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Optimum parameter estimation methods require knowledge of a parametric probability density that statistically describes the available observations. In this work we examine Bayesian and non-Bayesian parameter estimation problems under a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-01 George V. Moustakides

Filtering-based probabilistic numerical solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs), also known as ODE filters, have been established as efficient methods for quantifying numerical uncertainty in the solution of ODEs. In practical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-02 Dingling Yao , Filip Tronarp , Nathanael Bosch

In this paper we address the challenging problem of designing globally convergent estimators for the parameters of nonlinear systems containing a non-separable exponential nonlinearity. This class of terms appears in many practical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Romeo Ortega , Alexey Bobtsov , Ramon Costa-Castello , Nikolay Nikolaev

Ordinary and stochastic differential equations (ODEs and SDEs) are widely used to model continuous-time processes across various scientific fields. While ODEs offer interpretability and simplicity, SDEs incorporate randomness, providing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Qingchuan Sun , Susanne Ditlevsen

Parameter estimation is crucial for modeling, tracking, and control of complex dynamical systems. However, parameter uncertainties can compromise system performance under a controller relying on nominal parameter values. Typically,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-02-20 Mouhyemen Khan , Abhijit Chatterjee

Inferring the parameters of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) from noisy observations is an important problem in many scientific fields. Currently, most parameter estimation methods that bypass numerical integration tend to rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-25 Mingwei Xu , Samuel W. K. Wong , Peijun Sang

Due to the highly non-convex nature of large-scale robust parameter estimation, avoiding poor local minima is challenging in real-world applications where input data is contaminated by a large or unknown fraction of outliers. In this paper,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Huu Le , Christopher Zach

We study non-parametric estimation of choice models, which were introduced to alleviate unreasonable assumptions in traditional parametric models, and are prevalent in several application areas. Existing literature focuses only on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-07 Nam Ho-Nguyen , Fatma Kilinc-Karzan

We consider the optimization of an uncertain objective over continuous and multi-dimensional decision spaces in problems in which we are only provided with observational data. We propose a novel algorithmic framework that is tractable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord

Increasing effort is put into the development of methods for learning mechanistic models from data. This task entails not only the accurate estimation of parameters but also a suitable model structure. Recent work on the discovery of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Justin N. Kreikemeyer , Philipp Andelfinger , Adelinde M. Uhrmacher

We consider numerical approaches for deterministic, finite-dimensional optimal control problems whose dynamics depend on unknown or uncertain parameters. We seek to amortize the solution over a set of relevant parameters in an offline stage…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-16 Deepanshu Verma , Nick Winovich , Lars Ruthotto , Bart van Bloemen Waanders

This study proposes an approach based on a perturbation technique to construct global solutions to dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models (DSGE). The main idea is to expand a solution in a series of powers of a small parameter…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-16 Viktors Ajevskis

The parameter space of dynamical systems arising in applications is often found to be high-dimensional and difficult to explore. We construct a fast algorithm to numerically analyze "quantitative features" of dynamical systems depending on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2008-07-15 Christian Kuehn

Estimating and quantifying uncertainty in unknown system parameters from limited data remains a challenging inverse problem in a variety of real-world applications. While many approaches focus on estimating constant parameters, a subset of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Andrea Arnold

In this paper, we study optimization problems where the cost function contains time-varying parameters that are unmeasurable and evolve according to linear, yet unknown, dynamics. We propose a solution that leverages control theoretic tools…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Shivanshu Tripathi , Abed AlRahman Al Makdah , Fabio Pasqualetti

Solution of Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) model of dynamical system may not agree with its observed values. Often this discrepancy can be attributed to unmodeled forcings in the evolution rule of the dynamical system. In this…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Saurabh Dixit , Soumyendu Raha

A large-scale complex system comprising many, often spatially distributed, dynamical subsystems with partial autonomy and complex interactions are called system of systems. This paper describes an efficient algorithm for model predictive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Branimir Novoselnik , Vedrana Spudić , Mato Baotić

Ordinary differential equations (ODE) are widely used for modeling in Systems Biology. As most commonly only some of the kinetic parameters are measurable or precisely known, parameter estimation techniques are applied to parametrize the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-19 Christoph Zimmer , Frank T. Bergmann , Sven Sahle

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) can provide mechanistic models of temporally local changes of processes, where parameters are often informed by external knowledge. While ODEs are popular in systems modeling, they are less established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-10 Maren Hackenberg , Astrid Pechmann , Clemens Kreutz , Janbernd Kirschner , Harald Binder

Inverse problem or parameter estimation of ordinary differential equations (ODEs), the iterative process of minimizing the mismatch between model-predicted and experimental states by tuning the parameter values within an optimization…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Siddharth Prabhu , Srinivas Rangarajan , Mayuresh Kothare