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In this study, we constructed daily high-frequency sentiment data and used the VAR method to attempt to predict the next day's implied volatility surface. We utilized 630,000 text data entries from the East Money Stock Forum from 2014 to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Jiahao Weng , Yan Xie

Our analysis focuses on the stock cryptocurrency market, by studying a group of nineteen cryptocurrencies where their capitalisation is about 99% of the total market. Specifically, it is examined this group of cryptocurrencies for the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-29 Stergios Intzes , Georgios D. Papadopoulos , Lykourgos Magafas

The aim of this paper is to investigate the effect of a novel method called linear law-based feature space transformation (LLT) on the accuracy of intraday price movement prediction of cryptocurrencies. To do this, the 1-minute interval…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Marcell T. Kurbucz , Péter Pósfay , Antal Jakovác

This paper investigates the temporal patterns of activity in the cryptocurrency market with a focus on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, and WINkLink from January 2020 to December 2022. Market activity measures - logarithmic returns, volume, and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-22 Marcin Wątorek , Maria Skupień , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

The research delves into the capabilities of a transformer-based neural network for Ethereum cryptocurrency price forecasting. The experiment runs around the hypothesis that cryptocurrency prices are strongly correlated with other…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Shubham Singh , Mayur Bhat

This research analyses high-frequency data of the cryptocurrency market in regards to intraday trading patterns related to algorithmic trading and its impact on the European cryptocurrency market. We study trading quantitatives such as…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-10 Alla A. Petukhina , Raphael C. G. Reule , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Cryptocurrencies are a type of digital money meant to provide security and anonymity while using cryptography techniques. Although cryptocurrencies represent a breakthrough and provide some important benefits, their usage poses some risks…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-22 Ana Fernández Vilas , Rebeca P. Díaz Redondo , Daniel Couto Cancela , Alejandro Torrado Pazos

The availability of data on digital traces is growing to unprecedented sizes, but inferring actionable knowledge from large-scale data is far from being trivial. This is especially important for computational finance, where digital traces…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-13 David Garcia , Frank Schweitzer

Prediction and quantification of future volatility and returns play an important role in financial modelling, both in portfolio optimization and risk management. Natural language processing today allows to process news and social media…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-14 Justina Deveikyte , Helyette Geman , Carlo Piccari , Alessandro Provetti

We study recurrent patterns in volatility and volume for major cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ether, using data from two centralized exchanges (Coinbase Pro and Binance) and a decentralized exchange (Uniswap V2). We find systematic patterns…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-05 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Chan Kim , Wade Kimbrough

Opioid and substance misuse is rampant in the United States today, with the phenomenon known as the "opioid crisis". The relationship between substance use and mental health has been extensively studied, with one possible relationship…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Usha Lokala , Orchid Chetia Phukan , Triyasha Ghosh Dastidar , Francois Lamy , Raminta Daniulaityte , Amit Sheth

Bitcoin is the first digital decentralized cryptocurrency that has shown a significant increase in market capitalization in recent years. The objective of this paper is to determine the predictable price direction of Bitcoin in USD by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-26 S M Raju , Ali Mohammad Tarif

This study introduces a novel methodology for modelling patient emotions from online patient experience narratives. We employed metadata network topic modelling to analyse patient-reported experiences from Care Opinion, revealing key…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Curtis Murray , Lewis Mitchell , Jonathan Tuke , Mark Mackay

Reddiment is a web-based dashboard that links sentiment analysis of subreddit texts with share prices. The system consists of a backend, frontend and various services. The backend, in Node.js, manages the data and communicates with crawlers…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Tobias Bauer , Fabian Beer , Daniel Holl , Ardian Imeraj , Konrad Schweiger , Philipp Stangl , Wolfgang Weigl , Christoph P. Neumann

The continuous and increasing use of social media has enabled the expression of human thoughts, opinions, and everyday actions publicly at an unprecedented scale. We present the Vent dataset, the largest annotated dataset of text, emotions,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Nikolaos Lykousas , Costantinos Patsakis , Andreas Kaltenbrunner , Vicenç Gómez

We applied the SVAR-LiNGAM to illustrate the causal relationships between the spot exchange rate, and three crypto-asset exchange rates, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple. It was notable that the causal order, the EUR_USD spot…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-30 Takeshi Yoshihara , Taisei Kaizoji

This paper introduces new methods to study behaviours among the 52 largest cryptocurrencies between 01-01-2019 and 30-06-2021. First, we explore evolutionary correlation behaviours and apply a recently proposed turning point algorithm to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-15 Nick James , Max Menzies

Early substance use during adolescence increases the risk of later substance use disorders and mental health problems, yet the emotional and contextual factors driving these behaviors remain poorly understood. This study analyzed 23000…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Jianfeng Zhu , Hailong Jiang , Yulan Wang , Karin G. Coifman , Ruoming Jin , Deric R. Kenne

With the rapid development of big data and computing devices, low-latency automatic trading platforms based on real-time information acquisition have become the main components of the stock trading market, so the topic of quantitative…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-22 Jiashu Lou

Financial events negatively affect emotional well-being, but large-scale studies examining their impact on online emotional expression using real-time social media data remain limited. To address this gap, we propose analyzing Reddit…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Aryan Ramchandra Kapadia , Niharika Bhattacharjee , Mung Yao Jia , Ishq Gupta , Dong Wang , Koustuv Saha