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We study a stochastic multiplicative system composed of finite asynchronous elements to describe the wealth evolution in financial markets. We find that the wealth fluctuations or returns of this system can be described by a walk with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Zhi-Feng Huang , Sorin Solomon

Stock volatility prediction is an important task in the financial industry. Recent advancements in multimodal methodologies, which integrate both textual and auditory data, have demonstrated significant improvements in this domain, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Shengkun Wang , Taoran Ji , Jianfeng He , Mariam Almutairi , Dan Wang , Linhan Wang , Min Zhang , Chang-Tien Lu

Stock prices are influenced over time by underlying macroeconomic factors. Jumping out of the box of conventional assumptions about the unpredictability of the market noise, we modeled the changes of stock prices over time through the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-26 Yang Chen , Emerson Li

The mathematical model of a linear system with the short memory about own stochastic behavior is proposed. It is assumed that the system is under a continual influence of independent stochastic impulses. In a short memory approximation the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 D. N. Zhabin

This paper presents a novel approach to stochastic volatility (SV) modeling by utilizing nonparametric techniques that enhance our ability to capture the volatility of financial time series data, with a particular emphasis on the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yudong Feng , Ashis Gangopadhyay

Advanced measurement techniques and high performance computing have made large data sets available for a wide range of turbulent flows that arise in engineering applications. Drawing on this abundance of data, dynamical models can be…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-05-06 Armin Zare , Tryphon T. Georgiou , Mihailo R. Jovanović

Modeling financial data often relies on assumptions that may prove insufficient or unrealistic in practice. The Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) model is frequently employed to represent stock price processes. This study investigates whether…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Dennis Lartey Quayesam , Anani Lotsi , Felix Okoe Mettle

Rough volatility models are continuous time stochastic volatility models where the volatility process is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst parameter smaller than half, and have attracted much attention since a seminal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-20 Masaaki Fukasawa , Tetsuya Takabatake , Rebecca Westphal

This manuscript provides an in-depth exploration of Brownian Motion, a fundamental stochastic process in probability theory for Biostatisticians. It begins with foundational definitions and properties, including the construction of Brownian…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-30 Elvis Han Cui

This paper studies a continuous-time market {under stochastic environment} where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a target terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return with multiple stocks and a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-28 Wan-Kai Pang , Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li , Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu

Price movements of stock market are not totally random. In fact, what drives the financial market and what pattern financial time series follows have long been the interest that attracts economists, mathematicians and most recently computer…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-20 G. Kavitha , A. Udhayakumar , D. Nagarajan

Recent years have seen an increased level of interest in pricing equity options under a stochastic volatility model such as the Heston model. Often, simulating a Heston model is difficult, as a standard finite difference scheme may lead to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-28 Ian Iscoe , Asif Lakhany

In this paper we propose a new stochastic model based on a generalization of semi-Markov chains to study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks. We assume that the financial returns are described by a weighted indexed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-05 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

In this paper we describe three stochastic models based on a semi-Markov chains approach and its generalizations to study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks. The three models are: a simple semi-Markov chain model, an indexed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-16 G. D'Amico , F. Petroni , F. Prattico

We consider a non-stochastic online learning approach to price financial options by modeling the market dynamic as a repeated game between the nature (adversary) and the investor. We demonstrate that such framework yields analogous…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-06-25 Henry Lam , Zhenming Liu

Recent developments on financial markets have revealed the limits of Brownian motion pricing models when they are applied to actual markets. L\'evy processes, that admit jumps over time, have been found more useful for applications. Thus,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-16 Rui Sá Pereira , Evelina Shamarova

We construct a general stochastic process and prove weak convergence results. It is scaled in space and through the parameters of its distribution. We show that our simplified scaling is equivalent to time scaling used frequently. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-01 Mine Caglar

Fractional stochastic volatility models have been widely used to capture the non-Markovian structure revealed from financial time series of realized volatility. On the other hand, empirical studies have identified scales in stock price…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-25 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ruimeng Hu

Rough volatility models are known to reproduce the behavior of historical volatility data while at the same time fitting the volatility surface remarkably well, with very few parameters. However, managing the risks of derivatives under…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-16 Omar El Euch , Mathieu Rosenbaum

In this paper, we employ the Heston stochastic volatility model to describe the stock's volatility and apply the model to derive and analyze the optimal trading strategies for dealers in a security market. We also extend our study to option…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-02 Wai-Ki Ching , Jia-Wen Gu , Tak-Kuen Siu , Qing-Qing Yang
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