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We consider $L^2$-regularized linear (ridge) regression over a finite data sample $X$ with bounded covariance and linear prediction targets $y$ with additive isotropic noise of finite variance. We present an iterative procedure to compute…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Jack Timmermans , Sergio A. Alvarez

For measuring tail risk with scarce extreme events, extreme value analysis is often invoked as the statistical tool to extrapolate to the tail of a distribution. The presence of large datasets benefits tail risk analysis by providing more…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Chen Zhou

We focus on the distribution regression problem: regressing to vector-valued outputs from probability measures. Many important machine learning and statistical tasks fit into this framework, including multi-instance learning and point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-24 Zoltan Szabo , Bharath Sriperumbudur , Barnabas Poczos , Arthur Gretton

We consider multivariate extreme value statistics for independent but nonidentically distributed random vectors. In particular, the data may have varying tail copulas and also heteroscedastic marginal distributions. Assuming smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Chen Zhou

Existing theory suggests that for linear regression problems categorized by capacity and source conditions, gradient descent (GD) is always minimax optimal, while both ridge regression and online stochastic gradient descent (SGD) are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Jingfeng Wu , Peter L. Bartlett , Jason D. Lee , Sham M. Kakade , Bin Yu

This work studies the statistical implications of using features comprised of general linear combinations of covariates to partition the data in randomized decision tree and forest regression algorithms. Using random tessellation theory in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Eliza O'Reilly

This paper characterizes the conditional distribution properties of the finite sample ridge regression estimator and uses that result to evaluate total regression and generalization errors that incorporate the inaccuracies committed at the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-31 Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Juan-Pablo Ortega

We provide optimal lower bounds for two well-known parameter estimation (also known as statistical estimation) tasks in high dimensions with approximate differential privacy. First, we prove that for any $\alpha \le O(1)$, estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Shyam Narayanan

The extreme value theory is very popular in applied sciences including Finance, economics, hydrology and many other disciplines. In univariate extreme value theory, we model the data by a suitable distribution from the general max-domain of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh

We analyse the interpolator with minimal $\ell_2$-norm $\hat{\beta}$ in a general high dimensional linear regression framework where $\mathbb Y=\mathbb X\beta^*+\xi$ where $\mathbb X$ is a random $n\times p$ matrix with independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-06 Geoffrey Chinot , Matthieu Lerasle

Statistical wisdom suggests that very complex models, interpolating training data, will be poor at predicting unseen examples.Yet, this aphorism has been recently challenged by the identification of benign overfitting regimes, specially…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-10 Ludovic Arnould , Claire Boyer , Erwan Scornet

This paper investigates tradeoffs among optimization errors, statistical rates of convergence and the effect of heavy-tailed errors for high-dimensional robust regression with nonconvex regularization. When the additive errors in linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Xiaoou Pan , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou

Ridge regression (RR) is a regularization technique that penalizes the L2-norm of the coefficients in linear regression. One of the challenges of using RR is the need to set a hyperparameter ($\alpha$) that controls the amount of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-08 Ariel Rokem , Kendrick Kay

The paper considers variable selection in linear regression models where the number of covariates is possibly much larger than the number of observations. High dimensionality of the data brings in many complications, such as (possibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

We study a seemingly unexpected and relatively less understood overfitting aspect of a fundamental tool in sparse linear modeling - best subset selection, which minimizes the residual sum of squares subject to a constraint on the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Rahul Mazumder , Peter Radchenko , Antoine Dedieu

A common strategy to train deep neural networks (DNNs) is to use very large architectures and to train them until they (almost) achieve zero training error. Empirically observed good generalization performance on test data, even in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-26 Nicole Mücke , Ingo Steinwart

When using recurrent neural networks (RNNs) it is common practice to apply trained models to sequences longer than those seen in training. This "extrapolating" usage deviates from the traditional statistical learning setup where guarantees…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Edo Cohen-Karlik , Avichai Ben David , Nadav Cohen , Amir Globerson

We consider a regression framework where the design points are deterministic and the errors possibly non-i.i.d. and heavy-tailed (with a moment of order $p$ in $[1,2]$). Given a class of candidate regression functions, we propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Yannick Baraud , Guillaume Maillard

This article is motivated by the objective of providing a new analytically tractable and fully frequentist framework to characterize and implement regression trees while also allowing a multivariate (potentially high dimensional) response.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-24 Abhishek Kaul

We consider a high-dimensional regression model with a possible change-point due to a covariate threshold and develop the Lasso estimator of regression coefficients as well as the threshold parameter. Our Lasso estimator not only selects…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-23 Sokbae Lee , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin