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We consider the problem of uncertainty estimation in the context of (non-Bayesian) deep neural classification. In this context, all known methods are based on extracting uncertainty signals from a trained network optimized to solve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Yonatan Geifman , Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

We discuss the machine-learning inference and uncertainty quantification for the equation of state (EoS) of the neutron star (NS) matter directly using the NS probability distribution from the observations. We previously proposed a…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-02-02 Yuki Fujimoto , Kenji Fukushima , Syo Kamata , Koichi Murase

Bayesian neural networks (BNN) are the probabilistic model that combines the strengths of both neural network (NN) and stochastic processes. As a result, BNN can combat overfitting and perform well in applications where data is limited.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-13 Sabber Ahamed , Md Mesbah Uddin

Deep neural network controllers for autonomous driving have recently benefited from significant performance improvements, and have begun deployment in the real world. Prior to their widespread adoption, safety guarantees are needed on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Rhiannon Michelmore , Matthew Wicker , Luca Laurenti , Luca Cardelli , Yarin Gal , Marta Kwiatkowska

Estimation of permutation entropy (PE) using Bayesian statistical methods is presented for systems where the ordinal pattern sampling follows an independent, multinomial distribution. It is demonstrated that the PE posterior distribution is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-02-09 Douglas J. Little , Joshua P. Toomey , Deb M. Kane

In the framework of BEPU (Best Estimate plus Uncertainty) methodology, the uncertainties involved in the simulations must be quantified to prove that the investigated design is acceptable. The output uncertainties are usually calculated by…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-09 Chen Wang

Two non-intrusive uncertainty propagation approaches are proposed for the performance analysis of engineering systems described by expensive-to-evaluate deterministic computer models with parameters defined as interval variables. These…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-15 Alice Cicirello , Filippo Giunta

The equations of state (EoSs) governing neutron star (NS) matter obtained for both non-relativistic and relativistic mean-field models are systematically confronted with a diverse set of terrestrial data and astrophysical observations…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-05-20 Sk Md Adil Imam , Tuhin Malik , Constança Providência , B. K. Agrawal

Bayesian regression determines model parameters by minimizing the expected loss, an upper bound to the true generalization error. However, the loss ignores misspecification, where models are imperfect. Parameter uncertainties from Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-07 Thomas D Swinburne , Danny Perez

Deep learning (DL) has shown great potential in medical image enhancement problems, such as super-resolution or image synthesis. However, to date, little consideration has been given to uncertainty quantification over the output image. Here…

Homodyned K-distribution (HK-distribution) parameter estimation in quantitative ultrasound (QUS) has been recently addressed using Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs). BNNs have been shown to significantly reduce computational time in speckle…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-19 Dorsa Ameri , Ali K. Z. Tehrani , Ivan M. Rosado-Mendez , Hassan Rivaz

Diffusion models have impressive image generation capability, but low-quality generations still exist, and their identification remains challenging due to the lack of a proper sample-wise metric. To address this, we propose BayesDiff, a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Siqi Kou , Lei Gan , Dequan Wang , Chongxuan Li , Zhijie Deng

Uncertainty quantification plays an important role in achieving trustworthy and reliable learning-based computational imaging. Recent advances in generative modeling and Bayesian neural networks have enabled the development of…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Canberk Ekmekci , Mujdat Cetin

We explore the density variation of the correlation coefficient of the key parameters of the nuclear equation of state (EoS) with the bulk and crustal properties of neutron stars. The analysis was performed using two diverse sets of nuclear…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-06-26 Naosad Alam , Subrata Pal

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in scientific machine learning is increasingly critical as neural networks are widely adopted to tackle complex problems across diverse scientific disciplines. For physics-informed neural networks (PINNs), a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-20 Frank Shih , Zhenghao Jiang , Faming Liang

Over the past decade, an abundance of information from neutron-star observations, nuclear experiments and theory has transformed our efforts to elucidate the properties of dense matter. However, at high densities relevant to the cores of…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-10-10 Sunny Ng , Isaac Legred , Lami Suleiman , Philippe Landry , Lyla Traylor , Jocelyn Read

Bayesian modeling techniques enable sensitivity analyses that incorporate detailed expectations regarding future experiments. A model-based approach also allows one to evaluate inferences and predicted outcomes, by calibrating (or…

New superheavy nuclei are often identified through their characteristic $\alpha$-decay energies, which requires accurate calculations of $Q_{\alpha}$ values. While many $Q_{\alpha}$ predictions are available, little is known about their…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2019-01-30 Erik Olsen , Witold Nazarewicz

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) augment deep networks with uncertainty quantification by Bayesian treatment of the network weights. However, such models face the challenge of Bayesian inference in a high-dimensional and usually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Zhijie Deng , Yucen Luo , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

We present a state-of-the-art prediction for cross sections of neutrino deep inelastic scattering (DIS) from nucleon at high neutrino energies, $E_\nu$, from 100 GeV to 1000 EeV ($10^{12}$ GeV). Our calculations are based on the latest CT18…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-06-10 Keping Xie , Jun Gao , T. J. Hobbs , Daniel R. Stump , C. -P. Yuan