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We develop a new bidirectional algorithm for estimating Markov chain multi-step transition probabilities: given a Markov chain, we want to estimate the probability of hitting a given target state in $\ell$ steps after starting from a given…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-11-05 Siddhartha Banerjee , Peter Lofgren

We investigate the conditions under which the mean-field formulation of a probabilistic, totalistic cellular automaton approximates the logistic equation. We show that this goal can be only fulfilled for an infinite-range neighborhood. We…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2026-03-06 Franco Bagnoli

Markov chains are a class of probabilistic models that have achieved widespread application in the quantitative sciences. This is in part due to their versatility, but is compounded by the ease with which they can be probed analytically.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Eddie Seabrook , Laurenz Wiskott

Probabilistic cellular automata are prototypes of non equilibrium critical phenomena. This class of models includes among others the directed percolation problem (Domany Kinzel model) and the dynamical Ising model. The critical properties…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-02-03 Franco Bagnoli , Paolo Palmerini , Raul Rechtman

We discuss various properties of Probabilistic Cellular Automata, such as the structure of the set of stationary measures and multiplicity of stationary measures (or phase transition) for reversible models.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Paolo Dai Pra , Pierre-Yves Louis , Sylvie Roelly

In this article we give a new definition of some analog of Lyapunov exponents for cellular automata . Then for a shift ergodic and cellular automaton invariant probability measure we establish an inequality between the entropy of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-11-10 Pierre Tisseur

Cellular automata are widely used to model natural or artificial systems. Classically they are run with perfect synchrony, i.e., the local rule is applied to each cell at each time step. A possible modification of the updating scheme…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2008-02-13 Nazim A. Fatès

We give new sufficient ergodicity conditions for two-state probabilistic cellular automata (PCA) of any dimension and any radius. The proof of this result is based on an extended version of the duality concept. Under these assumptions, in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-06-28 Cristian Coletti , Pierre Tisseur

As a representation of relational data over time series, longitudinal networks provide opportunities to study link formation processes. However, networks at scale often exhibits community structure (i.e. clustering), which may confound…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-04 Ming Cao

We present a probabilistic 3D generative model, named Generative Cellular Automata, which is able to produce diverse and high quality shapes. We formulate the shape generation process as sampling from the transition kernel of a Markov…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Dongsu Zhang , Changwoon Choi , Jeonghwan Kim , Young Min Kim

We obtain a perfect sampling characterization of weak ergodicity for backward products of finite stochastic matrices, and equivalently, simultaneous tail triviality of the corresponding nonhomogeneous Markov chains. Applying these ideas to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Nick Whiteley , Anthony Lee

Cellular automata (CA) are a class of computational models that exhibit rich dynamics emerging from the local interaction of cells arranged in a regular lattice. In this work we focus on a generalised version of typical CA, called graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Daniele Grattarola , Lorenzo Livi , Cesare Alippi

We consider the problem of metastability for stochastic reversible dynamics with exponentially small transition probabilities. We generalize previous results in several directions. We give an estimate of the spectral gap of the transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-17 Gianmarco Bet , Vanessa Jacquier , Francesca R. Nardi

We propose two algorithms for simulating continuous time Markov chains in the presence of metastability. We show that the algorithms correctly estimate, under the ergodicity assumption, stationary averages of the process. Both algorithms,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-12-22 Ting Wang , Petr Plecháč , David Aristoff

Classical cellular automata represent a class of explicit discrete spacetime lattice models in which complex large-scale phenomena emerge from simple deterministic rules. With the goal to uncover different physically distinct classes of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-27 Rustem Sharipov , Matija Koterle , Sašo Grozdanov , Tomaž Prosen

Systems of interacting continuous-time Markov chains are a powerful model class, but inference is typically intractable in high dimensional settings. Auxiliary information, such as noisy observations, is typically only available at discrete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Giosue Migliorini , Padhraic Smyth

A new forecasting strategy for stochastic systems is introduced. It is inspired by the concept of anticipated synchronization between pairs of chaotic oscillators, recently developed in the area of Dynamical Systems, and by the earthquake…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Álvaro González , Miguel Vázquez-Prada , Javier B. Gómez , Amalio F. Pacheco

In this article we study a class of shift-invariant and positive rate probabilistic cellular automata (PCA) on rooted d-regular trees $\mathbb{T}^d$. In a first result we extend the results of [10] on trees, namely we prove that to every…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2019-02-01 Bruno Kimura , Wioletta Ruszel , Cristian Spitoni

The paper is devoted to studies of perturbed Markov chains commonly used for description of information networks. In such models, the matrix of transition probabilities for the corresponding Markov chain is usually regularised by adding a…

Classical Cellular Automata (CCAs) are a powerful computational framework for modeling global spatio-temporal dynamics with local interactions. While CCAs have been applied across numerous scientific fields, identifying the local rule that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Faizal Hafiz , Amelia Kunze , Enrico Formenti , Davide La Torre