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The robustness of risk measures to changes in underlying loss distributions (distributional uncertainty) is of crucial importance in making well-informed decisions. In this paper, we quantify, for the class of distortion risk measures with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-14 Carole Bernard , Silvana M. Pesenti , Steven Vanduffel

Contraction theory is a recently developed dynamic analysis and nonlinear control system design tool based on an exact differential analysis of convergence. This paper extends contraction theory to local and global stability analysis of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Winfried Lohmiller , Jean-Jacques E. Slotine

The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution, which is underlying the observed data, changes over time; as a consequence machine learning models may become inaccurate and need adjustment. Many unsupervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , Barbara Hammer

When deployed in the real world, machine learning models inevitably encounter changes in the data distribution, and certain -- but not all -- distribution shifts could result in significant performance degradation. In practice, it may make…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Aleksandr Podkopaev , Aaditya Ramdas

Ensuring generalization to unseen environments remains a challenge. Domain shift can lead to substantially degraded performance unless shifts are well-exercised within the available training environments. We introduce a simple robust…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Yilun Xu , Tommi Jaakkola

Estimation and counterfactual analysis in dynamic structural models rely on assumptions about the dynamic process of latent variables, which may be misspecified. We propose a framework to quantify the sensitivity of scalar parameters of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-17 Ertian Chen

Driven many-particle systems with nonlinear interactions are known to often display multi-stability, i.e. depending on the respective initial condition, there may be different outcomes. Here, we study this phenomenon for traffic models,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Dirk Helbing , Mehdi Moussaid

In scientific machine learning, models are routinely deployed with parameter values or boundary conditions far from those used in training. This paper studies the learning-where-to-learn problem of designing a training data distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Nicolas Guerra , Nicholas H. Nelsen , Yunan Yang

In performative stochastic optimization, decisions can influence the distribution of random parameters, rendering the data-generating process itself decision-dependent. In practice, decision-makers rarely have access to the true…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Zhuangzhuang Jia , Yijie Wang , Roy Dong , Grani A. Hanasusanto

This paper develops a new approach to the estimation of the degree of boundedness or stability of multidimensional nonlinear systems with time-dependent nonperiodic coefficients-an essential task in various engineering and natural science…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-16 Mark A. Pinsky

Dynamic perturbation equations are derived for a generic stationary state of an elastic string model -- of the kind appropriate for representing a superconducting cosmic string -- in a flat background. In the case of a circular equilibrium…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-11-10 Brandon Carter , Xavier Martin

This article aims to introduce the paradigm of distributional robustness from the field of convex optimization to tackle optimal design problems under uncertainty. We consider realistic situations where the physical model, and thereby the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Charles Dapogny , Julien Prando , Boris Thibert

Distributional robustness is a promising framework for training deep learning models that are less vulnerable to adversarial examples and data distribution shifts. Previous works have mainly focused on exploiting distributional robustness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Van-Anh Nguyen , Trung Le , Anh Tuan Bui , Thanh-Toan Do , Dinh Phung

Data-driven Distributionally Robust Optimization (DD-DRO) via optimal transport has been shown to encompass a wide range of popular machine learning algorithms. The distributional uncertainty size is often shown to correspond to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-12 Jose Blanchet , Yang Kang , Fan Zhang , Fei He , Zhangyi Hu

Consistency models have been proposed for fast generative modeling, achieving results competitive with diffusion and flow models. However, these methods exhibit inherent instability and limited reproducibility when training from scratch,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Youngjoong Kim , Duhoe Kim , Woosung Kim , Jaesik Park

The primary goal of reinforcement learning is to develop decision-making policies that prioritize optimal performance, frequently without considering safety. In contrast, safe reinforcement learning seeks to reduce or avoid unsafe behavior.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Zahra Shahrooei , Ali Baheri

We propose a quantitative direct method to prove the local stability of a stationary solution for a rough differential equation and its regular discretization scheme. Using Doss-Sussmann technique and stopping time analysis, we provide…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Luu Hoang Duc , Phan Thanh Hong , Nguyen Dinh Cong

Dynamical systems are frequently used to model biological systems. When these models are fit to data it is necessary to ascertain the uncertainty in the model fit. Here we present prediction deviation, a new metric of uncertainty that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-08 Benjamin Letham , Portia A. Letham , Cynthia Rudin , Edward P. Browne

Fine-tuning pretrained language models can improve task performance while subtly altering the evidence a model relies on. We propose a training-time interpretability view that tracks token-level attributions across finetuning epochs. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Sahil Rajesh Dhayalkar

The problem of robust distributed control arises in several large-scale systems, such as transportation networks and power grid systems. In many practical scenarios controllers might not have enough information to make globally optimal…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-09-26 Luca Furieri , Maryam Kamgarpour