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High-resolution rainfall observations are crucial for weather forecasting, water management, and hazard mitigation. Traditional operational measurements are often biased and low-resolution, limiting their ability to capture local rainfall.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Rafael Pablos Sarabia , Joachim Nyborg , Morten Birk , Ira Assent

This study introduces a framework for the forecasting, reconstruction and feature engineering of multivariate processes along with its renewable energy applications. We integrate derivative-free optimization with an ensemble of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Mohammad Pirhooshyaran , Katya Scheinberg , Lawrence V. Snyder

High quality Quantitative Precipitation Estimation at high spatiotemporal resolution is crucial to many hydrologic/hydro-meteorological designs. Optimal Quantitative Precipitation Estimation of rainfall improves the accuracy of river and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-03 Ruhollah Nasiri , Mohamad Sarajzadeh

Platform businesses operate on a digital core and their decision making requires high-dimensional accurate forecast streams at different levels of cross-sectional (e.g., geographical regions) and temporal aggregation (e.g., minutes to…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-03 Jeroen Rombouts , Marie Ternes , Ines Wilms

Increasing the resolution of a model can improve the performance of a data assimilation system: first because model field are in better agreement with high resolution observations, then the corrections are better sustained and, with…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Sébastien Barthélémy , Julien Brajard , Laurent Bertino , François Counillon

In-situ ocean wave observations are critical to improve model skill and validate remote sensing wave measurements. Historically, such observations are extremely sparse due to the large costs and complexity of traditional wave buoys and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-03-11 Pieter B. Smit , Isabel A. Houghton , Kalina Jordanova , Thomas Portwood , Evan Shapiro , David Clark , Michael Sosa , Tim T. Janssen

Variational data assimilation optimizes for an initial state of a dynamical system such that its evolution fits observational data. The physical model can subsequently be evolved into the future to make predictions. This principle is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Thomas Frerix , Dmitrii Kochkov , Jamie A. Smith , Daniel Cremers , Michael P. Brenner , Stephan Hoyer

Calibration of hydrological time-series models is a challenging task since these models give a wide spectrum of output series and calibration procedures require significant amount of time. From a statistical standpoint, this model parameter…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-26 Natalia V. Bhattacharjee , Pritam Ranjan , Abhyuday Mandal , Ernest W. Tollner

Data assimilation (DA) integrates observations with a dynamical model to estimate states of PDE-governed systems. Model-driven methods (e.g., Kalman, particle) presuppose full knowledge of the true dynamics, which is not always satisfied in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-06 Siyi Chen , Yixuan Jia , Qing Qu , He Sun , Jeffrey A Fessler

Essential features of the Multigrid Ensemble Kalman Filter (G. Moldovan, G. Lehnasch, L. Cordier, M. Meldi, A multigrid/ensemble Kalman filter strategy for assimilation of unsteady flows, Journal of Computational Physics 443-110481)…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-10-20 Gabriel Moldovan , Guillaume Lehnasch , Laurent Cordier , Marcello Meldi

Flooding is one of the most destructive and costly natural disasters, and climate changes would further increase risks globally. This work presents a novel multimodal machine learning approach for multi-year global flood risk prediction,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Cynthia Zeng , Dimitris Bertsimas

Complex nonlinear turbulent dynamical systems are ubiquitous in many areas. Recovering unobserved state variables is an important topic for the data assimilation of turbulent systems. In this article, an efficient continuous in time data…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-11-03 Nan Chen , Yuchen Li , Evelyn Lunasin

Owing to advances in data assimilation, notably Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), flood simulation and forecast capabilities have greatly improved in recent years. The motivation of the research work is to reduce comprehensively the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-25 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Sophie Ricci , Andrea Piacentini , Ehouarn Simon , Raquel Rodriguez Suquet , Santiago Peña Luque

Data assimilation will be essential for the management and expansion of geological carbon storage operations. In traditional data assimilation approaches a fixed set of geological hyperparameters, such as mean and standard deviation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Wenchao Teng , Louis J. Durlofsky

Predicting flood for any location at times of extreme storms is a longstanding problem that has utmost importance in emergency management. Conventional methods that aim to predict water levels in streams use advanced hydrological models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Muhammed Sit , Ibrahim Demir

In this paper, we introduce a new, local formulation of the ensemble Kalman Filter approach for atmospheric data assimilation. Our scheme is based on the hypothesis that, when the Earth's surface is divided up into local regions of moderate…

Flood inundation mapping is a critical task for responding to the increasing risk of flooding linked to global warming. Significant advancements of deep learning in recent years have triggered its extensive applications, including flood…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Hyunho Lee , Wenwen Li

Extreme floods pose escalating risks in a changing climate, yet forecasting remains challenging due to peak flow underestimation and high uncertainty. We introduce DRUM, a diffusion-based probabilistic deep learning approach that advances…

Hydroclimatic time series analysis focuses on a few feature types (e.g., autocorrelations, trends, extremes), which describe a small portion of the entire information content of the observations. Aiming to exploit a larger part of the…

Current modeling approaches for hydrological modeling often rely on either physics-based or data-science methods, including Machine Learning (ML) algorithms. While physics-based models tend to rigid structure resulting in unrealistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-23 Pravin Bhasme , Jenil Vagadiya , Udit Bhatia