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We investigate the estimation of the causal effect of a treatment variable on an outcome in the presence of a latent confounder. We first show that the causal effect is identifiable under certain conditions when data is available from…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Yaroslav Kivva , Sina Akbari , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

Fixed effect estimators of nonlinear panel data models suffer from the incidental parameter problem. This leads to two undesirable consequences in applied research: (1) point estimates are subject to large biases, and (2) confidence…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-18 Shuowen Chen

A computational tool for coarse-graining nonlinear systems of ordinary differential equations in time is discussed. Three illustrative model examples are worked out that demonstrate the range of capability of the method. This includes the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-23 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Amit Acharya , Zvi Artstein

We develop a new tool, the time inhomogeneous Poisson equation in the whole space and with a terminal condition at infinity, to study the asymptotic behavior of the non-autonomous multi-scale stochastic system with irregular coefficients,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Ling Wang , Pengcheng Xia , Longjie Xie , Li Yang

Network models provide a powerful framework for analysing single-cell count data, facilitating the characterisation of cellular identities, disease mechanisms, and developmental trajectories. However, uncertainty modeling in unsupervised…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-27 Shanshan Ren , Thomas E. Bartlett , Lina Gerontogianni , Swati Chandna

The Markov-modulated Poisson process is utilised for count modelling in a variety of areas such as queueing, reliability, network and insurance claims analysis. In this paper, we extend the Markov-modulated Poisson process framework through…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-06 Benjamin Avanzi , Greg Taylor , Bernard Wong , Alan Xian

Research on chemotherapy, heart surgery, and vaccines has indicated that the risks and benefits of a treatment could vary depending on the time of day it is administered. A challenge with performing studies on timing treatment…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-10 Michael T. Gorczyca , Tavish M. McDonald , Brandon Oppong-Antwi

We consider the analysis of continuous repeated measurement outcomes that are collected through time, also known as longitudinal data. A standard framework for analysing data of this kind is a linear Gaussian mixed-effects model within…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 Özgür Asar , David Bolin , Peter J. Diggle , Jonas Wallin

Time-course gene expression datasets provide insight into the dynamics of complex biological processes, such as immune response and organ development. It is of interest to identify genes with similar temporal expression patterns because…

The systematic collection of longitudinal data is very common in practice, making mixed models widely used. Most developments around these models focus on modeling the mean trajectory of repeated measurements, typically under the assumption…

A method based on wavelet transform and genetic programming is proposed for characterizing and modeling variations at multiple scales in non-stationary time series. The cyclic variations, extracted by wavelets and smoothened by cubic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Dilip P. Ahalpara , Amit Verma , Prasanta K. Panigrahi , Jitendra C. Parikh

Performance estimation aims at estimating the loss that a predictive model will incur on unseen data. These procedures are part of the pipeline in every machine learning project and are used for assessing the overall generalisation ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Igor Mozetic

Quantile regression has demonstrated promising utility in longitudinal data analysis. Existing work is primarily focused on modeling cross-sectional outcomes, while outcome trajectories often carry more substantive information in practice.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Huijuan Ma , Limin Peng , Haoda Fu

Mendelian randomization is an instrumental variable method that utilizes genetic information to investigate the causal effect of a modifiable exposure on an outcome. In most cases, the exposure changes over time. Understanding the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Haodong Tian , Ashish Patel , Stephen Burgess

Computer Vision practitioners must thoroughly understand their model's performance, but conditional evaluation is complex and error-prone. In biometric verification, model performance over continuous covariates---real-number attributes of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Mel McCurrie , Hamish Nicholson , Walter J. Scheirer , Samuel Anthony

The problem of clock offset estimation in a two-way timing exchange regime is considered when the likelihood function of the observation time stamps is exponentially distributed. In order to capture the imperfections in node oscillators,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-02-02 Aitzaz Ahmad , Davide Zennaro , Erchin Serpedin , Lorenzo Vangelista

Progress on modern scientific questions regularly depends on using large-scale datasets to understand complex dynamical systems. An especially challenging case that has grown to prominence with advances in single-cell sequencing…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-27 Aden Forrow

Traditional methods for covariate adjustment of treatment means in designed experiments are inherently conditional on the observed covariate values. In order to develop a coherent general methodology for analysis of covariance, we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-01-19 James G. Booth , Walter T. Federer , Martin T. Wells , Russell D. Wolfinger

We introduce a parsimonious model-based framework for clustering time course data. In these applications the computational burden becomes often an issue due to the number of available observations. The measured time series can also be very…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-03 Carmela Iorio , Gianluca Frasso , Antonio D'Ambrosio , Roberta Siciliano

We present techniques for effective Gaussian process (GP) modelling of multiple short time series. These problems are common when applying GP models independently to each gene in a gene expression time series data set. Such sets typically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-10-10 Hande Topa , Antti Honkela