of changing climate is an increase in the intensity and…
This paper presents a deep learning-based approach for hourly power outage probability prediction within census tracts encompassing a utility company's service territory. Two distinct deep learning models, conditional Multi-Layer Perceptron…
Network Utility Maximization (NUM) provides a key conceptual framework to study reward allocation amongst a collection of users/entities across disciplines as diverse as economics, law and engineering. In network engineering, this framework…
Almost 90% of the major power outages in the US are caused due to hurricanes. Due to the highly uncertain nature of hurricanes in both spatial and temporal dimensions, it is essential to quantify the effect of such hurricanes on a power…
In this paper, a new model based on Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and Inverse Data Envelopment Analysis (IDEA) is presented for estimating the effect of electricity on the output of industrial companies. To this end, the effect of…
Instilling resilience in critical infrastructure (CI) such as dams or power grids is a major challenge for tomorrow's cities and communities. Resilience, here, pertains to a CI's ability to adapt or rapidly recover from disruptive events.…
In the face of extreme events, e.g., hurricanes, the transmission systems, especially the transmission lines, are affected across time and space. To mitigate these impacts on the day-ahead market from a probabilistic perspective, a…