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We develop an approach for Bayesian learning of spatiotemporal dynamical mechanistic models. Such learning consists of statistical emulation of the mechanistic system that can efficiently interpolate the output of the system from arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-11 Sudipto Banerjee , Xiang Chen , Ian Frankenburg , Daniel Zhou

Changepoints are abrupt variations in the generative parameters of a data sequence. Online detection of changepoints is useful in modelling and prediction of time series in application areas such as finance, biometrics, and robotics. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2007-10-22 Ryan Prescott Adams , David J. C. MacKay

Embedding static graphs in low-dimensional vector spaces plays a key role in network analytics and inference, supporting applications like node classification, link prediction, and graph visualization. However, many real-world networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Claudio D. T. Barros , Matheus R. F. Mendonça , Alex B. Vieira , Artur Ziviani

Bayesian graphical models have been shown to be a powerful tool for discovering uncertainty and causal structure from real-world data in many application fields. Current inference methods primarily follow different kinds of trade-offs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-20 Daniel Rugeles , Zhen Hai , Gao Cong , Manoranjan Dash

Spatial process models are widely used for modeling point-referenced variables arising from diverse scientific domains. Analyzing the resulting random surface provides deeper insights into the nature of latent dependence within the studied…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-15 Aritra Halder , Sudipto Banerjee , Dipak K. Dey

We present a graph theory-based method to characterise flow defects and structural shifts in condensed matter. We explore the connection between dynamical properties, particularly the recently introduced concept of ''softness'', and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-08-13 An Wang , Gabriele C. Sosso

In the context of a motivating study of dynamic network flow data on a large-scale e-commerce web site, we develop Bayesian models for on-line/sequential analysis for monitoring and adapting to changes reflected in node-node traffic. For…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-08 Xi Chen , David Banks , Mike West

The field of hypothesis generation promises to reduce costs in neuroscience by narrowing the range of interventional studies needed to study various phenomena. Existing machine learning methods can generate scientific hypotheses from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Zachary C. Brown , David Carlson

Modeling the temporal behavior of data is of primordial importance in many scientific and engineering fields. Baseline methods assume that both the dynamic and observation equations follow linear-Gaussian models. However, there are many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Xavier Alameda-Pineda , Vincent Drouard , Radu Horaud

The time-evolving precision matrix of a piecewise-constant Gaussian graphical model encodes the dynamic conditional dependency structure of a multivariate time-series. Traditionally, graphical models are estimated under the assumption that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-01 Alexander J. Gibberd , James D. B. Nelson

Sequences of correlated binary patterns can represent many time-series data including text, movies, and biological signals. These patterns may be described by weighted combinations of a few dominant structures that underpin specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-29 Jimmy Gaudreault , Arunabh Saxena , Hideaki Shimazaki

Recently, techniques for applying convolutional neural networks to graph-structured data have emerged. Graph convolutional neural networks (GCNNs) have been used to address node and graph classification and matrix completion. Although the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-28 Yingxue Zhang , Soumyasundar Pal , Mark Coates , Deniz Üstebay

Learning the dynamics of complex systems features a large number of applications in data science. Graph-based modeling and inference underpins the most prominent family of approaches to learn complex dynamics due to their ability to capture…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-07-06 Luis M. Lopez-Ramos , Daniel Romero , Bakht Zaman , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Estimation of brain functional connectivity from EEG data is of great importance both for medical research and diagnosis. It involves quantifying the conditional dependencies among the activity of different brain areas from the time-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Alessia Mapelli , Laura Carini , Francesca Ieva , Sara Sommariva

The study of time-varying (dynamic) networks (graphs) is of fundamental importance for computer network analytics. Several methods have been proposed to detect the effect of significant structural changes in a time series of graphs. The…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-07-25 Peter Wills , Francois G. Meyer

This paper develops forecasting methodology and application of new classes of dynamic models for time series of non-negative counts. Novel univariate models synthesise dynamic generalized linear models for binary and conditionally Poisson…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Lindsay Berry , Mike West

One of the main challenges in identifying structural changes in stochastic processes is to carry out analysis for time series with dependency structure in a computationally tractable way. Another challenge is that the number of true change…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-02 Jie Ding , Yu Xiang , Lu Shen , Vahid Tarokh

Graph Gaussian Processes (GGPs) provide a data-efficient solution on graph structured domains. Existing approaches have focused on static structures, whereas many real graph data represent a dynamic structure, limiting the applications of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-04 David Blanco-Mulero , Markus Heinonen , Ville Kyrki

Time Varying Functional Connectivity (TVFC) investigates how the interactions among brain regions vary over the course of an fMRI experiment. The transitions between different individual connectivity states can be modulated by changes in…

Brain function is organized in coordinated modes of spatio-temporal activity (functional networks) exhibiting an intrinsic baseline structure with variations under different experimental conditions. Existing approaches for uncovering such…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-13 Joshua Lukemire , Suprateek Kundu , Giuseppe Pagnoni , Ying Guo
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