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Threat modeling has emerged as a key process for understanding relevant threats within businesses. However, understanding the importance of threat events is rarely driven by the business incorporating the system. Furthermore, prioritization…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-02-23 Jan von der Assen , Muriel F. Franco , Muyao Dong , Burkhard Stiller

Digitization increases business opportunities and the risk of companies being victims of devastating cyberattacks. Therefore, managing risk exposure and cybersecurity strategies is essential for digitized companies that want to survive in…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Muriel Figueredo Franco , Fabian Künzler , Jan von der Assen , Chao Feng , Burkhard Stiller

This paper introduces a two-pillar cyber risk management framework to address the pervasive challenges in managing cyber risk. The first pillar, cyber risk assessment, combines insurance frequency-severity models with cybersecurity cascade…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-13 Wing Fung Chong , Runhuan Feng , Hins Hu , Linfeng Zhang

When undertaking cyber security risk assessments, we must assign numeric values to metrics to compute the final expected loss that represents the risk that an organization is exposed to due to cyber threats. Even if risk assessment is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-12-19 Andrew Fielder , Sandra Konig , Emmanouil Panaousis , Stefan Schauer , Stefan Rass

Assessing cyber risk in complex IT infrastructures poses significant challenges due to the dynamic, interconnected nature of digital systems. Traditional methods often fall short, relying on static and largely qualitative models that do not…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Remo Marini , Riccardo Arpe

Risk assessment is a major challenge for supply chain managers, as it potentially affects business factors such as service costs, supplier competition and customer expectations. The increasing interconnectivity between organisations has put…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-27 Alberto Redondo , Alberto Torres-Barrán , David Ríos Insua , Jordi Domingo

Municipalities are vulnerable to cyberattacks with devastating consequences, but they lack key information to evaluate their own risk and compare their security posture to peers. Using data from 83 municipalities collected via a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Avital Baral , Taylor Reynolds , Lawrence Susskind , Daniel J. Weitzner , Angelina Wu

Cyber insurance is a complementary mechanism to further reduce the financial impact on the systems after their effort in defending against cyber attacks and implementing resilience mechanism to maintain the system-level operator even though…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-12-06 Shutian Liu , Quanyan Zhu

Cyber threats affect all kinds of organisations. Risk analysis is an essential methodology for cybersecurity as it allows organisations to deal with the cyber threats potentially affecting them, prioritise the defence of their assets and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-03-20 David Rios Insua , Aitor Couce Vieira , Jose Antonio Rubio , Wolter Pieters , Katsiaryna Labunets , Daniel Garcia Rasines

Proactive cyber-risk assessment is gaining momentum due to the wide range of sectors that can benefit from the prevention of cyber-incidents by preserving integrity, confidentiality, and the availability of data. The rising attention to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-11 Mario Angelelli , Serena Arima , Christian Catalano , Enrico Ciavolino

In the dynamic cyber threat landscape, effective decision-making under uncertainty is crucial for maintaining robust information security. This paper introduces the Cyber Resilience Index (CRI), a threat-informed probabilistic approach to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Lampis Alevizos , Vinh-Thong Ta

Metrics and frameworks to quantifiably assess security measures have arisen from needs of three distinct research communities - statistical measures from the intrusion detection and prevention literature, evaluation of cyber exercises,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-10-28 Michael D. Iannacone , Robert A. Bridges

Cyber networks are fundamental to many organization's infrastructure, and the size of cyber networks is increasing rapidly. Risk measurement of the entities/endpoints that make up the network via available knowledge about possible threats…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-29 Arda Bayer , David Maluf , Behnaam Aazhang

In this paper we present a study on using novel data types to perform cyber risk quantification by estimating the likelihood of a data breach. We demonstrate that it is feasible to build a highly accurate cyber risk assessment model using…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Armin Sarabi , Manish Karir , Mingyan Liu

When a threat is observed, one of the most important challenges is to choose the most appropriate and adequate timely decisions in response to the current and near future situation in order to have the least consequences and costs. Making…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Mahdieh Safarzadehvahed , Farzaneh Abazari , Afsaneh Madani , Fatemeh Shabani

Cyber insurance, which protects insured organizations against financial losses from cyberattacks and data breaches, can be difficult and expensive to obtain for many organizations. These difficulties stem from insurers difficulty in…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Danielle Jean Hanson , Jeremy Straub

The increasing value of data held in enterprises makes it an attractive target to attackers. The increasing likelihood and impact of a cyber attack have highlighted the importance of effective cyber risk estimation. We propose two methods…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-04-23 Raisa Dzhamtyrova , Carsten Maple

We present and analyze a quantum algorithm to estimate credit risk more efficiently than Monte Carlo simulations can do on classical computers. More precisely, we estimate the economic capital requirement, i.e. the difference between the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-07-09 Daniel J. Egger , Ricardo Gacía Gutiérrez , Jordi Cahué Mestre , Stefan Woerner

Nowadays, cyber threats are considered among the most dangerous risks by top management of enterprises. One way to deal with these risks is to insure them, but cyber insurance is still quite expensive. The insurance fee can be reduced if…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Ganbayar Uuganbayar , Artsiom Yautsiukhin , Fabio Martinelli , Fabio Massacci

It is very challenging to predict the cost of a cyber incident owing to the complex nature of cyber risk. However, it is inevitable for insurance companies who offer cyber insurance policies. The time to identifying an incident and the time…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-27 Maochao Xu , Quynh Nhu Nguyen
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