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Traditionally, traders and quantitative analysts address alpha decay by manually crafting formulaic alphas, mathematical expressions that identify patterns or signals in financial data, through domain expertise and trial-and-error. This…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Qizhao Chen , Hiroaki Kawashima

We consider the problem of dynamic buying and selling of shares from a collection of $N$ stocks with random price fluctuations. To limit investment risk, we place an upper bound on the total number of shares kept at any time. Assuming that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-23 Michael J. Neely

The stock market presents a challenging environment for accurately predicting future stock prices due to its intricate and ever-changing nature. However, the utilization of advanced methodologies can significantly enhance the precision of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-02 Luigi Catello , Ludovica Ruggiero , Lucia Schiavone , Mario Valentino

We propose a novel group of Gaussian Process based algorithms for fast approximate optimal stopping of time series with specific applications to financial markets. We show that structural properties commonly exhibited by financial time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-11 Kshama Dwarakanath , Danial Dervovic , Peyman Tavallali , Svitlana S Vyetrenko , Tucker Balch

Multi-model inference covers a wide range of modern statistical applications such as variable selection, model confidence set, model averaging and variable importance. The performance of multi-model inference depends on the availability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-07 Ching-Wei Cheng , Guang Cheng

Deep learning is a popular machine learning approach which has achieved a lot of progress in all traditional machine learning areas. Internet of thing (IoT) and Smart City deployments are generating large amounts of time-series sensor data…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Xiaofeng Xie , Di Wu , Siping Liu , Renfa Li

Genetic algorithm (GA) is typically used to solve nonlinear model predictive control's optimization problem. However, the size of the search space in which the GA searches for the optimal control inputs is crucial for its applicability to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Eslam Mostafa , Hussein A. Aly , Ahmed Elliethy

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Vital signs including heart rate, respiratory rate, body temperature and blood pressure, are critical in the clinical decision making process. Effective early prediction of vital signs help to alert medical practitioner ahead of time and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-18 Shiyu Liu , Mehul Motani

Analytic models of two computer generated time series (Logistic map and Rossler system) and two real time series (ion saturation current in Aditya Tokamak plasma and NASDAQ composite index) are constructed using Genetic Programming (GP)…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dilip P. Ahalpara , Jitendra C. Parikh

Predicting the prices of stocks at any stock market remains a quest for many investors and researchers. Those who trade at the stock market tend to use technical, fundamental or time series analysis in their predictions. These methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-20 Barack Wamkaya Wanjawa

Predicting the cheapest sample size for the optimal stratification in multivariate survey design is a problem in cases where the population frame is large. A solution exists that iteratively searches for the minimum sample size necessary to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-18 Mervyn O'Luing , Steven Prestwich , S. Armagan Tarim

This paper tries to address the problem of stock market prediction leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) strategies. The stock market prediction can be modeled based on two principal analyses called technical and fundamental. In the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-05 Sohrab Mokhtari , Kang K. Yen , Jin Liu

Prediction of stock prices plays a significant role in aiding the decision-making of investors. Considering its importance, a growing literature has emerged trying to forecast stock prices with improved accuracy. In this study, we introduce…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Md Sabbirul Haque , Md Shahedul Amin , Jonayet Miah , Duc Minh Cao , Ashiqul Haque Ahmed

This research paper explores the performance of Machine Learning (ML) algorithms and techniques that can be used for financial asset price forecasting. The prediction and forecasting of asset prices and returns remains one of the most…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Philip Ndikum

Creating accurate predictions in the stock market has always been a significant challenge in finance. With the rise of machine learning as the next level in the forecasting area, this research paper compares four machine learning models and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Albert Wong , Steven Whang , Emilio Sagre , Niha Sachin , Gustavo Dutra , Yew-Wei Lim , Gaetan Hains , Youry Khmelevsky , Frank Zhang

This paper compares Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) and Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTM) for forecasting non-deterministic stock price data, evaluating predictive accuracy versus interpretability trade-offs using Root Mean Square…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Tabish Ali Rather , S M Mahmudul Hasan Joy , Nadezda Sukhorukova , Federico Frascoli

Genetic Algorithms (GA) are a class of metaheuristic global optimization methods inspired by the process of natural selection among individuals in a population. Despite their widespread use, a comprehensive theoretical analysis of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Giacomo Borghi , Lorenzo Pareschi

Genetic Algorithms (GA) are a powerful tool for stochastic optimisation and non-parametric symbolic regression, already widely used in cosmology. They are capable of reconstructing analytical functions directly from data points without…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-16 Matteo Peronaci , Matteo Martinelli , Savvas Nesseris

While LSTMs show increasingly promising results for forecasting Financial Time Series (FTS), this paper seeks to assess if attention mechanisms can further improve performance. The hypothesis is that attention can help prevent long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-20 Thomas Hollis , Antoine Viscardi , Seung Eun Yi