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We establish a recursive representation that fully decouples jumps from a large class of multivariate inhomogeneous stochastic differential equations with jumps of general time-state dependent unbounded intensity, not of L\'evy-driven type…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Qinjing Qiu , Reiichiro Kawai

Statistical arbitrage strategies, such as pairs trading and its generalizations, rely on the construction of mean-reverting spreads enjoying a certain degree of predictability. Gaussian linear state-space processes have recently been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-19 Kostas Triantafyllopoulos , Giovanni Montana

Spatio-temporal modelling is an increasingly popular topic in Statistics. Our paper contributes to this line of research by developing the theory, simulation and inference for a spatio-temporal Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We conduct…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-20 Michele Nguyen , Almut E. D. Veraart

In this article we prove the existence of Bernstein processes which we associate in a natural way with a class of linear parabolic initial-and final boundary value problems defined in bounded convex subsets of Euclidean space of arbitrary…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-05-21 Pierre-A. Vuillermot , Jean-C. Zambrini

In this paper, a purely measurement-based method is proposed to estimate the dynamic system state matrix by applying the regression theorem of the multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The proposed method employs a recursive algorithm to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-29 Hao Sheng , Xiaozhe Wang

Continuous Time Markov Chains, Hawkes processes and many other interesting processes can be described as solution of stochastic differential equations driven by Poisson measures. Previous works, using the Stein's method, give the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Eustache Besançon , Laure Coutin , Laurent Decreusefond , Pascal Moyal

We consider a family of one-dimensional diffusions, in dynamical Wiener mediums, which are random perturbations of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion process. We prove quenched and annealed convergences in distribution and under weighted…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-14 Yoann Offret

In this article we prove new results regarding the existence of Bernstein processes associated with the Cauchy problem of certain forward-backward systems of decoupled linear deterministic parabolic equations defined in Euclidean space of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-12 Pierre-A. Vuillermot , Jean-C. Zambrini

This paper proposes an adaptive time-stepping mothods for stochastic diffusion systems whose drift and diffusion coefficients are locally Lipschitz continuous and may exhibit polynomial growth. By controlling the growth of both the drift…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Xueqi Wen , Guozhen Li , Yuanping Cui , Xiaoyue Li

For continuous-time ergodic Markov processes, the Kemeny time $\tau_*$ is the characteristic time needed to converge towards the steady state $P_*(x)$ : in real-space, the Kemeny time $\tau_*$ corresponds to the average of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-12 Alain Mazzolo , Cecile Monthus

We study ergodic properties of a class of Markov-modulated general birth-death processes under fast regime switching. The first set of results concerns the ergodic properties of the properly scaled joint Markov process with a parameter that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Ari Arapostathis , Guodong Pang , Yi Zheng

Active Matter models commonly consider particles with overdamped dynamics subject to a force (speed) with constant modulus and random direction. Some models include also random noise in particle displacement (Wiener process) resulting in a…

Many probabilistic inference problems such as stochastic filtering or the computation of rare event probabilities require model analysis under initial and terminal constraints. We propose a solution to this bridging problem for the widely…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-28 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Gerrit Großmann , Verena Wolf

Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of bounded variation is introduced as a solution of an analogue of the Langevin equation with an integrated telegraph process replacing a Brownian motion. There is an interval $I$ such that the process starting…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-17 Nikita Ratanov

A time-dependent finite-state Markov chain that uses doubly stochastic transition matrices, is considered. Entropic quantities that describe the randomness of the probability vectors, and also the randomness of the discrete paths, are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-03-18 A. Vourdas

We consider an Ehrenfest approximation for a particle in a double-well potential in the presence of an external environment schematized as a finite resource heat bath. This allows us to explore how the limitations in the applicability of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-10-09 Stephen Choi , Roberto Onofrio , Bala Sundaram

Tau leap schemes were originally designed for the efficient time stepping of discrete state and continuous in time Markov processes arising in stochastic chemical kinetics. Previous convergence results on tau leaping schemes have been…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-12-09 Muruhan Rathinam

We propose a variety of models of random walk, discrete in space and time, suitable for simulating stable random variables of arbitrary index $\alpha$ ($0< \alpha \le 2$), in the symmetric case. We show that by properly scaled transition to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Rudolf Gorenflo , Gianni De Fabritiis , Francesco Mainardi

We propose a flexible Bayesian approach for sparse Gaussian graphical modeling of multivariate time series. We account for temporal correlation in the data by assuming that observations are characterized by an underlying and unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Beniamino Hadj-Amar , Aaron M. Bornstein , Michele Guindani , Marina Vannucci

Discrete flow models offer a powerful framework for learning distributions over discrete state spaces and have demonstrated superior performance compared to the discrete diffusion models. However, their convergence properties and error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Zhengyan Wan , Yidong Ouyang , Qiang Yao , Liyan Xie , Fang Fang , Hongyuan Zha , Guang Cheng