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We study the design of optimal incentives in sequential processes. To do so, we consider a basic and fundamental model in which an agent initiates a value-creating sequential process through costly investment with random success. If…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-11-22 Jens Gudmundsson , Jens Leth Hougaard , Juan D. Moreno-Ternero , Lars Peter Østerdal

We study expert advice under reputational incentives, with sell-side equity research as the lead application. A long-lived analyst receives a continuous private signal about a binary payoff and recommends a risky (Buy) or safe action.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-05 Georgy Lukyanov , Anna Vlasova , Maria Ziskelevich

Strategic learning studies how decision rules interact with agents who may strategically change their inputs/features to achieve better outcomes. In standard settings, models assume that the decision-maker's sole scope is to learn a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Valia Efthymiou , Ekaterina Fedorova , Chara Podimata

In nonstationary bandit learning problems, the decision-maker must continually gather information and adapt their action selection as the latent state of the environment evolves. In each time period, some latent optimal action maximizes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Seungki Min , Daniel Russo

A monopoly platform sells either a risky product (with unknown utility) or a safe product (with known utility) to agents who sequentially arrive and learn the utility of the risky product by the reporting of previous agents. It is costly…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-12-12 Kaiwei Zhang , Xi Weng , Xienan Cheng

Suppose we have three independent copies of a regular diffusion on $[0,1]$ with absorbing boundaries. Of these diffusions, either at least two are absorbed at the upper boundary or at least two at the lower boundary. In this way, they…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-30 Saul Jacka , Jon Warren , Peter Windridge

Autonomous robots are increasingly utilized in realistic scenarios with multiple complex tasks. In these scenarios, there may be a preferred way of completing all of the given tasks, but it is often in conflict with optimal execution.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-26 Peter Amorese , Morteza Lahijanian

We add the assumption that players know their opponents' payoff functions and rationality to a model of non-equilibrium learning in signaling games. Agents are born into player roles and play against random opponents every period.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-01-16 Drew Fudenberg , Kevin He

We consider the problem of stopping a diffusion process with a payoff functional that renders the problem time-inconsistent. We study stopping decisions of naive agents who reoptimize continuously in time, as well as equilibrium strategies…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Adrien Nguyen-Huu , Xun Yu Zhou

An analyst observes an agent take a sequence of actions. The analyst does not have access to the agent's information and ponders whether the observed actions could be justified through a rational Bayesian model with a known utility…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-08 Henrique de Oliveira , Rohit Lamba

When an Agent visits a platform recommending a menu of content to select from, their choice of item depends not only on fixed preferences, but also on their prior engagements with the platform. The Recommender's primary objective is…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Arpit Agarwal , William Brown

Street-level bureaucrats, such as caseworkers and border guards routinely face the dilemma of whether to follow rigid policy or exercise discretion based on professional judgement. However, frequent overrides threaten consistency and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Gaurab Pokharel , Sanmay Das , Patrick J. Fowler

Given a sequence of random variables ${\bf X}=X_1,X_2,\ldots$ suppose the aim is to maximize one's return by picking a `favorable' $X_i$. Obviously, the expected payoff crucially depends on the information at hand. An optimally informed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-02 Uwe Saint-Mont

Systematic discriminatory biases present in our society influence the way data is collected and stored, the way variables are defined, and the way scientific findings are put into practice as policy. Automated decision procedures and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-29 Razieh Nabi , Daniel Malinsky , Ilya Shpitser

There is a common belief that humans and many animals follow transitive inference (choosing A over C on the basis of knowing that A is better than B and B is better than C). Transitivity seems to be the essence of rational choice. We…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-09-23 Marcin Makowski , Edward W. Piotrowski

A temporally abstract action, or an option, is specified by a policy and a termination condition: the policy guides option behavior, and the termination condition roughly determines its length. Generally, learning with longer options (like…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-12-05 Anna Harutyunyan , Peter Vrancx , Pierre-Luc Bacon , Doina Precup , Ann Nowe

In the window mean-payoff objective, given an infinite path, instead of considering a long run average, we consider the minimum payoff that can be ensured at every position of the path over a finite window that slides over the entire path.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Benjamin Bordais , Shibashis Guha , Jean-François Raskin

The mean completion time of a stochastic process may be rendered finite and minimised by a judiciously chosen restart protocol, which may either be stochastic or deterministic. Here we study analytically an arbitrary stochastic search…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-14 Kabir Husain , Sandeep Krishna

We consider a sender-receiver game in which the receiver's action is binary and the sender's preferences are state-independent. The state is multidimensional. The receiver can select one dimension of the state to check (i.e., observe)…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-12 Ian Ball , Xin Gao

A patient player privately observes a persistent state that directly affects his myopic opponents' payoffs, and can be one of the several commitment types that plays the same mixed action in every period. I characterize the set of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-04-06 Harry Pei