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Many risk-sensitive applications require well-calibrated prediction sets over multiple, potentially correlated target variables, for which the prediction algorithm may report correlated errors. In this work, we aim to construct the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Ji Won Park , Robert Tibshirani , Kyunghyun Cho

The normal distribution is used as a unified probability distribution, however, our researcher found that it is not good agreed with the real-life dynamical system's data. We collected and analyzed representative naturally occurring data…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-06 Wei Ping Cheng , Zhi Hong Zhang , Pu Wang

We present a data-driven method to infer the redshift distribution of an arbitrary dataset based on spatial cross-correlation with a reference population and we apply it to various datasets across the electromagnetic spectrum to show its…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-07-31 Brice Ménard , Ryan Scranton , Samuel Schmidt , Chris Morrison , Donghui Jeong , Tamas Budavari , Mubdi Rahman

Gradient-based methods are well-suited for derivative-free optimization (DFO), where finite-difference (FD) estimates are commonly used as gradient surrogates. Traditional stochastic approximation methods, such as Kiefer-Wolfowitz (KW) and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Guo Liang , Guangwu Liu , Kun Zhang

In this article we develop a new method for summarizing a ranking distribution, \textit{i.e.} a probability distribution on the symmetric group $\mathfrak{S}_n$, beyond the classical theory of consensus and Kemeny medians. Based on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-12 Stephan Clémençon , Ekhine Irurozki

In this paper we examine quantile-stratified samples from a known univariate probability distribution, with stratification occurring over a partition of the quantile regions in the distribution. We examine some general properties of this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Ben O'Neill

Applied Difference-in-Differences studies often involve outcomes that are discrete, mixed, censored, or otherwise non-continuously distributed, while policy questions frequently concern distributional effects rather than mean effects alone.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-22 Nelly K. Djuazon , Emmanuel Selorm Tsyawo

Kernel Induced Random Survival Forests (KIRSF) is a statistical learning algorithm which aims to improve prediction accuracy for survival data. As in Random Survival Forests (RSF), Cumulative Hazard Function is predicted for each individual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-08-25 Fang Yang , Jiheng Wang , Guangzhe Fan

This paper proposes new estimators for the propensity score that aim to maximize the covariate distribution balance among different treatment groups. Heuristically, our proposed procedure attempts to estimate a propensity score model by…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-04-07 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Xiaojun Song , Qi Xu

We propose a unified rare-event estimator for the performance evaluation of wireless communication systems. The estimator is derived from the well-known multilevel splitting algorithm. In its original form, the splitting algorithm cannot be…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-08-29 Nadhir Ben Rached , Daniel MacKinlay , Zdravko Botev , Raul Tempone , Mohamed-Slim Alouini

Context: The effectiveness of data selection approaches in improving the performance of cross project defect prediction(CPDP) has been shown in multiple previous studies. Beside that, replication studies play an important role in the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Seyedrebvar Hosseini , Burak Turhan

Formal model evaluation methods typically certify that a model satisfies a prescribed target key performance indicator (KPI) level. However, in many applications, the relevant target KPI level may not be known a priori, and the user may…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Amirmohammad Farzaneh , Osvaldo Simeone

We study the averaging-based distributed optimization solvers over random networks. We show a general result on the convergence of such schemes using weight-matrices that are row-stochastic almost surely and column-stochastic in expectation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-06 Adel Aghajan , Behrouz Touri

Principal stratification is a popular framework for causal inference in the presence of an intermediate outcome. While the principal average treatment effects are the standard target of inference, they may be insufficient when interest lies…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Xinyuan Chen , Fan Li

A probabilistic circuit (PC) succinctly expresses a function that represents a multivariate probability distribution and, given sufficient structural properties of the circuit, supports efficient probabilistic inference. Typically a PC…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Oliver Broadrick , William Cao , Benjie Wang , Martin Trapp , Guy Van den Broeck

This paper investigates the performance of joint time delay and Doppler-stretch estimation with the random stepp ed-frequency (RSF) signal. Applying the ambiguity function (AF) to implement the estimation, we derive the compact expressions…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-05-20 Tong Zhao , Zheng Nan , Tianyao Huang

Objective: To investigate the impact of different logistic regression estimators applied to RDS samples obtained by simulation and real data. Methods: Four simulated populations were created combining different connectivity models, levels…

We study nonparametric estimation of the distribution function (DF) of a continuous random variable based on a ranked set sampling design using the exponentially tilted (ET) empirical likelihood method. We propose ET estimators of the DF…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-23 Saeid Amiri , Mohammad Jafari Jozani , Reza Modarres

This work presents a non-parametric estimator for the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the job-size distribution for a queue with compound Poisson input. The workload process is observed according to an independent Poisson sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Liron Ravner

This paper considers the problem of distributed estimation in wireless sensor networks (WSN), which is anticipated to support a wide range of applications such as the environmental monitoring, weather forecasting, and location estimation.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-26 Meng He , Ran Li , Chuan Huang , Shulong Zhang