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We investigate the Continuous-Time Koopman Autoencoder (CT-KAE) as a lightweight surrogate model for long-horizon ocean state forecasting in a two-layer quasi-geostrophic (QG) system. By projecting nonlinear dynamics into a latent space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Rares Grozavescu , Pengyu Zhang , Mark Girolami , Etienne Meunier

Kernel analog forecasting (KAF) is a powerful methodology for data-driven, non-parametric forecasting of dynamically generated time series data. This approach has a rigorous foundation in Koopman operator theory and it produces good…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-22 Dimitris Giannakis , Amelia Henriksen , Joel A. Tropp , Rachel Ward

An online Data Assimilation strategy based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) is used to improve the predictive capabilities of Large Eddy Simulation (LES) for the analysis of the turbulent flow in a plane channel, $Re_\tau \approx 550$.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-10-30 Lucas Villanueva , Karine Truffin , Marcello Meldi

This paper studies an output feedback stabilization control framework for discrete-time linear systems with stochastic dynamics determined by an independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) process. The controller is constructed with an…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-04-11 Yohei Hosoe , Dimitri Peaucelle

Data assimilation (DA) integrates numerical model forecasts with observations to achieve the optimal state estimation. Ensemble-based methods, such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), are widely used for state estimation for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-25 Zhou Yao , Zhilin Li , Li Zhao , Zeng Liu , Zhaokuan Lu , Seungnam Kim , Guangyao Wang

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a method for combining a dynamical model with data in a sequential fashion. Despite its widespread use, there has been little analysis of its theoretical properties. Many of the algorithmic innovations…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-17 D. T. B. Kelly , K. J. H. Law , A. M. Stuart

Latent variable models have become instrumental in computational neuroscience for reasoning about neural computation. This has fostered the development of powerful offline algorithms for extracting latent neural trajectories from neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-22 Matthew Dowling , Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), as a fundamental data assimilation approach, has been widely used in many fields of the sciences and engineering. When the state variable is of high dimensional accompanied with high resolution…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-18 Shouxia Wang , Hao-Xuan Sun , Song Xi Chen

In this paper, we propose and develop a methodology for nonlinear systems health monitoring by modeling the damage and degradation mechanism dynamics as "slow" states that are augmented with the system "fast" dynamical states. This…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-17 Najmeh Daroogheh , Nader Meskin , Khashayar Khorasani

Accurate structural response prediction forms a main driver for structural health monitoring and control applications. This often requires the proposed model to adequately capture the underlying dynamics of complex structural systems. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Wei Liu , Zhilu Lai , Kiran Bacsa , Eleni Chatzi

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) has achieved great successes in data assimilation in atmospheric and oceanic sciences, but its failure in convergence to the right filtering distribution precludes its use for uncertainty quantification. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Peiyi Zhang , Qifan Song , Faming Liang

We propose a Dynamical Low-Rank Ensemble Kalman Filter (DLR-ENKF) for efficient joint state-parameter estimation in high-dimensional dynamical systems. The method extends the DLR-ENKF formulation of arXiv:2509.11210 to the augmented…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Fabio Nobile , Sébastien Riffaud , Thomas Trigo Trindade

The reconstruction of the dynamics of an observed physical system as a surrogate model has been brought to the fore by recent advances in machine learning. To deal with partial and noisy observations in that endeavor, machine learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-06 Marc Bocquet , Alban Farchi , Quentin Malartic

Popular (ensemble) Kalman filter data assimilation (DA) approaches assume that the errors in both the a priori estimate of the state and those in the observations are Gaussian. For constrained variables, e.g. sea ice concentration or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Ivo Pasmans , Yumeng Chen , Tobias Sebastian Finn , Marc Bocquet , Alberto Carrassi

Ensemble transform Kalman filtering (ETKF) data assimilation is often used to combine available observations with numerical simulations to obtain statistically accurate and reliable state representations in dynamical systems. However, it is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-07 Tongtong Li , Anne Gelb , Yoonsang Lee

Accurately reconstructing and forecasting high-resolution (HR) states from computationally cheap low-resolution (LR) observations is central to estimation-and-control of spatio-temporal PDE systems. We develop a unified superresolution…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-16 Mrigank Dhingra , Omer San

Data assimilation plays a key role in large-scale atmospheric weather forecasting, where the state of the physical system is estimated from model outputs and observations, and is then used as initial condition to produce accurate future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Azam Moosavi , Ahmed Attia , Adrian Sandu

Millimeter-wave (mmWave) communication is a promising technology to meet the ever-growing data traffic of vehicular communications. Unfortunately, more frequent channel estimations are required in this spectrum due to the narrow beams…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-06 Sina Shaham , Matthew Kokshoorn , Ming Ding , Zihuai Lin , Mahyar Shirvanimoghaddam

The fusion of camera sensor and inertial data is a leading method for ego-motion tracking in autonomous and smart devices. State estimation techniques that rely on non-linear filtering are a strong paradigm for solving the associated…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Arno Solin , Rui Li , Andrea Pilzer

Accurate data assimilation (DA) for systems with piecewise-smooth or discontinuous state variables remains a significant challenge, as conventional covariance-based ensemble Kalman filter approaches often fail to effectively balance…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Tongtong Li , Anne Gelb , Yoonsang Lee