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Modern neural networks are often operated in a strongly overparametrized regime: they comprise so many parameters that they can interpolate the training set, even if actual labels are replaced by purely random ones. Despite this, they…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-10 Andrea Montanari , Yiqiao Zhong

Many statistical problems can be reduced to a linear inverse problem in which only a noisy version of the operator is available. Particular examples include random design regression, deconvolution problem, instrumental variable regression,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Vladimir Spokoiny

In this note, we provide an elementary analysis of the prediction error of ridge regression with random design. The proof is short and self-contained. In particular, it bypasses the use of Rudelson's deviation inequality for covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-11 Jaouad Mourtada , Lorenzo Rosasco

When the regressors of a econometric linear model are nonorthogonal, it is well known that their estimation by ordinary least squares can present various problems that discourage the use of this model. The ridge regression is the most…

We develop and analyze a principled approach to kernel ridge regression under covariate shift. The goal is to learn a regression function with small mean squared error over a target distribution, based on unlabeled data from there and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Kaizheng Wang

High-dimensional sparse modeling via regularization provides a powerful tool for analyzing large-scale data sets and obtaining meaningful, interpretable models. The use of nonconvex penalty functions shows advantage in selecting important…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-12 Zemin Zheng , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

In this paper, we study regression problems over a separable Hilbert space with the square loss, covering non-parametric regression over a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We investigate a class of spectral/regularized algorithms,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-18 Junhong Lin , Alessandro Rudi , Lorenzo Rosasco , Volkan Cevher

Anomalies persist in the foundations of ridge regression as set forth in Hoerl and Kennard (1970) and subsequently. Conventional ridge estimators and their properties do not follow on constraining lengths of solution vectors using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-30 D. R. Jensen , D. E. Ramirez

We establish a statistical learning theoretical framework aimed at extrapolation, or out-of-domain generalization, on the unobserved tails of covariates in continuous regression problems. Our strategy involves performing statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-15 Stephan Clémençon , Nathan Huet , Anne Sabourin

Kernel ridge regression (KRR) is a widely used nonparametric method due to its strong theoretical guarantees and computational convenience. However, standard KRR does not distinguish between linear and nonlinear components in the signal,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Xin Bing , Chao Wang

Decisions are increasingly taken by both humans and machine learning models. However, machine learning models are currently trained for full automation -- they are not aware that some of the decisions may still be taken by humans. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Abir De , Nastaran Okati , Paramita Koley , Niloy Ganguly , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

Although a majority of the theoretical literature in high-dimensional statistics has focused on settings which involve fully-observed data, settings with missing values and corruptions are common in practice. We consider the problems of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-06 Yining Wang , Jialei Wang , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Aarti Singh

Motivated by the studies of neural networks (e.g.,the neural tangent kernel theory), we perform a study on the large-dimensional behavior of kernel ridge regression (KRR) where the sample size $n \asymp d^{\gamma}$ for some $\gamma > 0$.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-03 Haobo Zhang , Yicheng Li , Weihao Lu , Qian Lin

The distributed Hill estimator is a divide-and-conquer algorithm for estimating the extreme value index when data are stored in multiple machines. In applications, estimates based on the distributed Hill estimator can be sensitive to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-21 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Chen Zhou

This paper provides a comprehensive error analysis of learning with vector-valued random features (RF). The theory is developed for RF ridge regression in a fully general infinite-dimensional input-output setting, but nonetheless applies to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-24 Samuel Lanthaler , Nicholas H. Nelsen

This paper studies the case of possibly high-dimensional covariates in the regression discontinuity design (RDD) analysis. In particular, we propose estimation and inference methods for the RDD models with covariate selection which perform…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Yoichi Arai , Taisuke Otsu , Myung Hwan Seo

Estimators in statistics and machine learning must typically trade off between efficiency, having low variance for a fixed target, and distributional robustness, such as multiaccuracy, or having low bias over a range of possible targets. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 David Bruns-Smith , Zhongming Xie , Avi Feller

The success of the Lasso in the era of high-dimensional data can be attributed to its conducting an implicit model selection, i.e., zeroing out regression coefficients that are not significant. By contrast, classical ridge regression can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Yunyi Zhang , Dimitris N. Politis

In this paper, we propose a random projection approach to estimate variance in kernel ridge regression. Our approach leads to a consistent estimator of the true variance, while being computationally more efficient. Our variance estimator is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Meimei Liu , Jean Honorio , Guang Cheng

We study a localized notion of uniform convergence known as an "optimistic rate" (Panchenko 2002; Srebro et al. 2010) for linear regression with Gaussian data. Our refined analysis avoids the hidden constant and logarithmic factor in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-09 Lijia Zhou , Frederic Koehler , Danica J. Sutherland , Nathan Srebro
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