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Classical deterministic optimal control problems assume full information about the controlled process. The theory of control for general partially-observable processes is powerful, but the methods are computationally expensive and typically…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Dongping Qi , Adam Dhillon , Alexander Vladimirsky

Calibrating blackbox machine learning models to achieve risk control is crucial to ensure reliable decision-making. A rich line of literature has been studying how to calibrate a model so that its predictions satisfy explicit finite-sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Victor Li , Baiting Chen , Yuzhen Mao , Qi Lei , Zhun Deng

Non-prehensile manipulation in high-dimensional systems is challenging for a variety of reasons. One of the main reasons is the computationally long planning times that come with a large state space. Trajectory optimisation algorithms have…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-13 David Russell , Rafael Papallas , Mehmet Dogar

The main benefit of model predictive control (MPC) is its ability to steer the system to a given reference without violating the constraints while minimizing some objective. Furthermore, a suitably designed MPC controller guarantees…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-25 Pablo Krupa , Daniel Limon , Teodoro Alamo

Optimal mechanism design enjoys a beautiful and well-developed theory, and also a number of killer applications. Rules of thumb produced by the field influence everything from how governments sell wireless spectrum licenses to how the major…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-12 Tim Roughgarden , Inbal Talgam-Cohen

Model Predictive Control is an extremely effective control method for systems with input and state constraints. Model Predictive Control performance heavily depends on the accuracy of the open-loop prediction. For systems with uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Francesco Micheli , John Lygeros

Modeling the purposeful behavior of imperfect agents from a small number of observations is a challenging task. When restricted to the single-agent decision-theoretic setting, inverse optimal control techniques assume that observed behavior…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-08-19 Kevin Waugh , Brian D. Ziebart , J. Andrew Bagnell

Robot decision-making increasingly relies on data-driven human prediction models when operating around people. While these models are known to mispredict in out-of-distribution interactions, only a subset of prediction errors impact…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Kensuke Nakamura , Ran Tian , Andrea Bajcsy

This work presents DMPC (Data-and Model-Driven Predictive Control) to solve control problems in which some of the constraints or parts of the objective function are known, while others are entirely unknown to the controller. It is assumed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-02 Hassan Jafarzadeh , Cody Fleming

Many real-world decision processes are modeled by optimization problems whose defining parameters are unknown and must be inferred from observable data. The Predict-Then-Optimize framework uses machine learning models to predict unknown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 James Kotary , Vincenzo Di Vito , Jacob Christopher , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Ferdinando Fioretto

Consideration set formation using non-compensatory screening rules is a vital component of real purchasing decisions with decades of experimental validation. Marketers have recently developed statistical methods that can estimate…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-19 Minhua Long , W. Ross Morrow

This paper deals with optimal policy learning (OPL) with observational data, i.e. data-driven optimal decision-making, in multi-action (or multi-arm) settings, where a finite set of decision options is available. It is organized in three…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-01 Giovanni Cerulli

Trajectory planning in urban automated driving is challenging because of the high uncertainty resulting from the unknown future motion of other traffic participants. Robust approaches guarantee safety, but tend to result in overly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-30 Tommaso Benciolini , Tim Brüdigam , Marion Leibold

A reliable controller is critical for execution of safe and smooth maneuvers of an autonomous vehicle. The controller must be robust to external disturbances, such as road surface, weather, wind conditions, and so on. It also needs to deal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-23 Pin Wang , Tianyu Shi , Chonghao Zou , Long Xin , Ching-Yao Chan

We present a powerful general framework for designing data-dependent optimization algorithms, building upon and unifying recent techniques in adaptive regularization, optimistic gradient predictions, and problem-dependent randomization. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-14 Mehryar Mohri , Scott Yang

Trajectory prediction plays a vital role in the performance of autonomous driving systems, and prediction accuracy, such as average displacement error (ADE) or final displacement error (FDE), is widely used as a performance metric. However,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Phong Tran , Haoran Wu , Cunjun Yu , Panpan Cai , Sifa Zheng , David Hsu

Split conformal prediction has recently sparked great interest due to its ability to provide formally guaranteed uncertainty sets or intervals for predictions made by black-box neural models, ensuring a predefined probability of containing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-29 António Farinhas , Chrysoula Zerva , Dennis Ulmer , André F. T. Martins

In this paper, we present a framework for solving continuous optimal control problems when the true system dynamics are approximated through an imperfect model. We derive a control strategy by applying Pontryagin's Minimum Principle to the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-31 Panagiotis Kounatidis , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

We consider a simple control problem in which the underlying dynamics depend on a parameter $a$ that is unknown and must be learned. We study three variants of the control problem: Bayesian control, in which we have a prior belief about…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Jacob Carruth , Maximilian F. Eggl , Charles Fefferman , Clarence W. Rowley

Many robotics domains use some form of nonconvex model predictive control (MPC) for planning, which sets a reduced time horizon, performs trajectory optimization, and replans at every step. The actual task typically requires a much longer…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Avik Jain , Lawrence Chan , Daniel S. Brown , Anca D. Dragan